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China cuts interest rates again

By - Oct 24,2015 - Last updated at Oct 24,2015

A motorcyclist practises near buildings in construction in Qingdao, Shandong province, China last week. Home prices in China rose for a fifth consecutive month in September, suggesting a mild recovery in the housing market that will relieve some pressure on the struggling economy (Reuters photo)

BEIJING — China's central bank cut interest rates on Friday for the sixth time in less than a year, and it again lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves in a bid to jump start growth in its stuttering economy.

Monetary policy easing in the world's second-largest economy is at its most aggressive since the 2008/09 financial crisis, as growth looks set to slip to a 25-year low this year of under 7 per cent.

Yet, underscoring China's drive to deepen financial reforms which many believe are necessary to invigorate the economy, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) said it was freeing the interest rate market by scrapping a ceiling on deposit rates.

The change, which Beijing had promised to deliver for months, will in theory allow banks to price loans according to their risk, and remove a distortion to the price of credit that analysts say fuels wasteful investment in China.

China's policy loosening came a day after the European Central Bank said it could give a bigger policy jolt to the economy as soon as December to fight falling prices.

"We've got half the world's central banks in easing mode," said Joe Rundle, the head of trading at ETX Capital in London. "And we'll probably see more easing from China to come."

The PBoC said on its website that it was lowering the one-year benchmark bank lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 per cent, effective from October 24. The one-year benchmark deposit rate was lowered by 25 basis points to 1.5 per cent.

The reserve requirement ratio (RRR) was also cut by 50 basis points for all banks, taking the ratio to 17.5 per cent for the biggest lenders, while banks that lend to agricultural firms and small companies received another 50-basis-point reduction to their RRR.

The late-evening moves come just ahead of a high-level meeting in Beijing starting on Monday where senior Chinese leaders will thrash out the country's economic blue-print for the next five years.

Investors in Europe took cheer and shares soared, while the Chinese offshore yuan fell against the US dollar.

"In the next step, monetary policy ... will be kept not too loose or too tight to ensure stable economic growth," the PBoC said in a separate question-and-answer session.

It added that China's current muted consumer inflation and falling market interest rates provided a window for the country to liberalise its deposit rates.

Sobering data

 

It has been a tumultuous year for China's economy.

A summer stock market plunge and shock devaluation of the yuan in August roiled global markets and fanned fears of a hard landing, prompting Chinese leaders to take drastic measures to assure investors they have the economy under control.

Friday's easing came minutes after Premier Li Keqiang was quoted on state radio as saying that China will make "reasonable use" of rate and RRR cuts to keep its economy growing at a reasonable pace.

Senior Chinese leaders do not usually comment directly on the country's rate or RRR adjustments.

The cuts came in the same week as sobering economic data for the third quarter that demonstrated the daunting challenges faced by the country's leaders, not least in achieving a growth target of around 7 per cent set by the government.

Data released on Monday showed China's economy grew 6.9 per cent between July and September from a year earlier, dipping below 7 per cent for the first time since the global financial crisis.

With Chinese imports tumbling for the 11th straight month in September and producer prices stuck in deflation for more than three years, some analysts say China's policy makers have their work cut out.

"We're still waiting for clear evidence of an economic turnaround," analysts at Capital Economics said in a note to clients. "We are retaining our forecast that benchmark rates and the reserve requirement ratio will both be cut once more before the end of the year, with a further move in both early in 2016."

According to a top PBoC policy maker, China will be able to keep annual economic growth at around 6-7 per cent over the next three to five years.

The comments from Yi Gang, vice governor of the PBoC, appeared to be aimed at reassuring investors this level of growth, China's slowest pace in two decades but still faster than other major economies, is the Chinese economy's "new normal".

"China's future economic growth will still be relatively quick. Around seven, six-point-something. These will all be very normal," he told a conference in Beijing.

Yi said China in the future would lower the reserve requirement ratio for banks, the amount of cash that major lenders need to keep on hand — at a "normal" pace.

"Our reserve requirement ratio is still at a relatively high level so there is still room to lower the RRR. In future, we will proceed to lower the RRR at a normal pace," he added.

Yi elaborated that the PBoC planned to keep interest rates at a reasonable level to reduce the corporate debt burden, and noted that interest rate liberalisation does not mean that the central bank would reduce regulation of rates.

China will also continue to set benchmark lending and deposit rates for some time, he stated, but these rates would not restrict market pricing.

Yi noted that China's stock market, which has fallen sharply since June, had completed most of its adjustments and that the yuan, which was buffeted in the wake of a surprise devaluation in early August, had "basically" stabilised.

"Following August 11, our original intention was to pursue market reforms. But after that, we realised there was a relatively big depreciation pressure [on the yuan], and so we decided to resolutely stabilise the yuan," he explained.

The PBoC was looking into leverage levels in the debt market, Yi remarked.

He said China did not have exceptionally high debt levels, and while the bank was not overly anxious about cutting the level of leverage in the economy, the overall strategy is to stabilise leverage levels.

"I want to especially mention this: I am now also focused on the leverage level in China's debt market," he concluded.

Separately, China is seeking to assert its growing influence on global oil markets with a yuan-denominated crude futures contract expected to be launched this year.

At the same time, analysts warn that the second-largest oil consumer after the United States will struggle to compete with more established benchmarks such as London's Brent North Sea crude and New York's WTI. 

"China is the world's largest oil importer and is going to become the largest oil consumer in the future, so it makes sense for the country to be the place for an oil futures [contract] in Asia," Lin Boqiang, director of the Energy Economics Research Centre at Xiamen University, told AFP. 

China's consumption will exceed that of the United States by 2034, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

The country produced about 4.6 million barrels per day (mbpd) of oil in 2014, while the country's average net imports reached 6.1 mbpd. 

The influence of Asia, and China in particular, has been growing on international commodity markets in recent times. 

"China's vision is to have these commodity markets priced on its own exchanges," said Daniel Colover, associate editorial director at price reporting agency Platts. 

It is also consistent with China's gradual moves towards greater internationalisation of its currency.

The Shanghai International Exchange is working on a final draft to be approved by the China securities regulatory commission before a comprehensive mock trading exercise. Market participants expect an official launch by the end of 2015.

 

Liquidity is key

 

The initial target of the new contract seems to be local companies and foreign companies with large interests in China, even if trading will be open to international players. 

"Part of the reason China wants to launch this contract is to allow domestic hedging" that would protect against local price volatility, according to Wiktor Bielski, global head of commodities research at VTB Capital.

But the contract could struggle with liquidity, especially if it fails to attract foreign investors, as according to Boqiang, "there are not many players on the Chinese oil market, since the sector is highly monopolised".

The Chinese oil sector is dominated by the country's national oil companies and even if some private companies have emerged, their scope remains limited. 

"I don't know why someone doing business outside China would be interested, given the longer-established, more transparent and more liquid alternatives are already available elsewhere," said Julian Jessop, head of commodities at research group Capital Economics.

Two-thirds of the world's oil is currently priced against the Brent benchmark. 

 

Market influence

 

Some grey areas remain around plans for the contract, in particular the crude which is going to be used as underlying instrument. 

The derivative, or promise to take or make delivery of a volume of crude at a future date, will be based on a medium and sour crude, a quality favoured in Asia and imported mainly from the Middle East. Thus supply will likely continue to be influenced by external factors.

"A lot of people in the industry, a cross section of the oil market, trading houses, oil majors, producers, are keen to see how it behaves and how it is adopted," said Colover.

For Bielski, market adoption should not be a major hurdle. In fact, volumes on the exchange could develop very quickly thanks to retail investments, he said.

Plans for smaller lot sizes, 100 barrels versus 1,000 for Brent, seems to be tailored to retail investors.

According to Bielski, the iron ore futures contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange, which influences the price of steel, did not trade for the first six months, but volumes then "exploded" on the back of "punters" trading. 

In China, the amount of liquidity available to retail investors with money is growing faster than the number of products they can invest in, he added.

 

"What if that same thing happens to oil? Chinese markets are going to become more dominant and more importantly they are going to export contagion risk," predicted Bielski.

European Central Bank chief urges governments to use fiscal policy

By - Oct 22,2015 - Last updated at Oct 22,2015

In this handout photo released by the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi (centre), president of the ECB, presides the Governing Council meeting in Malta on Thursday (AFP photo)

VALLETTA/FRANKFURT — The European Central Bank (ECB) is studying new stimulus measures that could be unveiled as soon as December and is prepared to cut its deposit rate deeper into negative territory if needed to fight falling prices, its president said on Thursday.

Consumer prices in the 19-country eurozone slipped by 0.1 per cent in September, prompting calls for the ECB to expand or extend its 60 billion euros ($68 billion) a month of asset purchases. The programme was launched in March to help push inflation back to the ECB’s target of just under 2 per cent.

ECB chief Mario Draghi indicated that falling inflation expectations, driven in part by lower-than-expected demand for oil, have led the central bank to consider a wide variety of possible measures, including a deposit rate cut, to shore up inflation.

“We are ready to act if needed... and we are open to the full menu of monetary policy,” Draghi said. “The Governing Council has tasked the relevant committee to examine the pros and cons of various measures... The attitude is not wait and see but work and assess.”

Draghi added that the ECB’s governing council, which includes the executive board and the heads of the bloc’s 19 central banks, would be in a better position to make a decision once it gets new inflation forecasts from its staff in December.

He highlighted a stronger euro, falling commodity prices and a worsening of the economic conditions in emerging markets as the key risks that the ECB will monitor. A fading of the base effect from 2014’s oil price plunge may also have helped push inflation higher by then.

“In this context, the degree of monetary policy accommodation will need to be re-examined at our December monetary policy meeting,” he said.

 

Deposit rate cut

 

After stating a year ago that no further cuts to the deposit rate, already in negative territory, were on the cards, Draghi noted that was one of the instruments the governing council had discussed and may use.

“When expectations of inflation become more and more negative, we have higher and higher real rates,” Draghi said. “That’s one of the reasons why we considered other non-standard policy measures, one of which was the negative rate of the deposit facility.”

The ECB first pushed its deposit rate below zero in June 2014, effectively making banks pay to park funds overnight at the central bank. Two months later, it was trimmed to -0.20 per cent, and Draghi said no additional rate cut was possible.

He dismissed suggestions that this turnaround might dent the ECB’s credibility in financial markets.

“The credibility of a central bank is measured by its ability to comply with its mandate and to this extent any instrument could be potentially used,” Draghi explained “Given the conditions prevailing a year ago, that was the statement. Today things have changed.”

QE

 

Before Thursday, financial analysts’ core view was that the ECB would intervene in December or January to extend or expand its quantitative easing (QE) scheme, while few expected a deposit rate cut.

Draghi’s words strengthened those expectations but gave little away as to which tool the ECB was likely to choose.

“It was an open discussion on all the monetary policies,” Draghi said. “We have discussed some other monetary policy instruments besides [a deposit rate cut].”

Analysts have warned that upping the pace of purchases may create a shortage of bonds down the line and that extending the scheme may require the ECB to change some of the rules of engagement to avoid hitting technical limits.

These issues, along with the ECB’s failure to revive the market for asset-backed securities, have raised the prospect of an expansion in the range of assets that the ECB can buy to include corporate bonds or even equities.

But its direct involvement in private corporations could meet political and internal resistance.

In a direct call to eurozone governments to add their weight to a still-tentative recovery in the region, Draghi stressed that structural reforms and fiscal measures to stimulate demand were also needed.

 

“Monetary policy shouldn’t be the only game in town,” Draghi emphasised. “We have to address also the structural component of this recovery so we can move from a cyclical to a structural recovery.”

We create American jobs, Qatar Airways boss says

By - Oct 22,2015 - Last updated at Oct 22,2015

DOHA — Qatar Airways Chief Executive Akbar Al Baker said Thursday that his company is helping to create jobs in the US despite an ongoing war of words between Gulf and American carriers.

Baker, speaking in Doha, also said he trusted American regulators to put passengers’ interests first as part of their investigation into the funding of the Gulf carriers.

US carriers have launched a complaint that Qatar Airways, Etihad and Emirates break the so-called “Open-Skies” agreement through receiving government subsidies.

The complaint is being investigated by the US departments of state, commerce and transportation.

Three US airlines, Delta, American and United, claim that Qatar, along with Etihad Airways and Emirates, received $42 billion (37 billion euros) in “unfair” subsidies to wrest business away from competitors.

Baker though said his company is good for America.

“Qatar Airways and the other Gulf carriers are constantly creating new jobs for the Americans by ordering more aeroplanes and expanding our network as we add frequencies into the United States,” he told reporters.

“We are also creating additional jobs and contributing to the American economy.”

Asked what he thought the outcome of the Washington investigation would be, Baker replied: “I am not person that should answer this question... it’s entirely up to the American administration.”  

But he added that he had faith in the regulators.

“The American administration is evaluating all the complaints of the three American carriers and the decision will be with the American administration,” he said.

 

“The American administration at the end will see what is in the best interest of the American public and not in the best interest of the three American carriers,” Al Baker added.

'Halal tourism' emerges as businesses serve Muslim travellers

By - Oct 21,2015 - Last updated at Oct 21,2015

In this October 19 photo, an exhibitor offers traditional Arabic coffee to a visitor at the Sheikh Zayed Grand Mosque boot during the opening day of The World Halal Travel Summit & Exhibition in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (AP photo)

ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates — A rental company in Orlando, Florida, is offering "halal vacation homes" with curtained pool decks and rooms with prayer mats and copies of the Koran. 

A British company's app lists gourmet restaurants serving halal meat in London and Dubai, while a Boston-based developer's app offers travel guides for 90 cities with local prayer times and a compass pointing Muslims towards Mecca for daily prayers.

The so-called "halal tourism" market was once seen as a niche revenue stream, limited to pilgrimages like the multibillion-dollar  a year revenue stream generated by Muslim travelers to Mecca.

But now there's a movement in the tourism industry to widen the "halal tourism" market to cater to Muslim travellers worldwide, particularly those from wealthy Gulf Arab states.

Travellers from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Oman will spend $64 billion travelling this year and are expected to spend $216 billion by 2030, according to a 2014 study for the travel tech company Amadeus. 

The study found that, on average, a traveler from these countries spends around $9,900 per trip outside the Gulf. For Emiratis, the figure reaches $10,400.

Reem Al Shafaki, a senior associate at the advisory firm Dinar Standard, said Ritz-Carlton Hotels in Dallas and New York offer a good example of what hotels are doing to better serve Muslim guests. 

They provide halal meals upon request, have Middle Eastern chefs on staff, offer rooms with spaces that allow for gender-segregated settings and have trained frontline staff on other cultural norms.

Dinar Standard has conducted webinars for Marriott Hotel staff on how to take care of Muslim guests, but Al Shafaki says the hospitality industry can also market to Muslims without alienating non-Muslims. 

"What some hotels and destinations are doing is that they're using the term 'family friendly'," she said at a conference this week in Abu Dhabi, which brought people from across the budding industry to explore the topic.

Halal in Islam literally means that which is permissible. Observant Muslims typically avoid alcohol and areas where there can be excessive nudity, like beaches and nightclubs. For women who adhere to Islam's modest dress code, swimming can pose a challenge. That means resorts that offer gender-segregated beaches and pools have an advantage.

Roberto Silva of Florida Reality Investments says the company took 50 of its rental properties and outfitted them with a few changes, like curtains around the pool deck, to make them more comfortable for their many Gulf Arab customers, who often travel as large families to Orlando for several weeks at a time and want to be near Disney World and other parks.

"I would love to do more... Los Angeles and San Diego, there are a lot of people going there, and also New York," he said from his stand at the World Halal Travel Summit and Exhibition in Abu Dhabi.

Along Turkey's southern coast, several all-inclusive resorts have expansive private beaches and pools for women. One resort even built a structure in the sea to keep people on boats from catching a glimpse. 

Malaysia is also aggressively seeking more Muslim tourists, promoting itself as "Muslim-friendly Malaysia" in brochures at the Abu Dhabi conference.

Elnur Seyidli, the chairman of a website called Halal Booking, says his company has served 43,000 customers from 75 countries. The website can filter requests to find hotels that do not serve any alcohol, or hotels that only serve alcohol in some restaurants. 

For meat, which should be slaughtered according to Islamic rules, the website offers filters ranging from food that is all halal, or halal meat available upon request.

"It's about permissibility... Nothing is 100 per cent halal in my opinion and nothing is 100 per cent non-halal," he told an audience at the summit. "Even for individual travellers for different trips, requirements may change."

For those not interested in a shawarma (grilled meat) wrap on the go, Halal Gems is an app that lists gourmet halal eats in London and Dubai. The app's founder Zohra Khaku says she's raised money by charging listed restaurants an annual fee. 

In Dubai, though, the challenge isn't so much finding halal food, but finding the best gourmet options, or as she calls it, "curated halal dining".

Irfan Ahmad is another app developer tapping into the Muslim market. His app, called Irhal, lists sightseeing and shopping as well as maps for mosques and halal restaurants. It also comes with a compass to help Muslims find the direction of prayer towards Mecca. 

The app, available in both English and Arabic, has been downloaded more than 25,000 times, he said, and covers 90 cities worldwide, ranging from Amsterdam and Athens to Beijing and Bangkok, as well as US cities like Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, New York and Washington DC.

The idea was sparked by his personal struggles finding halal food in Europe, as well as not knowing when it was dawn or dusk in different cities, which affects Muslim prayer times. He's looking for around $1 million in investment to expand and include more cities.

 

"Just like any start-up, one of the biggest challenges is funding ourselves," he said. "We've been able to fund the entire project on our own by bootstrapping."

Statistics put jobless rate at 13.8%

By - Oct 21,2015 - Last updated at Oct 21,2015

AMMAN — The unemployment rate in Jordan stood at 13.8 per cent during the third quarter of this year, according to Department of Statistics (DoS) figures.

The jobless rate among men stood at 11.1 per cent while it reached 25.1 per cent among women, the report said.

The unemployment rate among university graduates, including bachelor’s degree holders and above totalled 21.2 per cent.

The jobless rate among holders of secondary school certificates and above, recorded 61.7 per cent. Moreover, the jobless rate was 38.3 per cent among those who did not complete high school, according to DoS. 

Air Arabia flies to success in a business-focused way — Ali

By - Oct 20,2015 - Last updated at Oct 20,2015

Adel Ali

AMMAN — Upon considering patterns and costs of travel in the region, it was obviously a viable investment to establish a low-cost carrier, an aviation investor told The Jordan Times on Monday. 

Adel Ali, chief executive officer (CEO) of Sharjah-based Air Arabia Group, said in an interview that low-cost aviation companies, including Air Arabia, have been the most profitable businesses in the aviation sector, attributing the success to being business focused. 

"We are determined to carry the maximum number of passengers and not to spend money on extras people do not want," he added. "Flying is not primarily for eating food." 

According to Ali, the price paid in the past by Middle East passengers travelling within the region was higher than that for passengers who were in transit. 

"More than 10 years ago, and prior to the introduction of low-cost carriers, there were only a few airlines serving the region, and they provided better prices for longer routes, making shorter ones more expensive," he explained.

So, for us, the fact that some people in the region were not even travelling was a good reason to insert the low-cost approach in the Middle East, Ali elaborated.

The CEO, who is Bahraini,  indicated that inter-regional flights is now easier and more connected prompting more people to travel.

"We launched Air Arabia in the United Arab Emirates in 2003 and the response was remarkable, because the country's multi-cultural population, 80 per cent of which come from different countries, always need to go back home and return," he said.

Ali was convinced that Air Arabia was a good choice as a name for the airline because that qualifies it to operate smoothly in the Arab world. The company has established hubs in Morocco and Egypt. 

Noting that the group had to position itself well geographically in order to link different areas in the region, he added that the low-cost carrier inaugurated in May 2015 a hub in Jordan due to Kingdom's closeness to East Europe.

"Jordan's membership in aviation agreements, such as the Open Sky Treaty with Europe allowing any Jordanian carrier to operate unlimited to any European airport, was a good reason for the group to set up offices in Amman," Ali elaborated.

Air Arabia Jordan has now flights to Kuwait, Jeddah, Erbil, Dammam and Sharm El Sheikh, with a new route to be announced soon to Medina Munawwara and another to Manama, he announced, noting that the entire group serves a total of 104 destinations in the world.

Aspiring to go for routes not run by Royal Jordanian, the CEO revealed that the airline applied to relevant authorities and was waiting for approvals to go for such destinations.

The group's hub in Jordan has a total of 100 employees, 99 of whom are Jordanians who can receive proper training to hold posts in other countries where group hubs have insufficient manpower.

"Over the past 12 years we simplified the aviation industry and contributed to stimulating the market where people who never travelled by air are now travelling every month," Ali  said.

He indicated  that the group has a fleet of 40 modern planes, two of which are based in Amman, and that another 40 are intended to join the fleet, noting that Amman's office operate some 23 flights a week, nine of which to Saudi Arabia alone.

 

"For us, we started with $13 million 12 years ago, and the group is now worth $2.6 billion," he boasted, describing that as a clear example of success in the industry.

‘Jordanian delegation to visit Tunisia next month’

By - Oct 20,2015 - Last updated at Oct 20,2015

AMMAN — Amman Chamber of Commerce (ACC) President Issa Murad on Tuesday said the chamber will organise an official visit for a "huge" Jordanian economic delegation to visit Tunisia next month in cooperation with chambers of commerce in Tunis, Sousse and Sfax, according to an ACC statement. 

In the statement, Murad described bilateral relations as historic and deep, expressing hope that the recent visit of Tunisian President Beji Caid Essebsi to the Kingdom will bring a new phase of bilateral economic and commercial cooperation. 

The delegation will discuss developing relations between the business community in the two countries, establishing commercial and investment partnerships and expanding commercial exchange. 

The ACC president referred to several recommendations to develop commercial relations, including intensifying communication and joint work through exchanging legislation as well as economic and investment brochures to bring forward available opportunities for both sides and clarify the demands and conditions imposed on the entry of goods to their markets. 

He urged encouraging the exchange of investments in the commercial, production, service and financial sectors, considering that a basic way to encourage the exchange of goods and services.

He encouraged using regional and international agreements that Jordan is a signatory to because they bring "huge" investment and exporting opportunities for Jordanian commercial partners. Moreover, he advocated promoting those opportunities to companies in Tunisia. 

The importance of enhancing the role of diplomatic commissions in Jordan and Tunisia was highlighted by Murad, who stressed also the importance of promoting national products, resources and economic capabilities available to both countries and encourage the activities of the private sector to cooperate in the field of joint investment as well as sending economic delegations on the private and public levels. 

Murad stressed the importance of holding exhibitions to bring promote products of the two countries as well as establish regular transport lines between them to reduce costs and durations and benefit from the Agadir Agreement between Jordan, Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia to enhance exporting chances from Jordan and Tunisia to the European market. 

He said there are many economic and commercial agreements with the most important one being the Grand Arab Free Trade Zone Agreement, in addition to agreements that connect the private sector in both countries, including the one signed between the ACC and the industry and commerce chambers in Tunis, Sousse and Sfax. 

Murad called for enhancing bilateral meetings between the commissions of the private and public sectors and their representatives of traders, industrialists, and businesspeople, voicing his chamber's readiness to offer full logistic support to any Tunisian economic party that sends commercial delegations to Jordan. 

 

Jordan has many productions and goods that meet the demands of the Tunisian market like medicine, phosphate, fertilisers, potash, and Dead Sea salts and products, Murad said, adding that the Kingdom's exports to Tunisia stood at around JD8 million during the past eight months whereas imports stood at JD4 million. 

Lower oil income to drive fiscal refoms in GCC — Moody's

By - Oct 20,2015 - Last updated at Oct 20,2015

DUBAI — A projected long-term drop in oil prices will drive fiscal reforms in energy-dependent Gulf states and spur public borrowing, Moody's Investor Service said on Tuesday.

The ratings agency also revised downward its projections for oil prices from $65 a barrel to average $55 this year and $53 dollars in 2016.

The six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states grouping Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, depend on oil for around 90 per cent of their revenues.

"We expect that the impact of lower hydrocarbon revenues on GCC public finances will spur policy adjustments in 2016," said Steffen Dyck, a VP-senior analyst at Moody's.

"These could include reductions in subsidy spending and measures to broaden the non-oil revenue base," he added.

The UAE took the lead in June by liberalising fuel prices. Kuwait lifted subsidies on diesel and kerosene and other states are planning subsidy cuts.

Oil prices have fallen by around 60 per cent since June 2014 due to oversupply and weak global demand.

As a result, GCC states are expected to lose $300 billion in oil revenues, said the International Monetary Fund.

The oil price drop caused aggregate nominal hydrocarbon gross domestic product (GDP) for the six GCC states to fall by 11 per cent between 2012 and last year to $685 billion, Moody's indicated.

The combined current account surplus slipped to 14 per cent of GDP from almost 25 per cent during the same period.

"We expect that the GCC region will post a combined fiscal deficit of close to 10 per cent of regional GDP in 2015 and 2016, respectively, compared to an average aggregate surplus of almost 9 per cent in the years 2010 to 2014," Moody's said.

That would translate into a deficit of over $140 billion this year.

Moody's expects that all GCC states will borrow to face budgetary shortfalls.

"Overall [GCC] government gross borrowing needs will likely average about 12.5 per cent of regional GDP, or around $180 billion per year in 2015 and 2016," Dyck said.

Saudi Arabia and Qatar have already issued bonds.

 

Some GCC states, mainly Saudi Arabia, have started withdrawing from foreign reserves estimated at $2.7 trillion by the International Institute of Sovereign Funds.

Murad seeks better Jordanian-Austrian business relations

By - Oct 19,2015 - Last updated at Oct 19,2015

AMMAN — Joint agreements signed by the governments of  Austria and Jordan and by the chambers of commerce in both countries,  should be utilised by businessmen to increase the bilateral trade volume, Amman Chamber of Commerce (ACC) President Issa Murad said Monday.

Receiving an Austrian commercial delegation visiting the Kingdom to discuss ways to enhance commercial exchange, Murad said the trade balance between both countries does not suit the brotherly bilateral relations.

Bilateral meetings between companies and businesspeople from both countries were also held to explore and implement investment opportunities, according to an ACC statement.

Murad said this visit reciprocates one the ACC organised to Austria in May, with the participation of representatives of commercial and logistic sectors such as tourism, communications and energy.

He added that holding bilateral meetings would lead to achieving positive results in developing economic relations, investment growth and commercial exchange.

The commercial exchange between the two countries is “very low”, said Murad, noting that Jordanian exports to the European country in 2014 reached a total of $1.2 million, compared to Jordanian imports worth $81.5 million.

He indicated that only four Austrians have partnerships with Jordanian peers in companies registered with a total capital of JD15.7 million,  making it important to develop the level of ties and translating them into joint projects, Murad added, noting that the Jordanian economy has many investment opportunities in vital sectors.

The ACC president also called for activating means to develop bilateral relations, such as enhancing the exchange of delegations and specialised commercial visits by businesspeople, merchants and industrialists, in addition to drawing up proper mechanism for exchanging information and commercial opportunities.  

Over the past years, the governments of both countries have signed several agreements aimed at stimulating bilateral relations and enhancing joint interests, Murad remarked.

He referred to an agreement on encouraging and protecting investment, another on industrial and technical cooperation, and an air transportation agreement, in addition to having other agreements between both countries’ chambers of commerce and industry, he said.

Murad also invited Austrian businesspeople, merchants, importers and exporters to get acquainted with the Jordanian investment-attracting environment and to benefit from incentives the Kingdom offers to foreign investors.

In this regard, he said that the investment environment in Jordan is supported by security, stability and several modern laws that encourage local and external investments, especially in qualified industrial estates whose products can penetrate the US market without customs fees or quotas.

Jordan is also a signatory member of free trade agreements that offer markets with a total number of 1 billion consumers, such as the European Free Trade Association, the Grand Arab Free Trade Agreement and free trade agreements with the US, the European Union, Singapore, Canada and Turkey, Murad indicated.

He praised the intensified efforts and the important economic roles of both countries’ embassies and chambers of commerce in enhancing bilateral commercial ties, according to the statement.

 

The president also expressed ACC’s readiness to cooperate and coordinate with Austrian institutions, investors and individuals who have intentions to visit Jordan by providing them with all forms of support and information that may contribute to enhancing the commercial exchange. 

Data show lower exports to countries of Greater Arab Free Trade Area

By - Oct 19,2015 - Last updated at Oct 19,2015

AMMAN — National exports to the countries of the Greater Arab Free Trade Area and European Union countries declined by nearly 11 per cent during the past eight months, standing at JD1.7 billion compared to JD1.9 billion in the same period in 2014, according to the Department of Statistics (DoS).

Exports to the Iraqi market went down by 36 per cent, affecting the overall exports to the Greater Arab Free Trade Area in comparison with exports to the Saudi market, which increased by 12.5 per cent in a “record time”, the Jordan News Agency, Petra, reported.

As for the rest of the commercial partners and economic blocs, national exports to the counties of North America Free Trade Agreement increased by 8.4 per cent in the past eight months, standing at JD702 million compared to JD647 million in the same period last year, whereas national exports to Asian non-Arab countries dropped. 

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