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Arab Potash Company announces JD100m net profit for 2014

By - Feb 15,2015 - Last updated at Feb 15,2015

AMMAN – Arab Potash Company's (APC) net after-tax profit reached around JD100 million last year compared with JD131 million in 2013. In a disclosure to the Amman Bourse, the APC indicated that gross profit came at JD110 million in 2014 compared with JD148 million in 2013.

Governorate Development Fund readies JD53.4m to 119 projects

By - Feb 15,2015 - Last updated at Feb 15,2015

AMMAN — One hundred and nineteen industrial and service projects in Jordanian governorates will be receiving JD53.4 million in financing, following endorsement from the Governorate Development Fund (GDF).

According to a Ministry of Industry, Trade and Supply statement e-mailed on Sunday to The Jordan Times, the projects are expected to create 3,312 jobs when completed at an estimated JD115 million investment value.

The statement indicated that the GDF financing will benefit 100 new projects and  help expand and upgrade 19 ongoing schemes. 

Karak topped the list as JD14,146,257 will finance  21 projects that are expected to create 1,043 job opportunities, with an investment volume of JD23,974,799.

Tafileh came second as JD3,724,031 will finance 19 projects that are expected to create 295 jobs, with an investment volume of JD10,855,766.

Irbid ranked third with 13 projects slated to receive JD6,523,739 in financing. The projects, expected to provide 322 jobs, carry JD11,970,864 in overall investment.

In fourth place, JD5,037,816 will finance Maan's 13 projects that carry JD8,415,356 investment volume and expected to provide 277 new jobs.

Balqa's 11 projects, estimated to have a JD20,252,176  investment volume and to create 481 employment opportunities, will benefit from JD7,095,257 in financing.  

Madaba's 10 projects, valued at an investment volume of JD7,551,632 and projected to provide 196 new employment opportunities, are to receive JD3,460,483 in financing.

The GDF approved JD685,998 in financing for Ajloun's nine projects whose investment volume was projected at JD1,198,139 with 71 new jobs.

Mafraq came in eighth place with seven projects carrying an investment volume of JD6,983,465 with 171 new jobs. Financing was set at JD3,813,285.

Jerash ranked ninth with seven projects whose investment volume was estimated at JD2,380,218 with 74 new employment opportunities.

Four projects in Amman will get JD4,461,500 in financing. With  an investment volume of JD12,471,000, these enterprises were expected to create 184 jobs.

Zarqa came in eleventh place with three projects that were projected to provide 150 new employment openings. With an investment volume of JD7,209,992, the enterprises will receive JD1,926,043 in financing.

Aqaba trailed the list with JD1,458,665 in financing for two projects, whose investment volume was estimated at JD2,450,235 with 48 jobs.

Also on Sunday, Industry, Trade and Supply Minister Hatem Halawani attended the ceremony held to celebrate signing agreements of the last phase of the European Union-funded Jordan Services Modernisation Programme (JSMPII) run by the Jordan Enterprise Development Corporation.

This phase, which includes 51 new and old service companies, carry a financing volume exceeding 3,44 million euros, with a total expected investment reaching around 5,79 million euros.

These projects are expected to provide 484 job opportunities in Mafraq, Jerash, Ajloun, Zarqa, Madaba, Tafileh, Karak, Maan and Aqaba, due to the importance of the service sector that contributes to 67 per cent of the national gross product.

Oil tops $60

By - Feb 14,2015 - Last updated at Feb 14,2015

NEW YORK — Oil closed up for a second straight week on Friday after another drop in the US rig count, and Brent crude hit a 2015 high above $60 a barrel, but market skeptics cautioned the rally could fade because supplies keep coming.

Many traders and analysts believe there is a global oversupply of nearly two million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil. They say little has changed fundamentally to explain the price rebound of the past two weeks.

The number of oil drilling rigs in the United States fell last week to its lowest since August 2011, data showed on Friday. But the market's reaction was relatively tepid compared with the past two weeks when prices spiked on declining rig counts.

"I think people are starting to understand to a certain point that, even if rig counts go down, it's not going to affect production in the short term. It's going to take a few months for that to happen," said Tariq Zahir, managing member at Tyche Capital Advisors in Laurel Hollow in New York.

US crude inventories have swelled to record highs of nearly 418 million barrels, government data showed earlier this month.

Brent settled the session up $2.24, or nearly 4 per cent, at $61.52 a barrel. It rose a 6 per cent on the week and 15 per cent month-to-date. Brent's gains increased last week after its front-month contract switched on Thursday at a premium.

Oil prices more than halved between June and January as a global glut pushed Brent from a summer peak above $115 to a near six-year low under $46.

"Naturally, when prices fall that much within that short a time, you're likely to have a severe rebound as well, though speculators are possibly adding more fuel on the way up now," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at the Price Futures Group in Chicago.

Some traders attributed Friday's strength to an unexpected acceleration in eurozone economic growth in the final quarter of 2014. The bloc's largest member, Germany, grew at more than twice the expected rate.

Market bulls were also betting that cuts in exploration budgets will help mop up some of the excess supply.

Separately, the world's three big energy agencies are forecasting higher demand for the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) crude oil this year, a sign the producing nations' strategy to let prices fall is starting to win them back market share from rivals who are cutting output.

After an oversupply of world oil sent prices tumbling in 2014, top OPEC exporter Saudi Arabia urged fellow members not to prop up the market and to try to knock out competing sources like US shale, which, because it has higher production costs, had to cut output when prices fell.

In reports last week, the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC have raised by at least 200,000 bpd their estimates of demand for OPEC crude in 2015, while the US government's Energy Information Administration (EIA) (EIA) forecasts OPEC will pump 140,000 bpd more.

At the same time, data suggesting a forthcoming economic recovery has raised hopes for improving oil demand: Eurozone economic growth accelerated unexpectedly in the final quarter of 2014 as the bloc's largest member, Germany, expanded at more than twice the expected rate.

"The main three monthly oil market reports...sent encouraging signals," said Daniela Corsini, analyst at Intesa Sanpaolo. "On average, their estimates of the call on OPEC crude have been increased significantly."

Those estimates also indicate that lower oil prices, which have prompted shale oil and other oil producers to cut spending, are also forcing them to cut supplies. 

OPEC officials have expressed cautious optimism about the price recovery and noted signs of higher demand.

Saudi Arabia's Oil Minister Ali Al Naimi discussed a "relative improvement in the market in terms of an increase in demand and the stability of prices in the current period" last week with Algeria's justice minister, the official Saudi news agency SPA reported.

OPEC pumps about 30 million bpd of crude, roughly a third of the world's daily requirement. Rising demand for OPEC oil is generally taken as a bullish sign in the oil market.

 

Still cautious

 

On Monday, OPEC forecast demand for its oil this year would average 29.21 million bpd, up 430,000 bpd from its previous prediction.

The IEA, which advises the United States and other industrialised countries, moved its forecast in the same direction on Tuesday, albeit by a more modest upward revision of 200,000 bpd to 29.4 million bpd.

Also on Tuesday, the EIA in its report forecast OPEC will produce 30.05 million bpd in 2015, up from its previous projection of 29.91 million bpd.

"I do believe demand is in a much better shape than we feared before and already expected right now," said Eugen Weinberg, oil analyst at Commerzbank.

"All kinds of signs of demand being above expectation are already in place. Especially in the US, where we had a real boom in registrations of pickups and SUVs and everything else," he added.

Still, this has yet to translate into more bullish global oil demand estimates from the three forecasters. Instead they raised their these forecasts only slightly or kept them unchanged.

David Fyfe, a former IEA official and now head of research at trading house Gunvor, also noted the common thread of the monthly supply and demand balances but was cautious on whether the oil rout was over.

"Certainly the balances have all moved in the same direction, acknowledging that several months of $50 oil is going to cause a supply side reaction and I wouldn't disagree with that," he said.

"But it is still a little too early be calling a floor for prices having been reached. I think we're going to have a pretty choppy, pretty volatile first half," Fyfe added.

China's lending push bypasses cash-starved farm sector

By - Feb 14,2015 - Last updated at Feb 14,2015

SHANGHAI — As China pulls out the stops to get more lending into its economy to bolster flagging growth, farming, a sector that employs almost a third of its 1.4 billion people, remains in desperate need of funding.

Policy makers have cut interest rates, increased lending targets and freed up banks' reserves to lend more, helping to sustain a rally in Chinese shares and a property bubble, but it is not getting through to agriculture, which produces around 9 per cent of the China's gross domestic product (GDP), though with pitiful productivity.

World Bank data showed the value added per farmworker in China was $750 in 2012, compared with around $63,000 in the United States.

Inefficient and obsolete farming techniques have also been blamed for causing major soil and water pollution and food scandals, but it needs investment to turn the sector around.

Jin Yong, a lifelong farmer in Anhui, one of China's poorest provinces, formed a corporate entity with other individual investors in an effort to improve his access to funding.

The plan is to sell organic vegetables, but the company has yet to turn a profit, and credit is part of the problem.

"We don't have rights to the land. We have things in the ground, but banks don't care. They just want evidence of ownership for collateral," he indicated.

Beijing is aware of the problem; its recently published "number one" planning document listed modernising farms as a key priority for 2015, including plans to encourage private investment and cheaper financing.

But lenders are steering clear.

The share of loans going to agriculture has declined every year since 2010, official data show. In 2014, banks lent 306.5 billion yuan ($49.1 billion) to agriculture, compared with approximately 1 trillion yuan for margin finance for use in stock speculation, and 2.8 trillion yuan for real estate.

 

Reform dilemma

 

Chinese bankers who spoke to Reuters said official calls to lend to farmers were effectively countermanded by official orders to reduce the bad debt on their books.

"When banks lend, they're not going to think, 'I wonder what direction the country is expanding in?'" said a senior loan officer at one of the big five state-owned banks. "A bank's priority is still going to be a firm's liquidity; is it good? Cash flow, is it good? Do they have the ability to repay?"

Foreign bankers told Reuters they have been approached by regulators asking them to increase lending to the sector, but they, too, are reluctant.

There is also a failure by banks to adapt to changing needs, said Cheng Enjiang, senior research fellow at Victoria University in Australia specialising in rural finance and microfinance in China.

"There has been an increase in demand for agricultural loans to larger-scale farms, but rural credit cooperatives and agricultural banks don't have feasible products tested for that," he added.

There are also political dimensions to the problem.

Agricultural analysts say self-sufficiency goals intended to minimise China's dependence on food imports have resulted in mandated production of staple grains and starches that earn far lower profit margins for farmers than fruits and meats.

Some officials also fear that increasing efficiency and profits through mechanisation would ring Chinese cities with slums full of unemployed farmers.

But policies designed to keep farmers on small, low yielding plots impedes the consolidation that could create economies of scale.

The right to buy and sell rural land is retained entirely by the local government, so not only is a farmer unable to use his land as collateral, he can't buy other people's land.

Thus Jin Yong, the aspiring organic vegetable magnate, can only rent land, and rental contracts are no use in securing bank loans.

Without major policy reforms, farming will remain a bad bet both for the farmers and the bankers.

"We don't lend to certain sectors just because the government tells us to," said a fund manager at a listed Chinese commercial bank. "We'll only lend to a company in any sector if it means we'll come out profitable." 

Separately, China's top anti-corruption watchdog has targeted 26 of the biggest state-owned firms, including telecoms, energy, and manufacturing conglomerates, for inaugural inspections this year.

The visits will kick off immediately this week after lunar new year holidays, the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) said in a notice.

Designated conglomerates include China Telecom Group Co., China National Petroleum Corp., or PetroChina, China National Offshore Oil Corp., and China National Nuclear Corp.

"We need to sharpen the 'Sword of Damocles' hanging above those in power and use inspections to keep them in awe," the statement quoted watchdog head Wang Qishan as saying.

Other firms to be visited by antigraft investigation teams are Sinochem Group, China Ocean Shipping (Group) Co., or Cosco, China Mobile Communications Corp and Baoshan Iron & Steel Group Co.

As part of President Xi Jinping's vigorous crackdown on corruption, the anti graft body will inspect "all important backbone state-owned firms and financial institutions" this year, it said on its website.

The watchdog has brought down more than 70 senior officials at state firms in 2014, the official Xinhua News Agency pointed out on Thursday.

Last week, it accused officials at top coal producer China Shenhua Group of taking bribes and manipulating coal prices for personal benefit, according to its website.

The anti-graft watchdog also found serious violations by executives of power group China Huadian Corporation during takeovers of coal mines and in official appointments, activities that led to large losses.

Lu Haijun, a director of Bank of Beijing Co., has also been put under investigation this year as the commission widens inquiries in the finance sector.

The commission's anti-graft efforts at state firms coincide with the imminent roll-out of ambitious new guidelines to overhaul China's inefficient state sector.

One key measure, expected within weeks, will focus on controlling company insiders and avoiding losses during reforms.

Other firms targeted in the first round of inspections are China Power Investment Corp., State Nuclear Power Technology Corp., China Huaneng Group, State Grid Corp. of China, China Southern Power Grid Co.

Also named are China Nuclear Engineering Group Co., State Development & Investment Corp., Dongfang Electric Corp., China Electronics Technology Group Corp., China Electronics Corp., and China Minmetals Corp.

China State Construction Engineering Corp., China Shipbuilding Industry Corp., China National Machinery Industry Corp., China General Technology (Group) Holding Ltd., China Datang Corp., China Guodian Corp., and Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Co. are among the others identified.

According to state media, China's ruling Communist Party will launch a year-long probe into the incomes of military staff, following revelations of widespread graft in its armed forces.

Party leaders have described corruption as a key threat to China's military modernisation campaign, which has seen double digit increases in the army budget for more than a decade.

China's Central Military Commission, headed by President Xi Jinping, will conduct an "investigation of all military personnel", the state-run Global Times said.

The audit will be overseen by the head of the army's general logistics department Zhao Keshi, and will look into "all cash flows, receipts and expenses" to find evidence of embezzlement, said official army media according to the report.

The investigation will be "will be far reaching and may involve conflicts of interest", it cited Zhao as saying.

Xi heads the military and the Communist Party and has vowed a crackdown against endemic corruption, an issue that has long drawn widespread public anger in China.

China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) said last month it launched investigations into 16 senior officers at corps level and above in 2014.

Top Chinese military officer Gu Junshan was formally charged with corruption last year after he was exposed as owning dozens of homes, state media reported.

Officials seized "a gold boat, a gold wash basin and a gold statue of Mao Zedong" along with "crates of expensive liquor" from one of Gu's residences, reports said at the time.

Xi's campaign also led last year to the ousting of Xu Caihou, a former vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission.

But the Communist Party has not introduced reforms such as official asset declaration or independent courts and media, and critics have said that the anti-graft drive is politically motivated.

Tunisia turns to tough economic agenda

By - Feb 12,2015 - Last updated at Feb 12,2015

TUNIS — Just two days after confidently promising economic reforms to match Tunisia's transition to democracy, new Prime Minister Habib Essid was forced to say he would roll back a new tax after police shot dead a man protesting it.

Tunisia has been praised as an example of compromise politics and democratic transition since overthrowing its autocrat Zine El Abidine Ben Ali in a 2011 uprising, holding free elections and drafting a new constitution.

But the latest protests have made clear Essid's economic task list that includes reforms, development and boosting jobs will not be easy in a country reliant on tourism, with few natural resources, high unemployment and heavy state subsidies even with the goodwill of the coalition government.

"What do they mean by reforms, obeying the international Monetray Fund. That just means more misery for us, more sacrifices on our part," said Sami Majdoub, 30, an unemployed graduate. "Their priority should be creating jobs, not increasing prices."

Since its revolution, lenders such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have tied credits for Tunisia to efforts to curb heavy public spending and cut a budget deficit by reforming subsidies ranging from basic food goods to fuel.

Authorities tried to raise money by imposing a tax of $20 on foreign travellers, but this angered residents of Dhiba and Ben Guerdan, two remote towns on the Libyan border. They asked for it to be frozen because it hurt daily trade with Libya, which responded by imposing a tax on Tunisian travellers.

Tunisian traders protested, and youths demanding jobs joined them, torching a local police station. Police opened fire with bullets and tear gas, killing one man, witnesses say.

"We will not be silent, we will rebel if any one touches our interests and our work, whatever the political colour of the rulers, whether Islamist or secular, old system or a new system," said Mohammed Amari, a trader in Dhiba.

Protests over economic opportunities are still sensitive in Tunisia, where a street vendor set himself on fire in 2011 in protest over poverty and local official abuses, and helped trigger the "Arab Spring" revolts across the region.

Last week was not the first Tunisian backtrack. A year ago, the government was forced to reverse a vehicle tax and energy price hikes after a string of protests.

Creating jobs is also urgent with unemployment creeping to 15.2 per cent in 2014 from 12 per cent a year after the uprising that promised more freedoms and economic opportunities. A third of those jobless are young graduates.

Tackling youth exclusion is especially sensitive as Tunisia fights a campaign against Islamist militants who emerged after the revolution. Around 3,000 young Tunisians have already left to fight with extremist groups in Syria and Iraq. 

Majority in congress

Tunisia has managed to avoid the upheaval afflicting other Arab Spring nations like Yemen and Libya, both caught up in internecine conflicts driven by unresolved political divisions after their uprisings.

Last week, Tunisia's parliament approved Essid's new government, including secular Nidaa Tounes Party and Islamist rivals Ennahda. Secular and Islamist leaders often reached compromise deals in Tunisia to keep the country on track.

That makeup at least offers Essid the backing needed in parliament to push politically sensitive decisions on reforms.

"Essid's new national unity government will enjoy a comfortable parliamentary majority that will enable it to implement the economic reform agenda with ease," said Riccardo Fabiani, a senior analyst at Eurasia Group.

The IMF agreed in 2012 to support Tunisia with a two-year credit programme worth $1.74 billion, in exchange for keeping its deficit under control and making the foreign exchange market more flexible.

The budget deficit reached 5.8 per cent in 2014 and is expected to narrow to 5 per cent this year. But Tunisia will still need multilateral lenders to make up external financing.

Incremental reforms, such as the temporary taxes and gasoline price rise that were imposed last year are expected to continue.

But while the government tries to cut spending, of which wages total about a third, Tunisia's powerful UGTT labour union demands the government negotiate to increase in 800,000 public sector salaries. UGTT has already threatened a general strike.

Last year, the government tried to raise the retirement age but this was scuttled by the UGTT.

A proposal to review the tax system and increase taxes paid by professionals, such as doctors and lawyers, could also lead to strikes and protests.

"The revolutionary atmosphere makes reforms an impossible dream," Zied Krichen, a Tunisian journalist wrote in a recent newspaper editorial.

But there are favourable indicators. A drop in global oil prices may make trimming energy subsidies easier.

Tunisia also wants to take advantage of its newfound political stability to attract investment and create new businesses and jobs to ease tensions over tougher reforms.

"The reforms are going to be painful, but we don't have a choice," said Moez Joudi, an economics professor at Tunis University. 

"We have to take advantage of the fall in oil prices, the new political stability and also the growth in Europe to push reforms and a clear economic plan right now," he added.

Iraqis must be patient on economy — PM Abadi

By - Feb 12,2015 - Last updated at Feb 12,2015

BAGHDAD — Iraq's prime minister called on Thursday for "patience" while the government implements economic reforms that include restructuring of many state-owned companies, saying the plan would deliver growth and development.

Haider Al Abadi, who took office in September after Islamic State (IS) militants seized control of large parts of north and west Iraq, is under pressure to improve economic and security conditions while navigating a polarised political landscape.

Iraq is struggling to attract foreign investment and diversify its revenue sources away from oil, the price of which plunged in the second half of last year.

"We call on citizens to be patient. Success and development are coming," Abadi told an investment conference in Baghdad. "If we stick to the reform plan, soon there will be economic breakthrough."

Abadi said the government aimed to restructure some state-owned companies although he did not say which, when changes would happen, or whether it would entail privatisation.

"We want these companies to be more efficient and contributive to the Iraqi economy," he added. "The government has no intention to get rid of the workers in these companies."

Many state firms have barely functioned since the US-led invasion to topple Saddam Hussein in 2003 and many related to the military have been shut down.

Iraq's economy, which gets about 90 per cent of its revenues from oil, was battered last year by plummeting global oil prices and the land grab by IS which prompted big spending on the military and displaced populations.

Defence alone is expected to take up 20 per cent of 2015 spending in a budget passed by parliament last month which includes a deficit of 25 trillion dinars ($22 billion) to be financed through borrowing.

The government also has to ensure more than 5 million state employees are paid.

Finance Minister Hoshiyar Zebari has said Iraq plans to use its Special Drawing Rights to raise financing from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

A senior IMF official told Reuters the financial institution was open to providing additional funding to the war-torn nation.

"They certainly could [ask for more money]. So far they haven't... We had a programme before with Iraq. It's their call," the official said.

When extending emergency loan programmes to countries, the IMF has often pressed them to introduce economic reforms such as restructuring state finances.

Inflation rate down by 0.4 per cent at end of January — DoS

By - Feb 11,2015 - Last updated at Feb 11,2015

AMMAN — Jordan's inflation edged down by 0.4 per cent at the end of January this year, according to the Department of Statistics  (DoS) report.

The slight decrease was attributed to the decline in prices of transportation, fuel, electricity tariffs, vegetables, beans and beverages, the DoS report, sent to The Jordan Times, said.

Prices of rentals, cigarettes, fruits, poultry and meat rose during Januray, the report added. As of Januray 2015, the department recalculated the inflation rate based on 2010 prices as the reference year and not 2006, in line with the international indicators. 

Libya struggles to keep electricity on

By - Feb 11,2015 - Last updated at Feb 11,2015

TRIPOLI — Libya's electricity grid is struggling to keep going as a shortage of power and gas for generation and its break up under two governments hit supply.

Residents in the two main cities Tripoli and Benghazi say they have been coping for days with outages lasting 10 hours or longer. Mobile phone coverage in parts eastern Libya broke down this week due to a lack of electricity.

"The network has been broken up in separate regions which has a negative impact, is leading to instability and cases of total blackouts," Libya's state electricity firm said on its website.

It gave no details but officials have complained that power plants have been hit or become inaccessible due to nearby clashes.

Some plants such the one in Hun in central Libya have stopped working due to insecurity, the firm added.

Libya had tried overhauling the grid but a departure of foreign partners for security reasons made the completion of projects impossible, the company continued, without giving details.

Oil production has fallen to around 350,000 barrels a day, a  fifth of levels seen in 2013 as major export ports stopped working in the past few months due to nearby fighting.

Gas output has also fallen sharply since the Es Sider port, Libya's biggest, and its connected fields shut down in December when a force allied to the Tripoli government tried to seize the terminal.

Foreign firms have become reluctant to deal with Libya. Last week, gunmen stormed the Al Mabrouk oil field, kidnapping three Filipinos and killing around 10 people, officials have said.

Separately, a top official said Libya will exhaust its wheat reserves in two or three months unless a state fund tasked with ensuring supplies receives money held up as a result of the political turmoil gripping the country and a slump in oil revenues.

Neither side, the recognised government holed up in the east since losing the capital in summer or a rival outfit now running Tripoli, has prepared a budget for this year. Both are busy fighting for territory, oil facilities, and control of the central bank and the country's vital oil revenues.

Wheat imports have been disrupted by fighting between the rival factions. Air strikes on the western port of Misrata have made shippers reluctant to deal with Libya, while local banks suffer from a dollar shortage due to a slump in oil revenues.

As a result, Libya has been forced to halve flour supplies to bakeries to 65,000 tonnes a month. Despite this, the country's wheat reserves will run out within a maximum of three months without fresh supplies.

Jamal Al Shibani, head of the state Price Stabilisation Fund (PSF), which provides finance for mills importing wheat, played down talk of a crisis, but told Reuters there was a shortage of flour. 

"We have flour security for one month and we have wheat reserves which I expect to last until the start of April," he indicated.

In an indication of the difficulties of bringing in imports, a state agency has been trying for three weeks to buy 50,000 tonnes of milling wheat and 25,000 tonnes of rice but payment issues have prevented a deal, European traders have said.

A budget crisis has undermined the funding of imports. The  power struggle has knocked out almost all oil fields. Oil exports, Libya's lifeline, have fallen to around 200,000 barrels a day — a fifth of the levels seen in 2013.

Obligations 

Shibani said the central bank, which is limiting spending as oil receipts decline, had stopped transfers to his fund, leaving it with obligations of more than 3 billion dinars ($2.2 billion) owed to millers or wheat importers.

For three months the PSF had been waiting for the release of 200 million dinars as a short-term financing facility.

"If our financial obligations are not met, [wheat] reserves will run out in two or three months," he added. "We know that Libya, the state, cannot pay everything [but] there are bank obligations. The obligations need to be paid in tranches."

State-owned Matahan, a Tripoli-based mill which buys wheat abroad, said it had received a shipment of 25,000 tonnes of wheat from Hungary this week, with another cargo expected later this month.

But Chairman Mustafa Abdul Majid Idris said the state had failed to guarantee 32 million dinars it had opened as a letter of credit. Its bank was now threatening to charge interest should it fail to come up with the funds. 

The mill has debts of 173 million dinars due to unpaid state bills.

With no fresh money arriving, Shibani has become a crisis manager on all fronts. He spent hours on Monday meeting African storage workers, who are on strike because they have not been paid since October.

"Our accounts have been completely frozen but I managed to persuade them to return to work," he said. But a Reuters reporter visiting a flour storage facility on Tuesday saw the workers still refusing to unload almost 20 trucks. "We'll work when we get paid," one worker told a manager pleading with them to resume work.

Shibani said there was no bread crisis. Loaves are  available, although some bakeries in Tripoli and Benghazi have closed while those still working produce less bread.

The biggest headache for authorities is that Libya has probably the world's highest bread consumption. A loaf is sold for 2 cents, a legacy from the time of Qadhafi, who wanted to buy loyalty by subsidising basic food items.

Each Libyan consumes 15 kilogramme of flour a month. "The closest runners-up are countries with a consumption of five or six kilogrammes," Shibani indicated.

Libyans are used to buying plastic bags full of bread, much ends up in garbage bins or is used as animal feed. Even worse, bread subsidies are a major source of corruption.

Traders smuggle trucks full of flour to southern neighbours Niger and Chad. "They do not need to import any wheat," said Idris.

Libyan officials have been saying for years that the subsidy system is too expensive, but with armed groups effectively running the country nobody dares to touch it.

Shibani also said imports of sugar, macaroni and other subsidied products had stopped, although stocks were available.

S&P lowers Saudi outlook on oil price slide

By - Feb 10,2015 - Last updated at Feb 10,2015

DUBAI — Standard and Poor's (S&P) has lowered the outlook for the world's top oil exporter Saudi Arabia to negative and downgraded its Gulf partners Oman and Bahrain on sliding oil prices.

But despite the large budget deficit planned by Riyadh for this year, the agency maintained its sovereign credit ratings for the kingdom, as well as neighbouring Abu Dhabi and Qatar, citing their "very strong fiscal positions”.

"Given its high dependence on oil, Saudi Arabia's currently very strong fiscal position could weaken owing to the oil price decline," S&P said in a statement on Monday.

"The negative outlook reflects our view that Saudi Arabia's general government fiscal position is weakening," it added.

S&P lowered its outlook for Saudi Arabia from positive to stable in December citing similar reasons.

The agency has since further lowered its projections for world oil prices.

In December 2014, S&P expected benchmark Brent North Sea crude prices to average $80 per barrel in 2015 and $85 a barrel in 2015-2018.

"We now assume an average Brent oil price of $55 a barrel in 2015 and $70 a barrel in 2015-2018," it indicated.

Unlike Saudi Arabia, the neighbouring United Arab Emirates (UAE) expects to balance its budget this year, and S&P maintained its "AA/A-1+" ratings and stable outlook for Abu Dhabi.

It said it expected the emirate, which accounts for 90 per cent of UAE crude output, to remain prudent and flexible in its fiscal policy.

"But we also anticipate structural and institutional weaknesses to remain," it added.

Gas-rich Qatar has yet to unveil its budget for this year but S&P maintained its "AA/A-1+" sovereign credit ratings and stable outlook for the emirate.

The smallest Gulf producers, non-OPEC Bahrain and Oman, which lack the fiscal reserves of their wealthier Gulf partners, both saw their ratings downgraded one notch.

Bahrain's sovereign credit ratings were cut to "BBB-/A-3" from "BBB/A-2" and Oman's to "A-/A-2" from "A/A-1”.

World oil prices plunged more than 50 per cent last year and have since rebounded only feebly, amid forecasts of weak growth in key consumer countries and a continuing, if reduced, boost to supply from North American shale producers.

The International Monetary Fund estimated last month that the six Gulf Arab states — which also include Kuwait — would suffer $300 billion in lost revenues this year because of the price slump.

Zeman proposes Czech expertise to enhance Jordan's development

By - Feb 10,2015 - Last updated at Feb 10,2015

AMMAN  — Czech President Milos Zeman on Tuesday proposed helping the Kingdom in defence, energy and renewable energy projects as well as tourism. 

Addressing the closing session of the Jordanian-Czech Business Forum, Zeman said such cooperation can be achieved through Czech companies specialised in these fields. 

He also referred to the possibility of cooperation with Jordan in establishing the nuclear reactor, expanding the health sector, and launching direct flights between Amman and Prague. 

Energy Minister Mohammad Hamed welcomed Zeman’s visit, voicing hope that it would pave the way for developing economic relations between the two countries.

Hamed said Jordan’s heavy reliance on oil and gas imports inhibits economic and social development, noting that the government is striving to diversify resources through using shale oil and renewable energy.

The minister added that the 2007-2020 energy strategy is in line with ambitions and goals  that aim at enhancing the contribution of local resources to the overall energy mix.

The Renewable Energy Law is the first of its kind in the region, Hamed continued, noting that it allows investors to develop electricity power production and enable them to sell the  power surplus to the national power grid. 

He also mentioned that the government’s policies in facilitating investments in renewable energy projects have resulted in signing several memoranda of understanding such as the 117-megawatt wind energy project in Tafileh, and other 200-megawatt projects, most of which in Maan.

Regarding oil shale, Hamed said the Kingdom has signed many agreements for generating electricity, one of which with an Estonian company to generate 470 megawatts of electricity, a project expected to conclude in 2018.

There is another agreement with the Saudi Arab Company to utilise oil shale, Hamed noted. 

Czech Vice Minister of Industry Vladimir Bartl, stressed his country’s keenness to enhance economic and commercial cooperation with Jordan and to search for new economic opportunities that would expand commercial exchange and lead to establishing joint investment projects. 

First Deputy President of the Jordan Chamber of Commerce Ghassan Khirfan said the Kingdom’s imports from the Czech Republic in 2013 reached JD25 million, while Jordan’s exports to Czech in 2013 reached only JD67,000, mainly phosphate, fertilisers, potash and medicines. 

On the sidelines of the forum, a  memorandum of understanding was signed between Ministry of  Energy and Mineral Resources, and the Czech ministry of industry and trade to increase bilateral cooperation in the fields of electricity, renewable energy, power rationalisation, nuclear energy and natural gas.

The Jordan Atomic Energy Commission and the Czech Nuclear Research Centre also signed a cooperation agreement in the fields of research and nuclear safety.

The Jordan Chamber of Commerce and the Czech Industrial Union signed a memorandum of understanding to increase bilateral cooperation. 

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