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What impact will Trump have on the world economy?

By - Nov 06,2024 - Last updated at Nov 06,2024

PARIS — Donald Trump's return to the White House with his protectionist policies poses threats for the global economy, with the prospect of new trade wars, resurgent inflation and slower growth, experts say.

Global trade threatened? 

During his first term in office from 2017 to 2021, Trump often resorted to punitive tariffs in disputes with trade partners.

In this 2024 campaign, he pledged to impose an additional 60 per cent import tariff on Chinese products and an extra 10 per cent tariff on products from the rest of the world.

Taking into account the probable retaliatory measures from Beijing and Brussels, the impact on the European Union economy will be $533 billion through 2029, $749 billion for the United States and $827 billion for China, according to a study by the Roland Berger consulting firm.

A separate study by the London School of Economics estimated that the impact on emerging market nations such as India, Indonesia and Brazil would be much less.

Jamie Thompson, head of macroeconomic forecasting at London-based Oxford Economics, said he sees little short-term economic impact due to the delays in implementing policies, but they could be positive for growth.

"While the outlook for 2025 is essentially unchanged, global growth is likely to be a little stronger in 2026 and 2027 on the back of the election result, as the impact of looser US fiscal policy more than offsets the drag from targeted tariff measures," he told AFP.

But if across-the-board tariffs are imposed it "could leave the global economy around 0.75 per cent smaller — and global trade down some three per cent — by the end of the decade," he added.

The prospects for international cooperation, which can boost trade and growth, will also be dimmer under a second Trump administration, said Tara Varma, a visiting fellow at the Brookings Institution, a US think tank.

"The multilateral world of the 1990-2000s will no longer exist," she said, adding that she anticipates a brutal change in US policies.

A surge in inflation?

Donald Trump's policies could also rekindle inflation, which cooled following a series of interest-rate hikes that the Federal Reserve began to unwind this year.

The Peterson Institute for International Economics, a US think tank, estimated it could add between two and four percentage points to China's inflation rate.

The impact of "immigration policy is as important as global trade" on inflation, noted for his part Gilles Moec, chief economist at insurer Axa.

If Trump follows through with talk of a massive expulsion of unauthorised immigrants it could aggravate the labour shortage in the United States.

The Pew Research Center estimated that 8.3 million unauthorised workers could be affected.

The Peterson Institute for International Economics estimated this could add more than two per centage points to the US inflation rate next year, 0.2 percentage points in Europe and 0.6 percentage points in China.

Moec noted the surge in inflation would force central banks to hit the brakes on the cycle of interest rate cuts they began earlier this year as inflation subsided.

Analysts had been looking at lower interest rates to spur consumers to spend and companies to invest and put some more wind into the sails of the global economy.

Trade war to snuff out growth?

The trade war that Trump has threatened to wage against China risks sapping global growth.

Asia accounts for 60 per cent of global growth, but would be hit hard by a trade war between the United States and China, the International Monetary Fund warned earlier this month.

The United States has also been one of the fastest growing developed economies but Trump's policies risk shaving two percentage points off US GDP per year between 2027 and 2031 from baseline estimates, according to a forecast from the Peterson Institute.

 

Dollar soars, bitcoin hits record, as Trump claims victory

By - Nov 06,2024 - Last updated at Nov 06,2024

The Fearless Girl a bronze sculpture by Kristen Visbal, stands across from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) building in the Financial District in New York City on Wednesday (AFP photo)

HONG KONG — The dollar surged and bitcoin hit a record high Wednesday before Donald Trump claimed victory in the US election, with traders ramping up bets on fresh tax cuts, tariffs, and rising inflation.

While polls had shown the race on a knife edge, the Republican fared far better than his Democratic opponent Vice President Kamala Harris as results rolled in.

Both candidates picked up expected wins in safe states, but indications that the business tycoon was on course for a second term boosted the so-called Trump Trade.

While victory is not yet official, Trump claimed it in a speech in Florida, saying: "We are going to help our country heal... We have a country that needs help and it needs help very badly."

News that the former president's party had won control of the Senate boosted the prospect of sweeping tax cuts, more tariffs, and deregulation — seen as a boost for the greenback.

The dollar jumped 1.5 per cent to 154.38 yen, its highest since July, while it was also up more than one per cent against the euro and more than three per cent against the Mexican peso.

Bitcoin sprung $6,000 higher to a record $75,371.69, topping its previous peak of $73,797.98 in March.

Trump has pledged to make the United States the "bitcoin and cryptocurrency capital of the world" and to put tech billionaire Elon Musk in charge of a wide-ranging audit of governmental waste.

 

"The price of bitcoin has closely followed Trump's position in the polls and on betting markets," Russ Mould, an analyst at AJ Bell, said ahead of Tuesday's US election.

Investors are "potentially taking the view that a Republican victory would lead to a surge in demand for the digital currency", he added.

Analysts said a clean sweep of Congress and the White House for Trump and Republicans would likely boost the dollar and Treasury yields owing to his plans to cut taxes and impose tariffs on imports.

Peter Esho, economist and founder at Esho Capital, said: "The markets are scrambling to figure out what happens next, but for the time being, the market is pricing in a higher growth and higher inflation outlook."

'Trade and tariffs and taxation'

And Neil Wilson at Finalto trading group said: "Trade and tariffs and taxation would be the three Ts of the Trump Trade, followed by deregulation."

But he added: "Bear in mind as a caveat that the House is still up for grabs and Trump had complete control of Congress last time and it didn't mean he could do everything he said he world."

Such an outcome could provide a headache for Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell as he continues his battle to bring inflation to heel, with Trump's plans considered inflationary.

The election comes as the central bank prepares to deliver its latest policy decision Thursday amid expectations it will cut interest rates by 25 basis points, having lowered them by 50 points in September.

The dollar's surge against the yen rallied stocks more than three per cent in Tokyo at one point thanks to gains in exporters, while markets Sydney, Singapore, Taipei, Mumbai and Bangkok also rose.

However, there were losses in Shanghai, Seoul, Wellington, Manila and Jakarta.

Hong Kong was also well down — at one point diving almost three per cent — on worries about the impact of a Trump presidency on China's economy and relations between Beijing and Washington.

London, Paris and Frankfurt all rose at the open.

US futures also rallied.

Traders had been given a strong lead from Wall Street, where all three main indexes climbed more than one per cent.

While the result of the election is being closely followed globally, it is of real interest in China after Trump vowed to ratchet up a trade battle with the economic titan by imposing massive tariffs on goods from the country.

The vote comes as Chinese leaders hold a key meeting to hammer out a package of stimulus measures aimed at kickstarting growth and providing support to the colossal property sector, which is mired in a painful debt crisis.

Beijing said Wednesday it hoped for "peaceful coexistence" with the United States as Trump looked set for victory.

 

Saudi Aramco says quarterly profit drops 15% on low oil prices

By - Nov 05,2024 - Last updated at Nov 05,2024

A picture taken in Riyadh shows an Aramco gas station on the outskirts of the Saudi capital on Tuesday (AFP photo)

RIYADH, Saudi Arabia — Energy giant Saudi Aramco reported a 15 per cent year-on-year drop in third quarter profit on Tuesday, citing low oil prices.

The fall in net income to $27.56 billion this year from $32.58 billion in 2023 "was mainly due to the impact of lower crude oil prices and weakening refining margins", the firm said in a statement posted to the Saudi stock exchange.

Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest crude exporter, is currently producing roughly nine million barrels per day (bpd), well below its capacity of 12 million bpd.

This reflects a series of output cuts since October 2022.

On Sunday Saudi Arabia and seven other members of the OPEC+ group of oil-producing nations said they were extending a 2.2 million-barrel reduction announced in November 2023 by another month, until the end of December.

"Aramco delivered robust net income and generated strong free cash flow during the third quarter, despite a lower oil price environment," chief executive Amin Nasser said in a statement.

The firm was striving "to cement our position as a leading global energy and petrochemicals player", he added.

Aramco is the jewel of the Saudi economy and the main source of revenue for Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's Vision 2030 reform agenda, which aims to set the Gulf kingdom up for a prosperous post-oil future.

Its profits help finance flagship projects including NEOM, the planned futuristic mega-city being built in the desert, a giant airport in Riyadh and major tourism and leisure developments.

Aramco reported record profits in 2022 after Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent oil prices soaring.

But its profits dropped by a quarter last year because of lower oil prices and production cuts.

Profits were down 14.5 per cent in the first quarter of this year and 3.4 per cent in the second quarter.

Lower expectations 

The year-on-year drop in Aramco's profits "isn't coming as a surprise to the government which has already revised down revenue expectations for this year based on weakening oil markets", said Jamie Ingram, senior editor at the Middle East Economic Survey.

"When it comes to oil production policy, they'll be trying to assess what will ultimately bring in the most revenue. Is it maximising volumes or maximising prices? For now, the strategy remains the latter."

The IMF said in April that, at current production levels, Saudi Arabia's fiscal break-even oil price would be $96.2 per barrel in 2024.

Brent, the international benchmark, has been volatile and consistently well below that, priced at around $75 per barrel on Tuesday.

The Saudi finance ministry said in September it expected a budget deficit of 2.3 per cent of GDP in 2025 and for deficits to continue through 2027.

The government's stake in Aramco, one of the world's biggest companies by market capitalisation, is around 81.5 per cent.

Aramco's initial public offering in 2019, the biggest flotation in history, raised $29.4 billion, and a secondary offering this year of nearly 1.7 billion shares fetched $12.35 billion.

In January, Aramco said it had been instructed to abandon a plan to increase production capacity to 13 million barrels per day, up from its current level of 12 million bpd.

Analysts said the surprise announcement could reflect a lack of confidence in demand, although Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said it was motivated by the transition to cleaner fuels.

Saudi Arabia has pledged to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2060, a statement that has drawn intense scepticism from environmental activists.

Aramco has also vowed to achieve "operational net-zero" carbon emissions by 2050, which does not include the emissions from customers burning its products.

Climate finance billions at stake at COP29

By - Nov 04,2024 - Last updated at Nov 04,2024

PARIS — Rich nations will be under pressure at this month's UN COP29 conference to substantially increase the amount of money they give to poorer countries for climate action.

But there is deep disagreement over how much is needed, who should pay and what should be covered, ensuring that "climate finance" will top the agenda at COP29 in Baku.

What is climate finance?

It is the buzzword in this year's negotiations, which run from November 11 to 22, but there is not one agreed definition of climate finance.

In general terms, it is money spent in a manner "consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate-resilient development", as per phrasing used in the Paris Agreement.

That includes government or private money for clean energy like solar and wind, technology like electric vehicles, or adaptation measures like dykes to hold back rising seas.

But could a subsidy for a new water-efficient hotel, for example, be counted? It is not something the COP summits have addressed directly.

At the annual UN negotiations, climate finance has come to refer to the difficulties the developing world faces getting the money it needs to prepare for global warming.

Who pays?

Under a 1992 UN accord, a handful of rich countries most responsible for global warming were obligated to provide finance.

In 2009, the United States, the European Union, Japan, Britain, Canada, Switzerland, Norway, Iceland, New Zealand and Australia agreed to pay $100 billion per year by 2020.

They only achieved this for the first time in 2022. The delay eroded trust and fuelled accusations that rich countries were shirking their responsibility.

At COP29, nearly 200 nations are expected to agree on a new finance goal beyond 2025.

India has called for $1 trillion a year and some other proposals go higher, but countries on the hook want other major economies to chip in.

They argue times have changed and the big industrialised nations of the early 1990s represent just 30 per cent of historic greenhouse gas emissions today.

In particular, there is a push for China — the world's largest polluter today — and the oil-rich Gulf countries to pay. They do not accept this proposal.

What's being negotiated?

Experts commissioned by the UN estimate that developing countries, excluding China, will need $2.4 trillion per year by 2030.

But the line between climate finance, foreign aid and private capital is often blurred and campaigners are pushing for clearer terms that specify where money comes from, and in what form.

In an October letter to governments, dozens of activist, environment and scientific groups called on rich nations to pay developing countries $1 trillion a year in three clear categories.

Some $300 billion would be government money for reducing planet-heating emissions, $300 billion for adaptation measures and $400 billion for disaster relief known as "loss and damage" funds.

The signatories said all the money should be grants, seeking to redress the provision of loans as climate finance that poorer countries say compounds their debt woes.

Developed countries do not want money for "loss and damage" included under any new climate finance pact reached at COP29.

Where will they find the money?

Today, most climate finance aid goes through development banks or funds co-managed with the countries concerned, such as the Green Climate Fund and the Global Environment Facility.

Campaigners are very critical of the $100 billion pledge because two-thirds of the money was given as loans, not grants.

Even revised upwards, it is likely any new pledge from governments will fall well short of what is needed.

But this commitment is viewed as highly symbolic nonetheless, and crucial to unlocking other sources of money, namely private capital.

Financial diplomacy also plays out at the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the G20, where this year's host Brazil wants to craft a global tax on billionaires.

The idea of new global taxes, for example on aviation or maritime transport, is also supported by France, Kenya and Barbados, with the backing of UN chief Antonio Guterres.

Redirecting fossil fuel subsidies towards clean energy or wiping the debt of poor countries in exchange for climate investments are also among the options.

COP29 host Azerbaijan, meanwhile, has asked fossil fuel producers to contribute to a new fund that would channel money to developing countries.

 

China to hash out stimulus plan with US elections in its sights

By - Nov 04,2024 - Last updated at Nov 04,2024

People walk in a quiet shopping mall in Beijing on November 3, 2024. (AFP file photo)

BEIJING — China's top lawmakers gather Monday to hash out a major stimulus package that analysts say could grow even bigger if former US president Donald Trump wins the White House this week.

Beijing has in recent months heeded calls to step up support for the economy after years of inaction, announcing a raft of measures including rate cuts and the easing of some home buying restrictions.

But they have refrained from unveiling a figure for the long-awaited stimulus, disappointing investors after a market rally fizzled when officials repeatedly failed to commit to a top line.

Analysts now hope this number could emerge from this week's meeting of the Standing Committee of National People's Congress, the top body of China's rubber stamp parliament and headed by number three official Zhao Leji.

The standing committee reviews and approves all legislation, including allocating funds out of China's budget.

"We are expecting more details on the proposals to be passed," said Heron Lim of Moody's Analytics, including "how this extra funding would be allocated to address the near-term economic issues".

Nomura economists expect lawmakers this week to approve around a trillion yuan ($140 billion) in extra budget — mostly for indebted local governments.

Analysts also expect Beijing to approve a one-off one trillion yuan for banks, aimed at writing off non-performing loans over the past four years.

"A lot of money will go to cover losses," added Natixis' Alicia Garcia Herrero.

"It's not really a growth push."

Concrete measures are expected to be announced when the meeting wraps up on Friday — in time for Beijing to take stock of results of presidential elections in the United States.

"We believe the US election results will have some impact on the size of Beijing's stimulus package," said Ting Lu, Nomura's Chief China Economist, in a research note.

Both candidates in the race have pledged to get tougher on Beijing, with Trump promising tariffs of 60 per cent on all Chinese goods coming into the country.

'Major challenges'

Nomura economists expect Beijing to adjust the size of its stimulus depending on the outcome.

"In our view, the size of China's fiscal stimulus package would be around 10 to 20 per cent bigger under a Trump win than under the scenario of a (Kamala) Harris win," Lu wrote.

But he said that "the major challenges for Beijing emanate from within rather than outside".

China is battling sluggish domestic consumption, a persistent crisis in the property sector and soaring government debt — all of which threaten Beijing's official growth target of five percent for this year.

The property sector was long a key driver of growth, but is now mired in a sea of debt.

Average prices of new residential property ticked up slightly last month, according to a survey of 100 cities by independent researcher China Index Academy.

But China's cities and provinces are still on the hook for a trove of unfinished and unsold housing units, and repurchasing them could cost Beijing up to 3.3 trillion yuan, according to Natixis estimates.

Prolonged housing woes continue to lead to weak consumer consumption, according to Lim of Moody's Analytics.

"The average Chinese consumer with existing mortgages does not feel their wealth is increasing," he said.

The issue of how local governments manage debt is also set to come under scrutiny at the NPC meeting this week.

Authorities at and above the county level will be required to report their debt situation to the NPC each year, Huang Haihua, spokesman for the NPC standing committee's legislative affairs commission, said at a briefing Friday.

But China's economic woes run deeper than local mismanagement and empty homes.

"The overall economy is losing productivity out of basically misallocated savings," said Garcia Herrero, referring to issues within China's industrial policy spending, including extensive subsidies.

"They need to really change all of that," she said.

Apple narrowly beats estimates, with boost from iPhone sales

By - Nov 03,2024 - Last updated at Nov 03,2024

The logo of US tech giant Apple can be seen on an Apple store in Munich, southern Germany (AFP file photo)

SAN FRANCISCO — Apple reported revenues last week that narrowly surpassed analyst expectations, sending shares lower in after-hours trading even as it enjoyed a boost from iPhone sales.

The company saw quarterly revenue of $94.9 billion in the three months ending September 28, up from the same period last year, in a closely watched report as investors seek to gauge demand for its latest iPhones.

Revenue in greater China, however, showed weakness — falling slightly from the same period a year earlier to $15 billion.

Apple's iPhone sales came in at $46.2 billion, compared with expectations of $45.2 billion for the company's key product.

"Today Apple is reporting a new September quarter revenue record," said CEO Tim Cook in a statement, adding that the quarter included the company's launch of a new iPhone 16 lineup.

Investors are eyeing demand for new iPhones with artificial intelligence features, and Apple launched its iPhone 16 in September.

The company has since rolled out its first set of AI features dubbed "Apple Intelligence," across its premium iPhone, iPad and Mac devices — marking its major push into generative AI.

Besides Apple, other tech giants like Google, Microsoft and Amazon are convinced that generative AI's powers are the next chapter of computing — boosting spending so as not to be left behind.

Housing Bank achieves net profit of JD118.9 million during first nine months of 2024

By - Nov 02,2024 - Last updated at Nov 02,2024

 

AMMAN — The Housing Bank for Trade and Finance (HBTF) Group announced its financial results for the first nine months of 2024, reporting net profits after provisions and taxes of JD118.9 million, representing an increase of 5.0% compared to the same period last year.

Commenting on these financial results, Abdel Elah Al-Khatib, Chairman of the Board of Directors, expressed his satisfaction with the positive performance, which reflects the strength of Housing Bank and its ability to achieve sustainable growth. He emphasized his pride in the Bank's performance and its success in maintaining the legacy of the Group, which has spanned over five decades of successes, achievements, and excellence.

Al-Khatib added that the Group’s ability to achieve these profits during the first nine months of the year underscores the Bank's efficiency in dealing with exceptional challenging circumstances and ongoing geopolitical developments, along with their effects and repercussions on many economic and service sectors.

From his side, Ammar Al-Safadi, Chief Executive Officer of HBTF Group, affirmed that the key financial indicators for the first nine months of 2024 reflect the Group's solid financial position and its efficient and flexible deployment of resources in line with its comprehensive strategy, which is characterized by flexibility, modernity, and development across its various operational sectors. This has led to the achievement of the targeted growth.

Al-Safadi expressed his pride in the continued positive performance of the Bank during the first nine months of the year and its ability to achieve sustainable growth derived from the key operational sectors, which have continued to meet the planned performance across various financial indicators.

Furthermore, Al-Safadi noted that, with this exceptional financial performance, the Housing Bank Group continued to apply its prudent approach to risk management, increasing provisions for expected credit losses as precautionary measures to hedge against any potential economic conditions or challenges.

Additionally, Al-Safadi noted that the return on equity to shareholders increased to 12.0%, while the return on average assets increased to 1.77% during the first nine months of the current year. This outstanding performance reflects the Bank’s operational efficiency and successful asset and liability management to deliver the greatest return to the shareholders.

Al-Safadi praised the diverse activities of the Bank that contribute to building long-term value for shareholders and clients, highlighting ongoing efforts in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) sustainability. Al-Safadi also pointed out collaborations with European financing entities and sovereign funds to support green financing and the development of an ESG risk management strategy aligned with best practices and the Central Bank of Jordan's guidelines in this field. 

During the first nine months of 2024, the Group’s net credit facilities increased by 5.2% to reach JD4.7 billion as at the end of September 2024. This growth positively impacted the total income, operating profit, and market share of the Bank.

Moreover, the Group continued to strengthen its sources of funds, as customer deposits increased by 6.1% to reach JD6.0 billion by the end of September 2024. The total equity amounted to JD1.4 billion, while the capital adequacy ratio reached 18.6%, which is higher than the minimum regulatory requirements of the Central Bank of Jordan and the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.

Al-Safadi affirmed that the Bank will continue its comprehensive strategy characterized by flexibility and modernity, keeping pace with the best digital applications and adhering to global banking best practices. This aims to provide the best banking services to clients and maintain their satisfaction, upholding the Housing Bank's position in the Jordanian banking sector.

Wall Street bounces while oil prices climb on Middle East worries

By - Nov 02,2024 - Last updated at Nov 02,2024

LONDON — Wall Street stocks rebounded Friday from tame tech earnings and investor jitters less than a week before a neck-and-neck US presidential election.

Oil prices gained following reports that Iran was planning a major retaliatory strike on Israel, reviving the market's geopolitical fears.

Big tech delivered a mixed bag of earnings this week, with concerns over AI spending overshadowing better-than-expected results from Microsoft and Facebook-parent Meta.

Wall Street closed sharply lower Thursday, with the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite index dropping nearly three per cent.

But they snapped higher on Friday, with the Nasdaq gaining more than one per cent in what Briefing.com analyst Patrick O'Hare called buy-the-dip action following Thursday's losses.

"The pertinent question is, will buy-the-dip interest win out (again) or will there be follow-through selling?"

Data showing US job growth slowed drastically in October — albeit affected by hurricanes and strikes — reassured investors that the US Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates.

The world's biggest economy added 12,000 jobs last month, far below expectations and down from a revised 223,000 in September, said the Department of Labor in its monthly non-farm payrolls report.

"The key takeaway from the report is that it has reinvigorated the market's view that the Fed will stay on a steady rate-cut path," O'Hare said.

Expectations of a major rate cut by the Fed, like the bumper 50 basis point cut in September, have receded after data showed strong economic growth in the United States and inflation just above the central bank's long-term two per cent target.

But the "lower-than-expected jobs creation could prompt the Fed to follow through with the widely anticipated 25 basis point cut following their next meeting later next week," said Mahmoud Alkudsi, senior market analyst at ADSS brokerage.

eToro US investment analyst Bret Kenwell said the October jobs numbers "should keep a December rate cut on the table, too".

Separate data showed that activity in the US manufacturing sector contracted for a seventh straight month in October.

The fresh economic data came ahead of next week's coin-toss US election between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump, with jobs and the cost of living being key issues for voters.

Major European markets closed the day higher.

London gained 0.8 per cent despite lingering fears of the consequences of the Labour government's high-tax, high-spending budget unveiled this week.

Britain's 10-year borrowing rate reached its highest level since November 2023 on Thursday, on fears of a resurgence in inflation.

"Worries continue to swirl about the UK Budget stoking inflation and adding to the debt burden," said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Asian markets closed mixed, with Tokyo down more than two per cent as tech shares on the Nikkei were dragged down following the drop on Wall Street.

Shanghai also ended lower despite a forecast-beating Chinese manufacturing report that boosted hopes for a recovery in the world's second-largest economy.

"Markets have already priced in some risks of a second Trump presidency as they await the US presidential election," Lloyd Chan, an analyst at MUFG Global Markets Research, said in a note.

He added that Trump's proposed economic policies, including tariffs, could hurt the outlook for Asian economies.

Arab Bank Group reports net profit of $748.6m for first nine months of 2024

By - Nov 02,2024 - Last updated at Nov 02,2024

Arab Bank Group continues to deliver strong financial performance, reporting net income after tax of $748.6 million in the first nine months of this year (Photo courtesy of Arab Bank)

AMMAN — Arab Bank Group continues to deliver strong financial performance, reporting net income after tax of $748.6 million in the first nine months of this year compared to $630.3 million for the same period last year, with an increase of 19 per cent. 

The Group’s assets grew by 6 percent reaching $70.5 billion. At constant currency loans grew by 8 per cent to reach $38.3 billion, while deposits grew by 7 per cent to reach $51.9 billion. The Group maintained its solid capital base with a total equity of $11.9 billion, according to a statement to The Jordan Times. 

Chairman of the Board of Directors Sabih Masri said in the statement that the results reflect the successful and consistent execution of the Group’s growth strategy and its prudent approach towards managing risks, liquidity and capital to ensure achieving growth objectives despite challenging market environment.

Chief Executive Officer Randa Sadik said that the Group continues to achieve growth milestones across different segments. Sadik highlighted that the bank’s net operating income grew by 12 per cent driven by diversified core banking activities, and improvement of operating efficiency.

Sadik added that the Group’s performance in the first nine months of this year reflect its business model resilience to challenging market conditions with loan-to-deposit ratio at 73.9 per cent, and credit provisions against non-performing loans above 100 per cent, and capital adequacy ratio of 17.7 per cent.

Sadik underlined the Group’s focus on digital transformation as a fundamental pillar of its innovation-based strategy; providing digital financial solutions across all channels to enrich customers’ experience.

Arab Bank was named “Best Bank in the Middle East 2024” by Global Finance for the ninth consecutive year.

Mideast conflicts to leave 'lasting scars' - IMF

By - Oct 31,2024 - Last updated at Oct 31,2024

A Palestinian man carries a bag of wheat flour distributed at an aid distribution centre of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip on August 3, 2015 (AFP photo)

DUBAI  — Gaza, Lebanon and Sudan will take decades to recover from the conflicts raging on their soil, the International Monetary Fund said on Thursday after downgrading the region's growth forecast.

 

Israel's military actions against Hamas in the Gaza Strip and Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Sudan's civil war would have enduring impacts, the IMF said.

 

"The damage caused by these conflicts will leave lasting scars at their epicentres for decades," the global lender said in a statement.

 

The IMF has lowered its predicted growth for the Middle East and Central Asia to 2.1 per cent for 2024, a drop of 0.6 percent due to the wars and lower oil production.

 

Depending on the conflicts, growth should rise to 4.0 percent next year, according to the IMF's Regional Economic Outlook which was compiled in September.

 

"This year has been challenging with conflicts causing devastating human suffering and lasting economic damage," Jihad Azour, the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia Department director, told reporters in Dubai.

 

"The recent escalation in Lebanon has greatly increased the uncertainty in the whole MENA region."

 

IMF forecasts for Lebanon, where conflict with Israel has sharply escalated this month, have been suspended. But "conservative" estimates show a 9.0-10 per cent contraction this year, Azour said.

 

"The impact [on Lebanon] will be severe and it will depend how long this conflict will last," said the former Lebanese finance minister.

 

Saudi-led oil cuts through the OPEC+ cartel, aimed at propping up prices, "are contributing to sluggish near-term growth in many economies", the IMF said.

 

For the region's oil exporters, "medium-term growth is projected to moderate, as economic diversification reforms will take time to yield results", it added.

 

Downside risks continue to dominate, the lender said, including fluctuating commodity prices, conflicts and climate shocks.

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