You are here

Business

Business section

Lebanon central bank audit demanded by creditors to resume

By - Oct 21,2021 - Last updated at Oct 21,2021

This file photo, taken on December 16, 2018, shows a demonstrator looking on as Lebanese policemen stand guard outside the Central Bank in the capital Beirut (AFP photo)

BEIRUT — A New York-based firm contracted by the Lebanese government is to resume its audit of the central bank on Thursday in line with creditors' demands, the Lebanese presidency and a top official said.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and France are among creditors demanding an audit of Banque du Liban.

The move is part of urgent reforms to unlock financial support to deal with an economic crisis branded by the World Bank as one of the planet's worst since the mid-19th century.

Some observers have warned the audit is unlikely to yield the kind of revelations that could hold Lebanon's ruling elite accountable for the alleged corruption and mismanagement that caused the collapse.

The Alvarez & Marsal (A&M) auditing firm had launched an audit in September last year but was forced to pull out some two months later because the central bank failed to hand over necessary data.

On Wednesday, President Michel Aoun met with A&M managing director James Daniell, who informed him that "the company will begin tomorrow its forensic financial audit of Lebanon's central bank after all arrangements were completed", the presidency said.

Finance ministry official Georges Maarawi said that the firm "will have 12 weeks to collect information and draft a report", under the terms of its contract with the Lebanese government. 

Finance Minister Youssef Khalil signed the contract with A&M last month, only days after he took up his post.

Experts have expressed doubts that the terms of the contract and the limited time given to auditors will allow for a credible investigation.

"As long as the auditors don't have direct access to servers, IT and accounting systems and the work isn't overseen by the competent authorities... then I don't expect anything out of it," financial analyst Mike Azar said.

"The way the work is structured now will most likely not result in an honest and thorough forensic audit," he told AFP.

In December, parliament approved a bill that suspends banking secrecy laws for one year to allow for the forensic audit — which is widely seen as a necessary prelude to any agreement with the IMF over financial assistance.

Finance ministry official Maarawi said Lebanese authorities were holding "technical meetings" with the IMF, without elaborating.

Following a meeting with IMF executive director Mahmoud Mohieldin on Tuesday, Prime Minister Najib Mikati said that Lebanon was betting on an IMF plan to help it survive its unprecedented financial crunch.

"We hope to clinch a cooperation agreement before the end of the year," he said. 

Frankfurt book event opens this week

By - Oct 19,2021 - Last updated at Oct 19,2021

FRANKFURT — The Frankfurt book fair, the world's largest, opens its doors this week to a publishing industry in robust health after the pandemic boosted reading — but supply chain concerns threaten to dampen the mood.

After going almost fully digital in 2020 to curb the coronavirus spread, this year's fair is returning as an in-person event but will still be a more muted version of past editions. 

"Back to business does not mean back to normal," fair director Juergen Boos said at the opening press ceremony on Tuesday, adding that the event nevertheless offered a chance for the industry to "reconnect".

It comes as the book business has been "doing pretty well over the past 18 months", according to Boos, with people in many countries using the slower pace of life during lockdown to read more — adolescents especially.

In the United States, printed book sales rose by more than eight per cent in 2020 to record their best year in a decade, according to the NPD research group.

Growth was driven by teen categories but also adult non-fiction, as people turned to cookbooks and DIY books to pass the time at home.

In Germany, the European Union's largest book market, bookstores used the shutdowns to expand their online sales, leading to a 20 per cent jump in internet revenues to 2.2 billion euros ($2.5 billion). Audio and e-books also saw double-digit growth.

"The book industry has passed the COVID stress test," said Karin Schmidt-Friderichs, chairwoman of the German Publishers and Booksellers Association. 

"Books can fulfil important needs in challenging times," she said. "They provide answers to questions... can offer food for thought, give courage and hope."

The fair, which opens to trade visitors first before welcoming the general public later in the week, runs until Sunday.

The kick-off was immediately marred by controversy, however, after Germany's Jasmina Kuhnke, a black author and anti-racism activist, cancelled her planned appearance.

She said she was protesting the presence of a far-right publisher at the fair, after receiving threats from the far-right scene.

But Boos defended the decision to give a platform to right-wing publishing companies.

"We don't have to like it, but it has to be possible because freedom of expression, freedom to publish are the highest good to us."

Christmas concerns 

Despite weathering the pandemic well, the news for the publishing industry is not all good.

The book trade, with global revenues of around $100 billion annually, is not immune to the worldwide shortages of raw materials and supply chain disruptions roiling economies as countries rebound from the coronavirus downturn.

With the crucial Christmas holiday season fast approaching, publishers are sounding the alarm about paper shortages, bottlenecks at shipping ports and higher transport costs.

"I fear that this Christmas people cannot be sure of getting any book they want at short notice," Jonathan Beck, head of renowned German publishing house C.H. Beck, told the Handelsblatt financial daily. He also warned that books could become more expensive.

Atwood phoning in 

This week's Frankfurt gathering is the latest example of trade fairs stirring back to life, and comes after the German city of Munich welcomed 400,000 visitors to the IAA auto show in September.

Daily visitor numbers are capped at 25,000 and Frankfurt fairgoers must wear masks and show proof of vaccination, recovery from COVID or a negative test.

More than 2,000 exhibitors from more than 80 countries are attending, well below the 7,500 exhibitors from over 100 countries that took part in 2019. Some 300 authors are coming.

Uncertainty about travel restrictions and virus concerns are keeping many large publishing houses and big-name writers away, particularly from the US, Asia and South America. 

Canadian authors including Michel Jean, Dany Laferriere and Michael Crummey will be among those joining in person, as part of the Canada's role as guest of honour.

But the nation's star author Margaret Atwood of "The Handmaid's Tale" fame, a Frankfurt regular in recent years, will only be appearing via video link.

IMF: Mideast economy recovering but uncertainty continues

By - Oct 19,2021 - Last updated at Oct 19,2021

DUBAI — The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is on track to economic recovery, but rising social unrest and unemployment are threatening to hinder "progress", the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday.

The MENA region, which includes the Arab countries and Iran, saw its real gross domestic product (GDP) growth shrink by 3.1 per cent in 2020 due to lower oil prices and sweeping lockdowns to prevent the spread of the coronavirus.

But with rapid vaccination campaigns, particularly in the Gulf nations, the IMF predicted that GDP growth would rise to 4.1 per cent this year, a slight upgrade of 0.1 per cent from the last projection in April.

"The region is going through recovery in 2021. Since the beginning of the year, we see progress in the economic performance," Jihad Azour, director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the IMF, told AFP in an interview.

But "this recovery is not the same in all countries. It is uncertain and uneven because of the divergence in vaccination... and geopolitical developments", Azour added.

The IMF said this month that while prospects for oil-exporting economies improved with higher oil prices, low-income and crisis-hit countries are witnessing "fragile" recoveries.

It warned of "a rise in social unrest" in 2021 that "could pick up further due to repeated infection waves, dire economic conditions, high unemployment and food prices".

Unemployment rates increased in MENA last year by 1.4 per cent to reach 11.6 per cent. 

This rise exceeds that seen during the global financial crisis and the 2014-15 oil price shock, the IMF said.

The fund also warned of the longer-term risk of the uneven recovery, which could lead to a "permanent widening of existing wealth, income, and social gaps and, ultimately, weaker growth and less inclusive societies".

About seven million more people in the region are estimated to have entered extreme poverty during 2020-21 compared to pre-crisis projections, according to the IMF.

In Lebanon, the continuing drop in the value of the currency has dashed hopes that the government formed last month can stem an economic crisis, branded by the World Bank as one of the worst since the mid-19th century.

Nearly 80 per cent of the Lebanese population lives below the poverty line. 

"The Fund has already started technical discussions with the authorities... to develop what would be in fact that the framework within which the fund can help Lebanon," said Azour, a former Lebanese finance minister.

Johnson urges green investment in post-Brexit Britain

By - Oct 19,2021 - Last updated at Oct 19,2021

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson (right) and Microsoft founder-turned-philanthropist Bill Gates have a discussion on stage during the Global Investment Summit at the Science Museum in London, on Tuesday (AFP photo)

LONDON — Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Tuesday urged foreign investors to buy into post-Brexit Britain, as he seeks to power the country's future prosperity on renewable energy.

The UK leader kicked off a Global Investment Summit in London by announcing a £400 million ($552 million, 473 million euros) partnership with the Bill Gates Foundation to invest in emerging green technologies.

The tie-up, which will see both sides stump up £200 million, follows Spanish renewable energy giant Iberdrola announcing late Monday plans to invest £6 billion creating Britain's biggest offshore wind development.

Johnson, who has outlined plans for the UK to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, is hoping to burnish his green credentials before hosting world leaders at a critical UN climate change gathering in Glasgow next month.

He also wants to boost investment to grow Britain's economy as it grapples with the fall-out from the coronavirus pandemic and Brexit, which have combined to strain the logistics sector, labour market and other areas.

In his sales pitch, Johnson promised government backing for private investment in sustainable projects, promising Britain was now "moving in an exciting new direction with a green, industrial revolution, with new regulatory freedoms".

But some government plans to cut carbon emissions have come under fire for not going far enough.

Homeowners in England and Wales will be offered subsidies of £5,000 from next year as part of a £450 million scheme to help them replace old gas boilers with low-carbon heat pumps.

But experts pointed out that the grants will fund just 90,000 of the devices, and a better alternative would be to reduce energy demand by improving home insulation.

Activists from the campaign group Insulate Britain have sought to highlight that issue by blocking motorways and main roads in recent weeks.

Scaling up 

The Gates Foundation tie-up — run through the Microsoft co-founder's Breakthrough Energy Catalyst arm, set up in 2015 alongside private investors — will focus on four key green technology areas.

They include green hydrogen, long-term energy storage, sustainable aviation fuels and so-called direct air capture, which harnesses carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

Appearing with Johnson, Gates said the joint investment would begin next year and he hoped that at least one of them would be "ready to scale" within five years and the remainder within a decade.

"We're going to take these technologies which are not yet economic... and we will scale those up and bring down that cost, so we'll get these to the same place we are today with solar and onshore wind," he added.

Meanwhile, once operational Iberdrola's wind project off the east coast of England — involving its subsidiary Scottish Power — would supply enough energy to power 2.7 million homes and create 7,000 jobs.

The project, which still requires planning consent, is one of 18 deals worth a total of £9.7 billion and creating a potential 30,000-plus jobs to be formally announced at the summit.

The government said it will also launch a new "Investment Atlas" showcasing strategic investment opportunities across the UK as it seeks to deliver on one of its central 2019 election pledges to reduce regional inequality.

Apple supplier Foxconn unveils electric vehicles

By - Oct 18,2021 - Last updated at Oct 18,2021

This photo taken on Monday shows Foxconn’s new electric bus on display during its unveiling at the Nangang exhibition centre in Taipei (AFP photo)

TAIPEI — Taiwanese tech giant Foxconn unveiled three electric vehicles on Monday, boosting its bid to be a major player in the rapidly expanding EV market as it seeks companies to partner with.

The world's largest contract electronics maker, Foxconn already plays a lynchpin role in assembling Apple's iPhones as well as gadgets for a myriad of top international brands. 

But it has been moving fast to diversify beyond electronics assembly and has ploughed money into electric vehicles, including a joint venture with local automaker Yulon Motor and purchasing a struggling auto plant in Ohio.

The models unveiled on Monday — a sedan, an SUV and a bus — are concept vehicles that Foxconn hopes it could build with other manufacturers.

"Foxconn is no longer a new kid in town," Chairman Young Liu declared at the unveiling ceremony in Taipei.

Foxconn's founder Terry Gou drove their "Model E" sedan to the presentation and said the company's EVs "demonstrate Taiwan's overall industrial strength".

A white sports utility vehicle — "Model C" — is expected to hit the market in Taiwan in 2023 with a price tag of under Tw$1 million ($357,000), the firm said. 

Its "Model T" electric bus could start operating in southern Kaohsiung city as early as next year if it passes the transport ministry's review, Vice Premier Shen Jong-chin said.

Foxconn has funnelled about Tw$10 billion ($355 million) into electric car development in 2020 and the company says its investment will rise over the next two years. 

Liu said the company "has gradually built an electric vehicle supply chain and distribution network", with one new partnership announced almost every month this year.

Among its recent partners is Fisker, one of a host of US-based electronic car startups hoping to one day challenge Tesla's supremacy. 

The two companies announced plans to jointly develop electric cars sold under the Fisker brand with a goal to start producing vehicles in late 2023.

It has been widely reported for years that Apple has a secret electronic car project, something Foxconn could be in an ideal place to partner on given its existing relationship with the Californian giant. 

The unveiling of Foxconn's models comes as car makers suffer from a global shortage of semiconductors after the coronavirus pandemic caused purchases of electronics and computer parts to sky-rocket.

Taiwanese high-tech chip foundries are some of the world's biggest and most advanced and have been ramping up production to meet the demand.

$590 million in ransomware payments reported to US in 2021 as attacks surge

Figure is also 42% higher than the amount divulged by financial institutions for 2020

By - Oct 17,2021 - Last updated at Oct 17,2021

This file photo illustration taken in Arlington, Virginia, on May 14, shows a screen displaying the Darkside Onionsite address with a notice saying it could not be found, as company servers were taken down by unknown actors a week after the cyber extortionist forced the shutdown of a large US oil pipeline in a ransomware scam (AFP photo)

WASHINGTON — New data that was out on Friday showed $590 million in ransomware-related payments were reported to US authorities in the first half of 2021 alone, setting a pace to beat totals for the whole previous decade as cyber extortion booms.

The figure is also 42 per cent higher than the amount divulged by financial institutions for all of 2020, the US Treasury report said, and there are strong indicators the true cost could be in the billions.

"If current trends continue, [reports] filed in 2021 are projected to have a higher ransomware-related transaction value than... filed in the previous 10 years combined," said Treasury's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network.

The heists involve breaking into a company or institution's network to encrypt its data, then demanding a ransom, typically paid via cryptocurrency in exchange for the digital key to unlock it.

Washington has sought to crack down on a sharp rise in attacks, including issuing its first sanctions against an online exchange where illicit operators have allegedly swapped cryptocurrency for cash.

Recent assaults on a major US oil pipeline, a meat packing company and the Microsoft Exchange e-mail system drew attention to the vulnerability of US infrastructure to digital pirates who are extorting staggering sums.

Treasury said investigators found over 150 online wallets for cyptocurrency and by analysing them uncovered roughly $5.2 billion in transactions potentially tied to ransomware payments.

Companies and institutions face intense pressure to pay up in order to get their data unlocked, but also to keep the attack from potentially angry clients and authorities who issue stern warnings not to give cash to criminals.

The report, based on the suspicious activity alerts that financial firms have to file, noted it was unclear if the jump represented increased awareness of the cybercrime.

"This trend potentially reflects the increasing overall prevalence of ransomware-related incidents as well as improved detection and reporting," Treasury said.

The victims of the attacks were not identified in the report, which noted some of the apparent ransoms were paid before January 2021.

The new data on the scale of payments related to hacks came after more than two dozen nations resolved to collectively fight ransomware during a Washington-led summit.

The United States gathered the countries — with the notable exception of Russia — to unify and boost efforts to fight a cybercrime that is transnational, on the rise and potentially devastating.

Stronger digital security and offline backups as well as collectively targeting the laundering of the attacks' proceeds were identified as crucial steps in the fight.

"We will consider all national tools available in taking action against those responsible for ransomware operations threatening critical infrastructure and public safety," the nations said in a joint statement.

Great Britain, Australia, India, Japan, France, Germany, South Korea, the European Union, Kenya, Mexico, and others were among those that joined in the virtual gathering on Wednesday and Thursday.

During the summit, countries’ representatives recounted their agonising experiences with cyber extortion.

Bitcoin tops $60,000 on US fund approval hopes

'An SEC Bitcoin ETF approval is a watershed moment for the crypto industry'

By - Oct 16,2021 - Last updated at Oct 16,2021

Bitcoin breached the $60,000 mark for the first time since April, on Friday (AFP file photo)

NEW YORK — Bitcoin breached the $60,000 mark for the first time since April on growing optimism that American regulators will greenlight the first US futures exchange-traded fund (ETF) for the cryptocurrency.

The digital currency was up more than 40 per cent from a month ago, reaching $62,253 at 20:50 GMT, according to Bloomberg News data, which reported that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could allow the ETF to trade next week.

The SEC has rejected attempts to create a Bitcoin ETF since 2013.

"An SEC Bitcoin ETF approval is a watershed moment for the crypto industry as this could be the key driver for getting the next wave of crypto investors," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.

An ETF is a financial instrument that can include different assets and be traded on an exchange like other securities. A futures ETF means the product will be bought or sold at set price at a later date.

The SEC fuelled speculation of the imminent approval after writing the following advice on one of its accounts on Twitter: "Before investing in a fund that holds Bitcoin futures contracts, make sure you carefully weigh the potential risks and benefits."

The ETF would add to an eventful year for the world's leading cryptocurrency, which hit a record high at $64,870 in April and became a legal tender in El Salvador, the first country to adopt it officially.

China, meanwhile, has cracked down on trading and mining cryptocurrencies, which are created through solving complex equations — an endeavour that consumes enormous amounts of energy.

 

SEC U-turn 

 

Bloomberg, which cited unidentified people familiar with the matter, reported that unlike past Bitcoin ETF applications that the SEC rejected before, the proposals made by financial firms ProShares and Invesco are based on futures contracts.

The proposals were filed under mutual fund rules that SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has said provide "significant investor protections", the news agency reported.

"This is a key development for the crypto space as it would allow many investors who were on the fence to enter the market in more traditional ways," said Walid Koudmani, analyst at XTB online trading.

An ETF would reassure investors "about previously associated risks such as lack of regulations and the possibility of having their wallet hacked", Koudmani said.

There are ETFs that include Bitcoin in other countries but getting one in the United States would take the cryptocurrency to another level.

"In America's case, it's the largest, most important market. To date, they [traditional investors] haven't had a simple vehicle in which to invest in Bitcoin," Charlie Erith, CEO of ByteTree Asset Management, which specialises in cryptocurrencies, said.

Erith cautioned that "the impact on the market might be overblown. You might see a short selloff but it won't be meaningful".

But, he added, "long term, it's an important development. It signals that authorities are getting more comfortable with people owning cryptoassets".

Bali reopens to international flights but no tourists in sight

By - Oct 14,2021 - Last updated at Oct 14,2021

BALI, Indonésie — Bali reopened to international flights from select countries on Thursday, including China, Japan and France, as the pandemic-struck Indonesian holiday island took a step toward welcoming back tourists.

But authorities in Bali, which lost its primary source of income as tourism dried up, said there were no international flights expected on Thursday.

Foreign visitors must be vaccinated, quarantine in a hotel for five days and follow strict visa requirements under new entry rules for travellers.

"We're ready and waiting for international flights," said airport spokesman Taufan Yudhistira.

"But so far there's nothing scheduled today."

Bali's Ngurah Rai International Airport was open to travellers from 19 countries including South Korea, China, Japan, France, the United Arab Emirates, Dubai and New Zealand, authorities said.

The partial reopening, however, does not include Australians -- a key source of the millions of tourists who flocked to the palm-fringed island before the pandemic.

Indonesia was previously devastated by the highly contagious Delta variant of the virus -- recording more than 56,000 new Covid cases in just one day in mid-July.

The government announced emergency restrictions in the hardest-hit areas, shutting down non-essential businesses and limiting people's movement.

But case numbers are now falling nationwide as the government ramps up vaccinations across the Southeast Asian archipelago of 270 million people.

Authorities have begun a steady easing of restrictions as the country sees a decrease in daily confirmed Covid cases and deaths.

Delta Air Lines scores Q3 profit, warns on jet fuel costs

By - Oct 14,2021 - Last updated at Oct 14,2021

In this file photo taken on November 18, 2020, passengers check bags for a Delta Air Lines, Inc. flight during the Covid-19 pandemic at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) in Los Angeles, California. (AFP photo)

NEW YORK — Delta Air Lines reported a profitable third quarter on the gradual recovery in air travel on Wednesday, but said rising fuel prices could dent earnings in the current quarter.

"While demand continues to improve, the recent rise in fuel price will pressure our ability to remain profitable for the December quarter," said Chief Executive Ed Bastian.

The big US carrier, which endured a disastrous 2020 following a deep downturn in travel during the worst of the pandemic, said domestic travel remained a strong point in the wake of the Covid-19 vaccine release throughout the United States.

The airline also saw strength in travel to Latin America, while transatlantic travel "improved the most" during the quarter, driven by border reopenings, Delta said in its earnings release.

Corporate volumes were "stable," but the recovery in business travel paused in September as companies delayed reopening their offices due to the Delta variant of the virus.

Overall, Delta reported profits of $1.2 billion in the quarter ending September 30, compared with a loss of $283 million in the year-ago period.

Revenues were $9.1 billion, up from $3.1 billion in the year-ago period, but below the $12.6 billion in 2019. 

Delta anticipates fourth-quarter capacity to return to 80 per cent of its pre-pandemic level on the basis of factors that include "robust holiday demand," the company said.

The carrier projected that jet fuel in the fourth quarter would be priced at between $2.25 and $2.40 per gallon, up around 20 per cent from the level in the just-finished quarter.

Shares fell 4.5 per cent to $41.57 in mid-morning trading.

Energy prices should retreat by early 2022 — IMF official

By - Oct 13,2021 - Last updated at Oct 13,2021

IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath speaks during an interview with AFP at the International Monetary Fund headquarters in Washington DC, on Tuesday (AFP photo)

WASHINGTON — Rising energy prices are weighing on households but the recent spike is unlikely to fuel a 1970s-style oil crisis and should retreat early next year, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Chief Economist Gita Gopinath said on Tuesday.

Energy prices collapsed last year amid the shutdowns imposed to contain the COVID-19 pandemic, but 2021 has brought a sharp rebound in demand as the global economy recovered, Gopinath said in an interview.

In the energy market, a long, cold winter followed by a particularly hot summer led to greater demand and depleted stocks, especially gas reserves in Europe. 

"This recovery is really quite unique," she said, speaking on the sidelines of the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank.

Supplies of many other goods have not been able to rebound as quickly as demand, hampered in part by the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19, which has made workers reluctant to return to their jobs and snarled supply chains.

Those labour shortages are "feeding into price pressures" in countries like Germany, the United States and Japan, she said.

"We are in a difficult situation where we've seen prices go up very sharply," and the key question is whether that will persist, she said.

 

Worst case scenario? 

 

While energy prices "will be elevated" for the next couple of months, "We expect that to come back down by the end of the first quarter next year and into the second quarter," she said.

"Once we get past the winter months, we will be in a better place."

Oil prices have soared in recent weeks, jumping to multiyear highs on Monday, with the benchmark WTI crude jumping above $80 a barrel for the first time since October 2014 and up 30 per cent since August, which sent major stock markets tumbling.

The increase in energy prices has ramped up fears that overall inflation could tick even higher and hinder the global economic recovery.

Gopinath cautioned that the weather will play a factor, since a very severe winter could lead to broader power outages "that will have a much bigger effect on the world".

The worst outcome would be "an extremely severe winter in the Northern Hemisphere", driving up demand for energy, combined with a failure of producers including the OPEC+ to respond with increased output, which could feed into headline inflation, she said.

In February 2021, severe weather marked by polar temperatures and snowstorms caused a surge in electricity consumption in the southern United States. 

Texas, with a population of nearly 29 million, was unable to meet the explosion in demand, and blackouts affected hundreds of thousands of homes. 

However, Gopinath does not expect a crisis like the one seen in the 1970s because the world relies much less on energy relative to the size of the economy.

"It would take a much bigger ratcheting up in gas prices, for instance, to have a kind of a stagflationary event," she said, referring to the economic crisis in the 1970s when inflation spiraled due to high oil prices as growth stalled.

The IMF's latest forecasts call for inflation to return to pre-pandemic levels by the middle of 2022, but warn of "high uncertainty" and upside risks in the United States.

Pages

Pages



Newsletter

Get top stories and blog posts emailed to you each day.

PDF