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Look beyond short-term threats of inflation, rate hikes, Mubadala’s chief executive urges investors at GMIS2021

By - Nov 23,2021 - Last updated at Nov 23,2021

DUBAI — As the world begins to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, investors must remain wary of expected inflation and spiking interest rates, said Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Managing Director and Group CEO at Mubadala Investment Company.

Addressing the fourth edition of the Global Manufacturing and Industrialisation Summit (#GMIS2021) on Monday, Mubarak, elaborated on the investment themes of technology, life sciences and the energy transition, according to a GMIS statement.

“From a short-term perspective, there are challenges ahead with inflation creeping in and anticipated interest rate hikes, which will undoubtedly have implications.

“But Mubadala’s approach is that of the long-term, patient investor with convictions and thematic views. This has helped us to weather through difficult cyclical periods that would have challenged others,” said Mubarak, who pointed to Mubadala’s investment in Masdar in 2006 and GlobalFoundries in 2009.

Mubarak added that the Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) is now a global renewables player, with investments and assets across 33 countries, representing investments of over $20 billion (Dh73.4 billion) and nearly 11 gigawatts of renewable power generation.

“Fifteen years ago, we had started investing in the renewable energy transition, before it became the popular subject it is today. We are now well-positioned in that sector, empowered with the ability to continue growing at scale,” Mubarak said.

Commenting on the recent virtual summit between US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping, Mubadala’s Chief Executive said: “The world wants and needs continued economic prosperity, and maintaining these open lines are in the best interest of stability.”

“As a global trade and economic hub, the UAE has acted as the transiting point between the East and the West with substantial trade ties on both sides. Global stability is crucial, and only enhances our proposition in terms of trade, business and economic growth,” said Mubarak.

On Mubadala’s strategic partnership with the semiconductor manufacturer GlobalFoundries, Mubarak said that Mubadala had invested in what was a “challenging and competitive” sector, but is now critical to global supply chains and every major future industry.

Co-chaired by the UAE Ministry of Industry Advanced Technology and the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation, #GMIS2021 will draw on key global leaders from government, business and civil society to discuss and debate how data and connectivity are shaping the future of the manufacturing sector while presenting opportunities for investments in technology, innovation and industrialisation.

#GMIS2021 will be held during the six-day GMIS Week from November 22-27 at EXPO’s Dubai Exhibition Centre, featuring over 250 global speakers.

UAE announces adoption of smart industry readiness index

By - Nov 23,2021 - Last updated at Nov 23,2021

UAE Ministry of Industry and Advanced Technology Omar Suwaina Al Suwaidi speaks during the second day of the Global Manufacturing and Industrialisation Summit in Dubai on Tuesday (Photo courtesy of GMIS)

DUBAI – The United Arab Emirates’ industrial sector received a major boost as the Ministry of Industry and Advanced Technology announced it will adopt the Smart Industry Readiness Index (SIRI), the global standard used by the World Economic Forum (WEF) to assess digital developments.

The announcement was made by Undersecretary of UAE Ministry of Industry and Advanced Technology Omar Suwaina Al Suwaidi during a keynote speech at the beginning of Day 2 of the Global Manufacturing and Industrialisation Summit (GMIS).

He explained that SIRI will provide companies in the UAE with a vital benchmark for their capacity to adopt the tools of the Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR), equip them with frameworks to facilitate integration and highlight the tangible benefits of digital transformation, according to a GMIS statement.

Suwaidi also revealed that the first 70 companies in the UAE’s industrial sector have now been evaluated.

They can look forward to a new era of possibility, equipped with the ability to increase productivity, efficiency, product quality and global competitiveness. The Ministry’s goal, he added, is to assess a total of 200 industrial companies by the end of 2022.

The Index formed a key part of Industry 4.0 programme spearheaded by the UAE Ministry of Industry and Advanced Technology to accelerate technologies’ advancements across the UAE’s industrial sector.

During his speech, Suwaidi also outlined other initiatives that have been launched in support of this objective, including the Champions 4.0 Network, a group of 12 local and multinational companies that will showcase the benefits of 4IR technologies and offer practical insight and expertise to UAE enterprises.

“The rewards for success are clear: Higher productivity, better product quality, enhanced operational efficiency, reduced energy consumption – all of which can make a substantial contribution to our sustainable development goals,” he said.

 

UN president calls on developed countries to invest in climate-friendly technologies to kick-start equitable recovery

By - Nov 23,2021 - Last updated at Nov 23,2021

Speakers during a panel discussion on the second day of the Global Manufacturing and Industrialisation Summit in Dubai on Tuesday (Photo courtesy of GMIS)

DUBAI — United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) President Abdulla Shahid at the Global Manufacturing and Industrialisation Summit (GMIS) on Tuesday in Dubai called on developed countries to invest in climate-friendly technologies while also assisting in the technological advancement of more vulnerable nations.

Speaking at a session titled “Government of the future: A new roadmap to global prosperity”, Shahid highlighted the stark discrepancies in technological capacity between the global north and south, which has exacerbated the challenges faced by developing nations in their attempts to recover from the pandemic, according to a GMIS statement.

In what he described as his “presidency of hope”, the UNGA president said: “I will do my best to ensure that we not only recover fully and sustainably, but we do so equitably with no nation left behind. I call upon countries to invest in climate-friendly technologies that will spur global recovery efforts and to share these technologies with developing countries,” he said.

“The disruption in manufacturing and supply chains was on the horizon before COVID-19 and was mainly driven by the fourth industrial revolution, climate change and the reconfiguration of globalisation. The good news is 4IR technologies are playing a major role when it comes to cutting emissions, water and material consumption and the optimisation of waste management”he said.

In the panel discussion that followed, Prime Minister of Namibia Saara Kuugongelwa-Amadhila discussed equitable development and the role of technology.

She highlighted the issue of delivering government services in a country of just 2.5 million people and how technology can provide both a solution and a challenge.

“For Namibia, the need to use digital platforms didn’t only come with the COVID-19 pandemic, it was amplified by it because we needed to provide services online after going into lockdown. But because of the large size of Namibia (824,000 sq.km), it is quite expensive to reach out and provide government services to some communities. We had already decided to automate government services to improve government administration”, said Kuugongelwa-Amadhila.

For Matteo Renzi, former prime minister of Italy, the COVID-19 pandemic provided a stress-test for governments and for health systems — and that in many countries in the world, especially those considered liberal democracies, they were found wanting.

“Don’t believe people who say leadership is the same everywhere. With good leadership, you will have very a good response to the pandemic, with bad leadership you risk too much,” Renzi said.

He does see the positives from the last year and a half and acknowledges that technology can emerge as a driver.

“I think it’s important we use new technology with a different approach”, he said.

 “I often joke that my generation uses the mobile as a phone. Then then we arrive with a phone used for pictures, for video, for surfing the internet. The new generation uses the device not with a click, but with a zoom. They enlarge the screen and understand well what has happened,” he continued.

“That’s my final message from this pandemic, we have to pass from click to zoom. Manufacturing 5.0, new technology, these new ideas are the future of my country – and they could be helped by COVID. COVID was a tragedy that destroyed a lot of life, but we could come back stronger than before,” he added.

Finally, Dominique de Villepin, former prime minister of France, touched upon how technology has immense potential for governments, but in Western societies, trust and consensus is a huge component that needs to be respected.

“The citizens in liberal democracies do have a say. And they must be a part of the decision-making process. And that’s where technology must always deal with the question of trust. We cannot impose technology on people without their consent. They need to understand why it is being applied. You need to be able to discuss and convince,” he said.

Under the theme “Rewiring Societies: Repurposing Digitalisation for Prosperity,” the second day of the summit jump-started with success, bringing together key global leaders from government, business, and civil society to discuss how data and connectivity are shaping the future of the manufacturing sector.

GMIS was established in 2015 to build bridges between manufacturers, governments and NGOs, technologists, and investors in harnessing the Fourth Industrial Revolution’s (4IR) transformation of manufacturing to enable the regeneration of the global economy, the statement said.

A joint initiative by the United Arab Emirates and the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO), GMIS is a global platform that presents stakeholders with an opportunity to shape the future of the manufacturing sector and contribute towards global good by advancing some of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, according to the statement.

 

Italia shares soar after US fund's buyout bid

By - Nov 22,2021 - Last updated at Nov 22,2021

This file photo taken on March 29, 2019 shows the logo of Italian telecommunications company Telecom Italia (TIM) at the company's headquarters in Rozzano, south of Milan (AFP photo)

ROME — Shares of Telecom Italia (TIM) soared on Monday after receiving a "friendly" buyout offer from US private equity fund KKR valuing the operator at around 10.8 billion euros.

Shares in Italy's largest telecom rose as high as 0.45 euros on the Milan bourse, up almost 29 per cent from Friday's closing price.

The public tender offer by New York-based Kohlberg Kravis Roberts regards the entire share capital of the company. TIM said the offer would be for an initial 0.505 euros a share. 

Italy's economy ministry saluted the interest by KKR as "positive news for the country" in a statement Sunday and said a working group would be formed to study the matter.

The ministry said it was necessary to ensure that such a project would be compatible with the rollout of ultra-wideband in the country.

Any sale would need the approval from government stakeholders, as TIM's network is considered a national strategic asset. 

TIM, which called an emergency meeting of the board to discuss the offer on Sunday, said the proposal was subject to around four weeks of due diligence and would require the backing of holders of least 51 per cent of both ordinary and savings shares.

KKR already has a 37.5 per cent stake in FiberCop, a joint venture with TIM and Italian Internet provider Fastweb to provide fibre optic broadband across Italy.

The takeover proposal comes amid news reports that shareholders — the largest of which is France's Vivendi — are putting pressure on TIM's top management following disappointing company results.

A spokesman for Vivendi had earlier denied it was in discussions with any funds.

Shares of Vivendi rose 2.71 per cent on the Milan bourse in morning trade. 

Glencore to halt Italy zinc output over energy prices

By - Nov 22,2021 - Last updated at Nov 22,2021

ZURICH — Swiss commodities trading group Glencore said on Monday that it would suspend a zinc sulfide production line in Italy due to soaring energy prices.

Glencore unit Portovesme said the line would be placed on "care and maintenance" by the end of December and "until such time that there's a meaningful change in power market prices".

The move affects an operation that produces 100,000 tonnes of zinc sulfide per year.

"This decision has been taken due to high power prices experienced in Italy and the rest of Europe since earlier this year," Portovesme said in a statement.

Energy prices have soared across Europe, raising concerns for industries that need high amounts of electricity and for consumers who could see huge utility bills in the coming winter.

Portovesme said that as an energy-intensive industry, it is "highly dependent on competitive and stable electricity prices".

Zinc prices jumped by more than three per cent to $3,337.50 per tonne following the announcement.

Zinc sulfide is used for X-ray screens or as a pigment for paints.

Stocks diverge on Powell nomination, Europe COVID fears

Fresh lockdowns spark uncertainty

By - Nov 22,2021 - Last updated at Nov 22,2021

A young man waits his turn in front of a Coronavirus testing centre in Berlin on Monday (AFP photo)

LONDON — US equities rose on Monday as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell was renominated for another term, but other stock markets wobbled as investors fretted over inflation and possible new pandemic lockdowns in Europe.

Stock prices on Wall Street opened higher after US President Joe Biden nominated Powell for a second four-year term. 

By mid-afternoon, stock prices in Paris gained 0.1 per cent and prices in London were up 0.3 per cent, while Frankfurt were showing a loss of 0.1 per cent. 

"There's been so much anxiety about inflation and interest rates that investors are clearly apprehensive about over-committing," said OANDA analyst Craig Erlam.

"And that anxiety has been exacerbated by the prospect of lockdowns in Europe, following Austria's announcement on Friday," he said.

On Friday, Austria surprised the markets by returning to a partial lockdown, not just for the unvaccinated as had been previously planned.

In Germany, outgoing Chancellor Angela Merkel warned that the country's current COVID curbs — including barring the unvaccinated from certain public spaces — "are not enough".

"European stocks slipped as Angela Merkel fanned concerns over the fourth wave of COVID in Europe," said ThinkMarkets analyst Fawad Razaqzada.

"The fear among market participant [is] that fresh lockdowns could be introduced in other parts of Europe, making the road to recovery from the pandemic even bumpier and raising concerns over the efficacy of the vaccines," Razaqzada said.

"So, there is now a real possibility we may see at least a short-term correction, as investors wake up to the risks facing the eurozone economy, after the major stock indices hit repeated all-time highs in recent weeks."

Earlier, Asian stock markets finished mixed as investors mulled Europe's new containment measures alongside growing speculation of interest rate hikes to tame spiking inflation.

Oil was flat, regaining some of its earlier losses after major consumers including the United States considered releasing some of their reserves to keep a lid on prices, which have been a key reason for elevated inflation this year.

Crude had tumbled on Friday on fears of adverse demand fallout from the fast-moving COVID crisis.

El Salvador president plans 'Bitcoin City' financed by crypto bonds

By - Nov 21,2021 - Last updated at Nov 21,2021

President of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, gestures during his speech at the closing ceremony of the Latin Bitcoin conference at Mizata Beach, El Salvador, on Saturday (AFP photo)

MIZATA, El Salvador — President Nayib Bukele said El Salvador plans to build the world's first "Bitcoin City", powered by a volcano and financed by cryptocurrency bonds. 

Bitcoin City "is gonna include everything: Residential areas, commercial areas, services, museums, entertainment... airport, port, rail", Bukele said at the Latin American Bitcoin and Blockchain Conference on Saturday. 

El Salvador, which has used the US dollar for two decades, was the first country in the world to legalise bitcoin as legal tender. 

Bukele said the Conchagua volcano "will power the whole city and will also power the mining".

Bitcoin mining is the process by which new bitcoin is created using computers that solve complex mathematical problems — a process which demands huge amounts of energy. 

In El Salvador, some of that energy comes from a geothermal plant fed by the Tecapa volcano. 

Bukele said the city would initially be powered by the Tecapa plant before his government builds a new geothermal plant powered by Conchagua.

"Zero Co2 emissions. This is a fully ecological city," Bukele told the crowd.

To fund the project, El Salvador will issue $1 billion "Bitcoin bonds" in 2022, according to Samson Mow, chief strategy officer of Blockstream, a blockchain tech provider. 

On stage with Bukele, Mow said half of "volcano bonds" would be invested in Bitcoin, and the other half in infrastructure. 

"El Salvador will be the financial centre of the world," Mow said.

Bukele said that Bitcoin City will only charge value added tax.

"We will have zero income tax. Zero per cent fore ver. Zero capital gains tax... zero property tax, zero payroll tax," he said. 

No timeline was given for Bitcoin City's construction.

Turkish lira hits record low as central bank cuts interest rate

By - Nov 20,2021 - Last updated at Nov 20,2021

The value of the Turkish lira dropped significantly after the US president announced sanctions against Ankara (AFP file photo)

ISTANBUL — The Turkish lira sank to a record low against the dollar on Thursday after the central bank slashed interest rates for the third consecutive month following pressure to do so from Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

The bank cut its policy rate from 16 to 15 per cent despite rising inflation and a fast-depreciating currency.

The lira sank to an all-time low of 11.30 against the dollar, but later pared down losses.

"Just a pretty ludicrous move," BlueBay Asset Management Economist Timothy Ash said in an email to clients, of the central bank's announcement. 

"Really dangerous for lira and for Turkey," he commented. 

The announcement of the bank's decision was delayed five minutes, with bank officials reportedly telling Turkish media that it was due to a "technical failure", dismissing social media rumours that the decision had been leaked.

Erdogan's interest rate fight 

Erdogan, an outspoken opponent of high interest rates in order to promote investment and economic growth, on Wednesday pressed for rate cut. 

"As long as I am in this position, I will continue to fight against [high] interest rates, I will continue to fight against inflation," he said.

"We will remove this interest rate trouble from the shoulders of the people. We will never let our people be oppressed by interest [rates]," he said.

In an address to his ruling AKP Party members in the parliament, Erdogan also justified his decision with a verse from the Koran which strictly forbids interest. 

"I cannot stand by those who defend interest," he said. 

Erdogan, who has in the past fired a number of central bank governors, is notorious for his unorthodox belief that high interest rates cause inflation instead of helping tamp it down. 

Conventional economic theory states the exact opposite is true.

Erdogan once called interest rates the "mother and father of all evil".

'Erdogan running the show'

Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with ThinkMarkets, said the market clearly did not take the central bank seriously anymore because it has lost any credibility it had.

"Erdogan is running the show," he said. 

"If he wants to lower interest rates, he will get lower rates, regardless of how high inflation might be or how the economy is doing."

The lira has lost 32.8 per cent of its value against the dollar since the start of the year and the annual inflation rate has reached nearly 20 per cent — quadruple the government target.

The central bank has lowered its policy rate by 400 basis points to 15 per cent since August.

This means Turkey has a negative real interest rate — a policy that devalues lira assets and gives additional incentive for people to buy foreign currencies and gold.

"Stop Erdogan!" opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu tweeted shortly after the central bank announcement, using a hashtag (#HemenSecim or elections right away in English). 

Kilicdaroglu on Wednesday called Erdogan the real "central bank governor" and accused him of dragging the country into catastrophe. 

Jason Tuvey, senior emerging markets economist at London-based Capital Economics, said that with this decision, policymakers had defied investors who had "clearly" been pushing for the central bank to stand up against Erdogan's call for lower interest rates. 

"The decision is a reminder that monetary policy in Turkey is being dictated at the presidential palace and also that the CBRT [central bank] is now more tolerant of a weaker lira than it has been in the past," he noted. 

UN warns of soaring prices in 2022 due to freight rate spike

By - Nov 18,2021 - Last updated at Nov 18,2021

Global import price levels could increase by 11 per cent and lead to price increases, according to UNCTAD. (AFP file photo)

GENEVA — The United Nations warned on Thursday that a surge in container freight rates could mean higher prices for consumers next year unless pandemic-fuelled problems are untangled.

The UN's trade and development agency (UNCTAD) said global import price levels could increase by 11 per cent and consumer price levels by 1.5 per cent between now and 2023.

"Global consumer prices will rise significantly in the year ahead until shipping supply chain disruptions are unblocked and port constraints and terminal inefficiencies are tackled," UNCTAD said in its Review of Maritime Transport 2021 report.

Global supply chains faced unprecedented demand from the second half of 2020 onwards as consumers spent on goods rather than services during coronavirus lockdowns.

But the upswing in demand hit several practical constraints, including container ship carrying capacity, container shortages, labour shortages, congestion at ports and Covid-19 restrictions.

The mismatch led to record container freight rates "on practically all container trade routes", according to the report.

"The current surge in freight rates will have a profound impact on trade and undermine socioeconomic recovery, especially in developing countries, until maritime shipping operations return to normal," said Rebeca Grynspan, UNCTAD's secretary general.

"Returning to normal would entail investing in new solutions, including infrastructure, freight technology and digitalisation and trade facilitation measures," she said.

UNCTAD said the pandemic had magnified pre-existing industry challenges, particularly labour shortages and infrastructure gaps.

It also exposed vulnerabilities, such as when China's Yantian Port shut in May due to a coronavirus outbreak, causing significant delays, or when the giant container ship Ever Given blocked the Suez Canal in March, snarling global trade.

Maritime trade rebound 

Still, the pandemic's impact on maritime trade volumes last year was less severe than initially expected, UNCTAD said.

Maritime trade contracted by 3.8 per cent to 10.65 billion tons in 2020, and is projected to increase by 4.3 per cent in 2021.

UNCTAD said the medium-term outlook remained positive but was subject to "mounting risks and uncertainties".

The agency predicted that annual growth will slow to 2.4 per cent between 2022 and 2026, compared to 2.9 per cent over the past two decades.

"A lasting recovery... largely hinges on being able to mitigate the headwinds and on a worldwide vaccine roll-out," said Grynspan.

"The impacts of the Covid-19 crisis will hit small island developing states (SIDS) and least developed countries (LDCs) the hardest."

The rise in consumer prices is expected to be 7.5 per cent in SIDS and 2.2 per cent in LDCs.

Contending with lockdowns, border closures and a lack of international flights, hundreds of thousands of seafarers have been stranded at sea, unable to be repatriated or replaced, UNCTAD said.

The UN agency urged governments and industry to work together to end the crew change crisis in the sector, which employs more than 1.9 million people worldwide.

UNCTAD also said the vaccination rate of seafarers was around 41 per cent and called for them to be jabbed as a priority.

"This is not acceptable if we want to see the supply chains moving again," said Shamika Sirimanne, UNCTAD's director of technology and logistics.

Shape of the future 

While bottlenecks have hindered the economic recovery, the pandemic could trigger far-reaching transformations in maritime transport, UNCTAD predicted.

The crisis has activated digitalisation and automation, which should, in turn, deliver efficiency and cost savings.

Meanwhile, e-commerce - accelerated by the pandemic -- has changed consumer shopping habits and spending patterns, according to the report.

"This could generate new business opportunities for shipping and ports," said UNCTAD.

IMF says no financial support for Zimbabwe

By - Nov 17,2021 - Last updated at Nov 17,2021

HARARE — The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday that it was unable to offer any financial support to Zimbabwe due to its unsustainable debt and outstanding arrears.

"The IMF is precluded from providing financial support to Zimbabwe due to an unsustainable debt and official external arrears," the fund said in a statement after a month-long mission to the African country.

"A fund financial arrangement would require a clear path to comprehensive restructuring of Zimbabwe's external debt, including the clearance of arrears and obtaining financing assurances from creditors."

The IMF said its staff had completed a virtual mission to Zimbabwe from October 16 to November 16, and noted "significant" efforts by authorities there to stem inflation, contain budget deficits and reserve money growth.

Zimbabwe, which has suffered from bouts of hyperinflation in the last 15 years, has not received funding from lenders like the IMF and the World Bank for more than two decades due to arrears. 

The country has more than $10 billion in debt, most of which is in arrears. 

In September, the government said it had made symbolic debt repayments to some creditors for the first time in 20 years. 

After several years of economic contraction, and despite the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic, the IMF forecast that Zimbabwe's economy would expand by six per cent this year.

Zimbabwe is still reeling from decades of financial mismanagement under its late former president Robert Mugabe.

The southern African country has been in an economic crisis for years, during which many have helplessly watched their savings evaporate and prices soar.

Manufacturing and exports have shrunk, and foreign currency is continuously in short supply. 

 

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