You are here

Business

Business section

Serious Fraud Office charges Barclays, ex-CEO over Qatar funding

By - Jun 21,2017 - Last updated at Jun 21,2017

This photo taken on February 11, 2009 shows former chief executive of Barclays Jon Varley (right) arriving for a Treasury Select committee hearing at Portcullis House in London (AFP photo)

LONDON — Britain’s Serious Fraud Office (SFO) said on Tuesday it had charged Barclays, a former chief executive of the banking giant and three other ex-managers, with “conspiracy to commit fraud” linked to emergency fundraising from Qatar during the financial crisis.

The SFO added in a statement that former chief executive John Varley was one of those to face court following a five-year investigation.

“The Serious Fraud Office has today charged Barclays Plc. and four individuals with conspiracy to commit fraud and the provision of unlawful financial assistance” linked to capital raising from Qatar in 2008 worth billions of pounds (euros/dollars).

“The charges relate to Barclays Plc.’s capital raising arrangements with Qatar Holding LLC. and Challenger Universal Ltd., which took place in June and October 2008,” the SFO said.

It added that they relate also to a $3-billion loan facility made available to the State of Qatar acting through the country’s Ministry of Economy and Finance in November 2008.

The other three charged are Barclays’ former executive chairman of investment banking Roger Jenkins, the former chief executive of Barclays wealth and investment management Thomas Kalaris and former European head of financial institutions group Richard Boath.

The defendants will appear before London’s Westminster Magistrates’ Court on July 3, the statement added.

In a separate statement, Barclays said it “is considering its position in relation to these developments” as it “awaits further details of the charges from the SFO”.

 

Bailout avoided 

 

UK watchdog the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) already fined Barclays £50 million in 2013 after the bank failed to disclose fees it paid to the Qatari investors. Barclays contested the fine however, which has been on hold awaiting the SFO outcome. In addition, US authorities are probing the payments.

In a statement on Tuesday, the FCA said: “We welcome a fair and transparent hearing on the basis of the charges set out today by the SFO.”

SFO Investigations had focused on advisory services worth £322 million, which Barclays agreed to pay the Qatar Investment Authority.

By raising money from Qatar, Barclays avoided a UK government bailout at a time when rivals Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds had no choice but to be pumped with billions of pounds of British taxpayers’ money.

Speaking to BBC radio on Tuesday, former treasury minister Paul Myners said Barclays bosses were “vehement” that they did not want a government bailout in 2008.

“I think firstly there was a real fear on their part that this was nationalisation, it was political, they didn’t want anything to do with a Labour government,” Myners said.

“Secondly, they realised that the terms we were imposing meant that pay for their senior bankers and bonuses and options were going to be substantially reduced. So they managed to find capital from elsewhere.

“That surprised a lot of people, and that is the background to the investigation that the SFO has now been conducting for the last five years,” he added.

Tuesday’s announcement meanwhile comes as current Barclays Chief Executive Jes Staley is facing a probe by regulators after he tried to uncover the identity of a whistleblower.

Around 1000 GMT, shares in Barclays were down 0.3 per cent at 206 pence on London’s benchmark FTSE 100 index, which was flat overall.

“The muted reaction in the share price highlights the fact that the SFO action was largely priced in,” said Laith Khalaf, senior analyst at stockbroker Hargreaves Lansdown.

 

“Litigation, fines and compensation payments have sadly become part and parcel of the banking world.”

Qatar says Gulf crisis puts $2 billion in contracts at risk

By - Jun 20,2017 - Last updated at Jun 20,2017

People walk past the Qatar Airways branch in the Saudi capital Riyadh, after it had suspended all flights to Saudi Arabia following a severing of relations between major Gulf states and gas-rich Qatar on June 6 (AFP photo)

DOHA — The political crisis in the Gulf is putting at risk business deals worth $2 billion in Arab countries that have cut ties with Qatar, an economic official in the emirate said on Monday.

Yousuf Mohamed Al Jaida, chief executive of the Qatar Financial Centre, said the majority of the contracts at risk — some $1.5 billion (1.3 billion euros) — were in the area of construction.

The level of exposure for businesses from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain has been negatively impacted alongside that of Qatari businesses in the current crisis.

“We sincerely believe that the impact is regional, not only local,” Jaida told reporters at a briefing in Doha.

“Qatar’s exposure to the blockade countries — the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain — is limited. This is a fact,” he said in English.

There are very few Qatari companies doing business in Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain, he said.

“There is on the other hand a couple of billion dollars of contracts of these blockade countries impacted in Qatar due to restrictions in their own countries,” he added.

Some $18-billion in short-term deposits held by Saudi, UAE and Bahraini banks would mature in the next two months, but if the funds were withdrawn they could be “easily” covered by the Qatari government, said Jaida.

The economist said Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund, worth some $335 billion, was largely unaffected as it was mostly invested outside the Gulf.

Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain are among a string of countries which this month cut ties with Qatar over accusations the emirate supports extremism.

Doha denies the accusations.

Gas-rich Qatar is currently in the middle of a massive $200-plus billion infrastructure programme to help the country prepare for the 2022 Football World Cup.

Imports from Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain, including construction materials and food, represent about 14 per cent of Qatar’s total imports, said Jaida.

The crisis has forced Qatar to turn elsewhere for long-term trade partners, especially those in Asia.

“We will continue to expand our global outreach, especially with Asia, which happens to be our largest export market,” said Jaida.

Imports from Asia account for 32 per cent of Qatar’s total imports.

 

Qatar has also shipped in food from Turkey and Iran since Saudi Arabia and its allies on June 5 suspended ties with the emirate.

Boeing announces latest plane at Paris Air Show

By - Jun 20,2017 - Last updated at Jun 20,2017

French President Emmanuel Macron (centre) visits the International Paris Air Show on Monday (AFP photo)

LE BOURGET, France — Boeing announced on Monday what it claims will be the most efficient jet yet in the highly competitive civil aviation market as it tries to claw back market share from rival Airbus.

“Today, it is our pleasure to officially announce the newest member of our 737 family, the 737 MAX 10,” Kevin McAllister, head of the company’s commercial aviation division, told journalists as the Paris Air Show got under way.

It quickly announced more than 100 orders worth some $13.5 billion (12.1 billion euros), although some were customers changing their selection of models from previous orders. 

The MAX 10 will be the largest of the updated 737 series, which competes head on with Airbus’s A320 neo family. With the latest advances in engines and aerodynamics, they promise significant fuel savings to airlines, which have responded with hundreds of orders for single-aisle airlines that are the workhorses of their fleets. 

Airbus, which moved first to update its aircraft used in most midrange flights, now has a 60 per cent market share.

The 737 MAX 10, which can carry up to 230 passengers, is the largest in the class, and Boeing said it would be 5 per cent cheaper to operate than the Airbus A321neo. As these planes can carry more passengers, they have attracted interest from low-cost airlines as well as carriers looking to exploit their range that allows them to make flights across the Atlantic.

McAllister said the 737 MAX 10 will be “the most efficient single-aisle airplane in the skies”.

Boeing has a test version of the 737 MAX 9 on display at Le Bourget airport north of Paris, which hosts the air show. 

For its part, Airbus announced orders for over 100 planes in its A320neo family, including at least a dozen of the latest A321neo model, worth over $11.5 billion.

While Airbus and Boeing dominate the world’s civil aviation industry, the duopoly is not without challengers: Competition is looming, notably from Russia and China, which have been test-flying their own mid-range models.

The airshow comes a little too early for either Russia’s Irkut, with its MC-21, or China’s Comac, with the much-flagged C919, to be able to showcase their aircraft there, but both will leave little doubt that they expect to win a big slice of the aviation pie in the future.

Airbus will also showcase its new long-haul model A350-1000 and Boeing its 787-10 Dreamliner, while Ukraine’s Antonov will present its 132 D.

Airbus will also have on hand a new “plus” size version of its A380 as it tries to revive interest among airlines in the superjumbo double-decker aircraft. 

Changes to the cabin will allow airlines to add another 80 seats to the planes which carry around 500 passengers on average without reducing comfort. Together with aerodynamic improvements, Airbus said the planes will be 13 per cent cheaper to operate on a per seat basis from current models.

It is the first major update to the plane since it entered service in 2007. Airbus, which has been talking with airlines for years about improvements to the aircraft to take advantage of the latest cost-saving technologies, slowed down production of the aircraft last year as orders dried up.

While new civilian aircraft orders will probably fall short of the $130 billion the Paris show clocked up last time — mostly thanks to airlines ordering the latest fuel-efficient Boeing and Airbus aircraft — the industry is still optimistic about sustained growth. Airbus said this month that it expected the market for large passenger planes to more than double in the next 20 years, driven by growth from Asian markets.

It predicts the need for 35,000 new planes worth $5.3 trillion over the next two decades, an increase from last year’s estimates.

French President Emmanuel Macron officially opened the biennial Paris Air Show, arriving on an Airbus A400M military transport plane.

Military aircraft are also a key part of the air show, and the spectacular displays of supersonic combat planes are a key draw for the crowds.

One star performer will be Lockheed Martin’s F-35A next-generation fighter jet, scheduled to make demonstration flights during the air show.

 

Some 200,000 member of the public are expected to visit the air show, which runs to June 25. That is in addition to the 150,000 industry professionals from 2,370 companies.

Banks provide state coffers with JD261.3m income tax in 2016

By - Jun 19,2017 - Last updated at Jun 19,2017

AMMAN — Banks channelled JD261.3 million income tax to the state coffers in 2016 compared with JD280.16 million in 2015, the Association of Banks in Jordan (ABJ) Director General Adli Qandah said on Sunday. 

The figures are part of a comparative ABJ study on the performance of banks operating in the country in 2016 and 2015, according to the Jordan News Agency, Petra. 

The banks' pre-tax profit amounted to JD784 million and JD863.7 million in 2016 and 2015 while their net profit was JD522.8 million and JD583.6 million, respectively, according to the ABJ director, Petra, reported. 

In terms of branches’ number, the Housing Bank for Trade and Finance came first with 117 branches, followed by the Arab Bank with 74 branch across the country. 

The Jordan Islamic Bank tops Islamic banks in terms of branch’numbers, having 74 branches, according to Qandah. 

BLOM Bank and Bank Audi top the list of foreign banks in Jordan in terms of their branch numbers as each has 14 branches operating in the Kingdom, according to Petra. 

Citing the study, Qandah pointed out that banks' capital went up in 2016 to JD3.257 billion, marking a 2.3 per cent increase in comparison with JD3.185 billion in 2015. 

Commercial banks accounted for the biggest share of the capital of the financial entities which amounted to JD2.446 billion in 2016, posting 3 per cent year over year increase, Qandah added.

 

Total capital of Islamic banks in the Kingdom, whose number is four, remained unchanged at JD400 million, according to the study. Also, the capital of foreign banks operating in Jordan remained the same, at JD411.4 million in 2016 and 2015, the study indicated, according to Petra. 

Shots fired in Australia’s war on food waste

By - Jun 19,2017 - Last updated at Jun 19,2017

This photo taken on May 10, 2017 shows a sign at OzHarvest Market, a recycled food supermarket, in Sydney (AFP photo)

SYDNEY — Australia's first recycled supermarket is giving food destined for landfills a second chance, as the government embarks on a major push to cut down on waste costing the economy Aus$20 billion ($15 billion) a year.

The outlet run by food rescue organisation OzHarvest in Sydney takes surplus products normally thrown out by major supermarkets, airlines and other suppliers, and gives them away for free.

It is an attempt to tackle the mounting waste problem in Australia, home to 24 million people, where consumers toss out some 20 per cent of food they buy with more than 4 million tonnes ending up as rubbish each year. 

"It is simply remarkable that in prosperous, modern-day Australia we produce enough food to feed 60 million people a year but every month more than 600,000 people — one-third of them children — seek food relief from relevant charities," Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg said in April.

The government is drawing up an ambitious plan to halve food waste by 2030 and is convening a national summit later this year involving the private sector and non-profit organisations. 

Globally, one-third of food produced for humans — about 1.3 billion tonnes costing around US$1 trillion — is lost or wasted annually, according to the Food and Agriculture Organisation.

Such wastage is particularly conspicuous in retail, where "large quantities" of food are thrown away "due to quality standards that over-emphasise appearance", the UN body added.

That's where supermarkets like OzHarvest come in, said founder Ronni Kahn, a leading voice in Australia's food rescue community, who hopes the pop-up store will raise awareness about sustainable living.

Besides the needy, "there are people [at the supermarket] who want to take part in this sharing economy... taking produce and understanding why this produce was rejected, why is this here, why is this surplus", she told AFP as she pointed to bread donated by a bakery.

Long queues have formed outside the shop since it opened in late April, with the unemployed, single mothers, and students among those who leave with bulging bags of groceries.

Tip of the waste iceberg

 

What we eat or throw away is just the tip of the iceberg in the production process, conservation experts say, with huge amounts of resources such as fertilisers, fuel, land and water used to grow and package food.

"When food's wasted, and all of those resources are wasted as well, what's incumbent upon us is to make the most of the food that we produce in those instances, rather than producing more and more," said Marcus Godinho of charity FareShare.

FareShare tackles waste by cooking large quantities of food that farmers and manufacturers struggle to offload, or which is due to expire, in a 500-square-metre  kitchen in Melbourne before freezing and storing it for distribution to the disadvantaged at a later date.

Also, reducing waste at a wholesale level is Yume, an online platform connecting suppliers and buyers for hard-to-sell surplus produce at significantly discounted prices, chief Katy Barfield said.

"It [the unwanted food] can be cancelled orders, it can be mislabelled, it can be brand refresh, it can be export orders that get cancelled, it can be specifications... that are not what the retailers want," Melbourne-based Barfield told AFP.

Barfield, who previously headed up food rescue charity SecondBite, wants to take the platform global as she develops it to handle millions of transactions.

"Because it's a piece of technology, there are no barriers to scaling it," she said.

With Canberra stepping into the fray, waste warriors are optimistic that incentives including tax breaks could reduce excess in supply chains and encourage businesses to keep surplus food still fit for consumption away from landfills.

Even public institutions such as schools, hospitals and prisons could make their procurement of food more sustainable by buying surplus products through platforms like Yume, Barfield added.

 

"It would save food going to waste, it would be good for the environment, it would be very good for the taxpayers' pockets because we would be paying less for the food, and I think it's a win, win, win," she said.

US Cuba crackdown will choke tourism, private firms

By - Jun 18,2017 - Last updated at Jun 18,2017

A man holds signs referencing US President Donald Trump’s policy on Cuba, in Miami, Florida, on Friday (AFP photo)

HAVANA — US President Donald Trump says tightening restrictions on American business and tourism in Cuba will help the island’s people and small private businesses, but analysts warn it will do the opposite.

The US president framed it as a move against a “cruel and brutal” regime: bypassing the state military-run business group GAESA to channel investment to the people.

But in Cuba, cutting out the armed forces means undermining the tourism sector, which is largely controlled by GAESA but also supports many small, private businesses.

“The new measures will attack the only sources of growth that the Cuban economy currently has: tourism and the private sector,” said Pavel Vidal, a Cuban economist at Pontifical Xaverian University in Colombia.

“The companies under military control are decisive for the operation of tourist services. If you restrict its capacity to receive foreign investment and make international payments, the economy is sure to suffer.”

‘Backward move’

Cuba’s state Business Administration Group (GAESA) manages some 50 hotels, chains of shops, construction, communications and distribution firms and the major port of Mariel west of Havana.

Run by Luis Rodriguez Lopez-Callejas, son-in-law of Cuba’s President Raul Castro, GAESA is involved in joint ventures with several foreign firms that have driven a tourism boom on the island, including the Marriott hotel chain.

Since taking over the running of the country just over a decade ago, Castro has been gradually expanding the private sector and trying to open up the country to foreign businesses.

After decades of Cold War enmity, he oversaw a diplomatic rapprochement with the United States under Trump’s predecessor Barack Obama.

But the reforms have been slow and Cuba is in recession, dragged down by the decline in cut-price oil imports from its crisis-hit ally Venezuela.

US companies active in Cuba have complained about the threat to business — such as the Starwood hotel chain which last year opened a Sheraton in Havana. But the biggest impact may be felt by Cubans themselves.

“There will be little impact on the US economy,” said Michael Shifter, a specialist at the Inter-American Dialogue, a Washington-based research group.

“But for the Cuban economy — including the private sector — this shift is a tremendous blow.”

 

A group of 55 Cuban businesspeople sent a letter this week to Trump’s daughter and adviser, Ivanka, warning against the policy changes.

Boeing, Airbus take dogfight to Paris airshow

By - Jun 18,2017 - Last updated at Jun 18,2017

A Boeing 737 Max moves on the tarmac in le Bourget near Paris prior to the opening of the International Paris Airshow, on Monday (AFP Photo)

PARIS — The aircraft industry descends on Paris on Monday for the world’s biggest airshow, a prime battleground for bitter rivals Boeing and Airbus, but also a chance for new kids on the block to snap at the heels of the two giants.

Single-aisle planes for short and medium distances are the hottest ticket in the world’s civil aviation industry, with airline demand for models in the Airbus A320 family giving the European company an edge, for now, over its American opponent which is racing to return in force to the mid-range segment.

But the duopoly is not without challengers: Competition is looming, notably from Russia and China who have each been test-flying their own mid-range models.

The airshow comes a little too early for either Russia’s Irkut, with its MC-21, or China’s Comac, with the much-flagged C919, to be able to showcase their aircraft there, but both will leave little doubt that they expect to win a big slice of the aviation pie in the future.

Squeezing in seats

 

Boeing, meanwhile, is to showcase the 737 Max 9 model as its anti-Airbus weapon in a market segment where the capacity to squeeze a few more seats into a narrow-body cabin while eking out increased fuel efficiency over greater ranges is key.

Airbus’s biggest-capacity member of the mid-range family, the brand new A321neo, is able to fit in 236 seats in an all-economy class version. Low-cost airlines are eyeing the aircraft to break into transatlantic routes.

Coming up next from Boeing is the 737 Max 10 which is to match that capacity, while also being lighter and cheaper, the plane maker has said. Test flights have been completed and Boeing is now talking to customers about ordering the Max 10.

“This airplane would give airlines increased capacity and the lowest seat costs ever for a single-aisle airplane,” said Randy Tinseth, vice president for Boeing Commercial Airplanes.
“Simply put, the 737 MAX 10X would be the most profitable single-aisle airplane the industry has ever seen,” he wrote in a blog entry.

Airbus will also showcase its new long-haul model A350-1000 and Boeing its 787-10 Dreamliner while Ukraine’s Antonov will present its 132 D.

While new civilian aircraft orders will probably fall short of the $130 billion the Paris show clocked up last time — mostly thanks to booming orders for Boeing and Airbus — the industry is still optimistic about sustained long-term growth.

Airbus said earlier this month it expects the market for large passenger planes to more than double in the next 20 years driven by growth from Asian markets.
Supersonic roars
Raising its previous forecasts for the next two decades, the European aircraft maker also said a slowdown in orders over the past several months did not signal a drop in the market.
“The trend is positive,” said Airbus Chief Executive Fabrice Bregier.
The planemaker predicts the need for 35,000 new planes worth $5.3 trillion over the next two decades, an increase from last year’s estimates.
Airbus earlier warned it expected slow orders this year and perhaps next year, too, but said it was a normal part of the business cycle.

The biennial Paris Airshow, which runs to June 25, is expected to attract 150,000 industry professionals from 2,370 companies.

There will also be some 200,000 regular visitors, many of whom will come especially for spectacular displays of supersonic military hardware as fast combat planes break the sound barrier.

 

One star performer will be Lockheed Martin’s F-35A new generation fighter jet, scheduled to sortie on demonstration flights during the airshow.

Saudi’s Kingdom Holding buys 7% of Careem ride app

By - Jun 16,2017 - Last updated at Jun 16,2017

A Saudi woman shows the Careem app on her mobile phone in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters file photo)

RIYADH — Saudi Arabia’s Kingdom Holding Co. said on Thursday it has bought a stake in car ride-hailing business Careem, its latest venture in the booming sector.

Kingdom Holding, chaired by Prince Al Waleed Bin Talal, acquired a 7 per cent share in the firm, valuing the transaction at $62 million.

Dubai’s Abraaj Group said in a separate statement that it has divested its shareholding in Careem.

It did not give the size of the stake, but confirmed it has been acquired by Kingdom Holding, a diversified Riyadh-based global investor.

The firm has stakes in a variety of sectors, including banking, through Citigroup, and media with Time Warner.

In 2015, Kingdom Holding invested more than $100 million in Lyft, a San Francisco-based rival to another US-based ride-hailing operation, Uber, which is a smartphone app that connects passengers and drivers.

“Our investment in Careem is a continuation of our strategy to invest in new technologies”, as it has already done with Lyft and stakes in Twitter and JD.com, Kingdom Holding’s CEO Talal Al Maiman said in a statement.

“Careem sets an example for regional businesses by providing employment opportunities to locals and developing talent,” he said.

Car booking apps are popular in Saudi Arabia, particularly among women who are banned from driving in the country.

As part of a wide-ranging plan to diversify its oil-dependent economy and give more jobs to Saudis, the kingdom is trying to develop its digital infrastructure and broaden its investment base.

In December, the largest Saudi telecommunication firm, STC, said it would buy a 10 per cent stake in Careem for $100 million.

Uber announced in June last year that Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund would inject $3.5 billion to help the app’s global expansion.

 

Rival Careem operates in the Middle East and surrounding region.

Japan food firms showcase tasty technology

By - Jun 16,2017 - Last updated at Jun 16,2017

This photo taken on November 10, 2016 shows employees of an information technology company exercising together in their office after lunchtime in Tokyo (AFP file photo)

TOKYO — From edible ink printers to chicken stick conveyor belts, Japan’s food firms put it all on the menu at an industry show this week with one bold exhibitor claiming it could turn anyone into a top sushi chef.

Newmind’s colour printers can graft almost any image — a country flag, Hello Kitty face or message to a loved one — onto cookies and other food just like a conventional printer.

Best of all, you can eat the ink.

Over at Kojima Giken’s booth, a machine plunged wooden skewers into diced chicken and leek bits as they passed along a conveyor belt. 

The result is a wildly popular grilled snack called yakitori, usually accompanied by copious amounts of beer. 

The company says its machines can churn out anywhere from 300 to 20,000 yakitori sticks an hour depending on the size of the machine.

“And we can skewer pretty much anything,” said founder Minoru Kojima.

“Just last year, we designed a big machine to make fruit and vegetables on sticks — the kind of things you eat at parties. We sold them in France.”

There were nearly 800 exhibitors at the International Food Machinery and Technology Exhibition in Tokyo, which wraps up Friday.

Suzumo Machinery has a device that combines rice, spicy green wasabi paste and fresh fish before wrapping the sushi in a clear plastic wrap stamped with an expiration date — at a rate as quick as 2,000 pieces an hour.

“Making sushi is a difficult thing and require skills that take about from three to five years to acquire,” said Suzumo’s Ryosuke Murai.

 

“With this machine, you can become a sushi chef in a day.”

Energy market seen as vulnerable to prolonged Gulf crisis

By - Jun 14,2017 - Last updated at Jun 14,2017

This photo taken on February 6 shows the Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar’s principal site for production of liquefied natural gas and gas-to-liquid, administrated by Qatar Petroleum, some 80 kilometres north of the capital Doha (AFP photo)

KUWAIT CITY —  While the Gulf’s bitter diplomatic crisis is unlikely to affect energy prices in the short term, a prolonged rift that disrupts Qatar’s gas supplies could send prices soaring, analysts say.

With rising US shale oil output driving a global supply glut, the decision by Saudi Arabia and its allies earlier this month to sever diplomatic ties with Qatar provided only a fleeting boost to prices.

“Given the severe supply glut in the oil markets globally, it is quite unlikely that the Gulf spat would lead to a spike in oil prices in the short or medium term,” M.R. Raghu, executive vice president of Kuwait Financial Centre (Markaz), told AFP.

Qatar said on Monday that it would comply with an agreement by the OPEC oil cartel and other producers to extend production cuts for nine months until the end of March to rebalance the market.

Qatar’s share in the output cuts of 1.8 million barrels per day is just 30,000.

While its daily oil output of around 600,000 barrels represents less than 1 per cent of world crude production, Qatar is a major player in liquefied Natural Gas (LNG).

The tiny emirate is the world’s leading LNG exporter, accounting for a third of international supplies, mainly to Asia and Europe.

Advisory firm Oxford Economics said Qatar’s exports of oil and gas are unlikely to be significantly affected, with its main sea routes — including through Omani and Iranian waters — still accessible.

But using Iranian waters could involve higher costs, said Jean-Francois Seznec of the US-based Atlantic Council’s Global Energy Center.

“It may have a small indirect impact in the case of continued tension. Insurance rates will start increasing rapidly and those rates would have to be paid by Qatar,” Seznec told AFP.

Most of Qatar’s almost 80 million tonnes of LNG supplies are shipped in tankers, mainly to Japan, South Korea and India, as well as to several European countries.

One-third of Britain’s gas imports, for example, come from Qatar. Other European customers include Spain and Poland.
 Politically fraught
The air, sea and land restrictions imposed by Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Egypt have not so far affected maritime routes for Qatari LNG vessels which can pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

Any disruption to Qatar’s LNG exports could anger the European Union.

“If Qatar gas finds it increasingly difficult to reach world markets, especially Europe, then the European Union may feel threatened by the prospect of having to depend on more Russian gas imports, a decision that is highly fraught politically in many EU capitals,” Kuwait Financial Centre said in a report on Monday.

Qatar also pumps more than two billion cubic feet of gas daily through a pipeline to the UAE, mainly for power generation. A small part of the pipeline exports goes to Oman.

So any disruption to Qatar’s gas supplies would be painful for several countries. 

A serious escalation of Gulf tensions or a military confrontation — while seen as highly unlikely — could cause energy prices to soar.

“If the conflict develops into a military confrontation... I would expect a very large spike in prices to around $150 a barrel of oil,” from below $50 per barrel now, Seznec said. 

Gas prices would also increase several-fold, he added.

This would be accompanied by a major leap in insurance premiums.

For oil prices to triple as predicted by Seznec, the conflict must disrupt oil and gas supply lines from most of the Gulf nations, including Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest crude exporter.

The six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states — Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE — account for a fifth of global crude exports or about 13 million bpd.

Income from energy exports makes up over 80 per cent of public revenues for the six members.

Raghu said an escalation of the crisis could mean “sea routes getting blocked and cost of transshipment of global gas rising”.

 

Major importers of Qatari LNG like Japan, South Korea and India may face shortages of supplies leading to a scramble for alternative suppliers in the long term, he said.

Pages

Pages



Newsletter

Get top stories and blog posts emailed to you each day.

PDF