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Parliamentary committee endorses nullification of oil agreement law

By - Dec 10,2019 - Last updated at Dec 10,2019

AMMAN — The Energy and Mineral Recourses Parliamentary Committee on Tuesday endorsed a bill that nullifies a law pertaining to the ratification of an oil exploration, production, sharing and evaluation agreement that had been reached between the Natural Resources Authority and Ammonite Energy Ltd. in Al Jafr and central Jordan.

Hussein Qaisi, who heads the Parliamentary Committee, said that the government from the very beginning should decide whether companies expressing interest in oil exploration are serious about the job or not, through examining their background.

The reason for the committee’s decision is failure by Ammonite Energy Ltd. to implement its commitments, under the contract on oil exploration in Jafr and central Jordan, he said. The committee’s meeting was attended by Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources Hala Zawati and other energy sector officials.

EU opens subsidies for electric battery push

Step to prepare Europe for electric cars’ emergence

By - Dec 09,2019 - Last updated at Dec 09,2019

BRUSSELS — The EU's powerful anti-trust authority on Monday approved billions of euros in subsidies from seven member states as Europe seeks to make up lost ground in batteries.

The move is part of a big push led by Germany and France to prepare Europe for the emergence of electric cars, as gas combustible engines are phased out over climate change concerns.

The European car industry employs over 10 million people and the EU is deeply concerned about Europe's dependence in a highly strategy sector on car batteries from Asia.

Batteries represent 40 per cent of the cost of an electric car and are currently manufactured by companies in South Korea, China and Japan.

The mega subsidy of 3.2 billion euros ($3.5 billion) from Germany, France, Italy, Poland, Belgium, Sweden and Finland will go to a consortium of 17 companies and will help generate an extra 5 billion euros in private investment, a statement said.

The European Commission, the EU's executive and anti-trust enforcer, usually holds a strict line against state subsidies, but in 2014 gave more leeway for countries to back strategic transnational projects.

"I am delighted that the Commission has verified and authorised the first major battery project in Europe in just a few weeks," said German Economy Minister Peter Altmaier in a statement.

This is "a great success for Germany and Europe", he added.

The wave of new subsidies are part of something called the European Battery Alliance, a rare effort by Brussels to centralise industrial policy.

The campaign, launched in 2017, was designed to entice European industry to create a so-called "Airbus of batteries", in reference to the aviation giant that was born from wide array of semi-private companies a generation ago.

Companies involved in the battery projects include German car giant BMW and chemical multinationals BASF and Solvay.

"The emergence of the European battery industry will contribute to the achievement of the objective set by the European Union to become the first carbon-neutral continent by 2050," said French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire.

The battery greenlight comes just days before the EU commission announces its Green New Deal agenda, that includes an ambition to achieve carbon neutrality as well as boost climate-friendly investment.

To come to fruition, the Green New Deal will require EU member states to further open national coffers, a prospect that has already received resistance from the Germany, The Netherlands and other wealthy northern states.

Inflation, climate, jargon: ECB launches major review

Lagarde to reflect on unconventional crisis measures — Ducrozet

By - Dec 09,2019 - Last updated at Dec 09,2019

This photo taken on December 1, shows the President of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde during a press conference at the House of European History in Brussels to celebrate the 10th anniversary of the Lisbon Treaty (AFP file photo)

FRANKFURT AM MAIN — The European Central Bank's (ECB) new President Christine Lagarde has announced that the Frankfurt-based institute will soon undertake a strategic review, its first since 2003.

Here is how the ECB's strategy has developed over the years and what has prompted the decision to reassess it.

 

What is the ECB strategy now?  

The ECB's overriding mandate is to ensure price stability.

In 2003, its main decision-making body, the governing council, defined that goal as an inflation rate of "just below, but close to" 2 per cent, a level that would encourage investment and employment, while warding off deflation.

Nevertheless, inflation has remained stubbornly low at around 1 per cent, a phenomenon that has left many economists around the world scratching their heads.

Different theories have been put forward as to a possible explanation, from the rise of the casual "gig" economy or the suppression of workers' earnings through globalisation, to political shocks, such as trade tensions and Brexit.

There have been increasing calls for the central bank to rethink the inflation target and the issue is certain to feature highly on the ECB's review, which is expected to take many months.

At the same time, the ECB is under pressure to do more to tackle climate change and wealthier countries like Germany see the review as a chance to call into question the ECB's ultra-expansive policy.

They have long argued that the bank's record-low — and even negative — interest rates, as well as its massive "quantitative easing" bond-buying programme, are detrimental to savers and help accentuate asset price bubbles.

The review will be "an ideal opportunity for Christine Lagarde to reflect on the unconventional crisis measures adopted over the past decade", Pictet Wealth Management strategist Frederik Ducrozet said.

The aim should be "not to 'reset' monetary policy, but give it a new launching point for the coming eight years" of her mandate, he said.

A change in the definition of the inflation target to "around" 2 per cent, instead of "just below", would be "desirable and plausible, if only to make forecasts simpler and more credible", Ducrozet said.

Meanwhile, environmentalists are lobbying the ECB intensively to green both its own operations and its investments in the wider economy through its bond-buying scheme.

Lagarde acknowledged last week that "the ECB's mandate is not climate change", but said climate risks could be built into its economic forecasting and other aspects of its work, such as banking supervision, without compromising the price stability target.

 

Clearer communication 

 

Until now, ECB meetings have been shrouded in more secrecy than those of other central banks, with an "account" published only weeks later that neither names participants, nor reveals the voting record of individual governing council members. 

"We think the bank may move to a more transparent and systematic process of voting on major policy decisions," said Capital Economics analyst Andrew Kenningham.

The debate has been given fresh urgency following the decision by the ECB's governing council in September to restart a bond-buying scheme, which led to a rare public row where dissenters aired their grievances in the media. 

Lagarde has also vowed to bring the ECB closer to the public by ditching some of the bank's seemingly impenetrable jargon, where a single word can move markets, but remain incomprehensible to outsiders.

Lagarde has said she wants to "dust off" the bank's language to help citizens understand "what the ECB is for".

Transport chaos as French strike bites

By - Dec 08,2019 - Last updated at Dec 08,2019

Passengers stand inside Lyon railway station in Paris on Sunday during a strike of state railway company SNCF employees over French government's plan to overhaul the country's retirement system, as part of a national general strike (AFP photo)

PARIS — Public transport in France was crippled for a fourth day on Sunday as the government prepared to respond to anger over pension reforms that brought hundreds of thousands onto the streets as workers embarked on open-ended protest.

President Emmanuel Macron, Prime Minister Edouard Philippe and senior Cabinet ministers were scheduled to hold a "working meeting" late Sunday to discuss a government project which the country's powerful labour unions claim will force many to work longer for a smaller retirement payout.

The strikes, which began on Thursday over plans for a single, points-based pension scheme, recalled the winter of 1995, when three weeks of stoppages forced a social policy U-turn by the then-government.

Macron's move to modernise France's retirement system is part of an election pledge to put the country on a solid financial footing — a mission that calls for painful changes in a country where many people have seen their spending power decline.

The biggest labour unrest in years comes as France's economy is already dented by more than a year of weekly anti-government protests by "yellow vest" activists, and with Macron's popularity falling.

The mass strike closed schools on Thursday, and hobbled commuters in Paris and its suburbs as well as other major cities through the weekend.

Many opted to take days off or to work from home, but thousands had no choice but to squeeze into perilously overfull suburban trains and metros whose numbers were slashed to a minimum.

 

Shows cancelled 

 

Regional and international trains, including the Thalys and Eurostar, were also badly affected and many flights were cancelled on the first days of the strike.

Many tourists were left disappointed too, with the world-famous Louvre closing some rooms, and the Paris Opera and other theatres in the capital cancelling performances.

The chaos was set to continue on Monday, with the three main rail unions calling for the action to be stepped up ahead of another general strike and mass protests called for Tuesday.

"In the coming days, we recommend avoiding public transport," said the website of the RATP public train, tram, bus and metro company on which some 10 million passengers in the larger Paris area rely daily to get to work.

Ten out of the RATP's 16 metro lines will be offline, four will offer limited service, and the only two driverless metros will run as usual but with a "risk of congestion" during peak hours.

Inter-city rail operator SNCF cautioned of potentially "dangerous" overcrowding.

Philippe vowed to the Sunday newspaper Journal du Dimanche he was "determined" to pursue the reform — which will see 42 pension plans merged into one.

"If we do not make a far-reaching, serious and progressive reform today, someone else will do a really brutal one tomorrow," said the head of government.

But the leader of the hardline CGT union, Philippe Martinez, told the paper: "We will keep up until the withdrawal" of the reform plan, which he said contained "nothing good".

 

'Positive outcomes' 

 

Under pressure, the government held talks with union representatives over the weekend, ahead of Sunday evening's emergency meeting.

Jean-Paul Delevoye, who Macron appointed to lead the pension reform project, is set to unveil the outcome of his months-long consultations on Monday, followed by Philippe announcing the final details of the proposed reform plan on Wednesday.

Delevoye has already angered unions by suggesting cancelling the more advantageous pensions enjoyed by some professions including public transport and utilities workers, sailors, notaries and even Paris Opera workers.

The proposals have brought thousands out on the streets in recent months, including train drivers, pilots, lawyers, doctors and police.

At least 800,000 took part in countrywide rallies on Thursday, one of the biggest demonstrations of union strength in nearly a decade.

On Saturday, some 23,500 people including "yellow vest" protesters marched against unemployment and waning spending power.

Philippe insisted the reform will "provide extremely positive outcomes for many people who are suffering injustices in the current system", including women and farmers.

Businesses, however, feared for their bottom line with empty beds in many hotels and shopping hit by the transport stoppage on a key weekend in the run-up to Christmas.

France rejects ‘optional’ US digital tax proposal

Le Maire urged Washington to return to the path of negotiations

By - Dec 07,2019 - Last updated at Dec 07,2019

This photo taken on August 28, shows the logos for Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple displayed on a tablet in Lille, France (AFP file photo)

PARIS — A US proposal for international digital taxes to be made “optional” is “not acceptable”, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said on Friday.

Le Maire urged the United States to negotiate “in good faith” with the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) members to reach an agreement on taxing global computing giants rather than resorting to “regrettable” trade measures that target symbolic products.

France has been at the forefront of efforts to tighten taxation of digital giants and parliament infuriated the administration of President Donald Trump in July by adopting a law taxing digital firms like Google, Apple, Facebook and Amazon for revenues earned inside the country.

In a letter addressed on Thursday to the OECD, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin reiterated support for ongoing talks on a deal that is to be finalised by June, but also made new propositions that unsettled trade partners.

The notion of a “safe harbour regime” that Mnuchin presents as a solution to US concerns includes the principle of “optionality” which Le Maire, however, said would not work.

“Frankly, I do not believe in the US proposal for an optional solution, where companies choose freely to be taxed or not,” Le Maire told an audience in Paris.

“An optional solution would clearly not be acceptable to France or its OECD partners,” the minister said.

“I have not seen many companies that accept to be taxed of their own free will. While you can always count on individual philanthropy, I am not sure that when it comes to public finances that goes very far,” Le Maire said.

The French finance minister argued for a binding text being mulled by 135 countries under OECD auspices that would replace France’s own 3-per cent tax on sales by digital giants within France.

 

‘In good faith’ 

 

Le Maire urged Washington to “return to the path of negotiations... in good faith, not on an optional basis but on a binding basis for all states that sign up to the agreement”.

France and other countries argue that multinational digital giants must pay taxes on revenues accrued in a country even if their corporate or tax headquarters are elsewhere, such as Ireland or Luxembourg where company profits are taxed at comparatively low levels.

In response to the French digital tax plan, the US has threatened to impose tariffs of up to 100 per cent on $2.4 billion in French goods including champagne, cosmetics, yoghurt and Roquefort cheese. 

In his letter, Mnuchin underscored the importance of the OECD talks “to prevent the proliferation of unilateral measures, like digital services taxes” that he urged member countries to suspend.

The row now threatens to block the OECD negotiations.

“It is regrettable that these trade wars lead our US allies and friends... to directly attack products that symbolise the French culture,” Le Maire said.

He said the French tax did not single out US companies, and that European Trade Commissioner Phil Hogan had expressed his “full support” for an EU-wide plan that would reply to the US threat in kind should it take effect.

Meanwhile, Hogan said he was planning to sit down with US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer next month to discuss the American threat against French exports.

“We are looking at all possibilities, but we prefer to have a negotiated settlement,” Hogan told Bloomberg News.

OPEC considers deeper output cuts as global growth slows

Fresh production cuts would suit Saudi Arabia — observers

By - Dec 06,2019 - Last updated at Dec 06,2019

Mustafa Sanalla, chairman of the National Oil Corporation of Libya, uses his phone as he arrives for the 177th Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries meeting in Vienna, Austria, on Thursday (AFP photo)

VIENNA — Major oil exporting countries started meeting in Vienna on Thursday amid speculation they are seeking to deepen output cuts as slowing global economic growth and abundant reserves put pressure on oil prices. 

The cuts of 1.2 million barrels per day from October 2018 levels were originally fixed in December last year and were already extended at the last meeting of the Organisation of Petroleum exporting Countries (OPEC) in July.

But Iraqi Oil Minister Thamer Ghadban on his arrival on Tuesday in Vienna suggested some members would push for output to be slashed by an additional 400,000 barrels per day.

Some observers say fresh production cuts and a boost to prices would suit Saudi Arabia as it tries to support the initial public offering (IPO) of its national oil company Aramco.

"I'm expecting a successful meeting," Prince Abdulaziz Bin Salman told reporters as he arrived for his first OPEC gathering as Saudi oil minister. 

Other oil ministers were unusually tight-lipped as they arrived for the two-day meeting.

Earlier on Thursday, the Saudi prince — half-brother of the kingdom's powerful Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman — met Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak, according to a statement by Russia's energy ministry.

Novak praised the two countries' "important existing dialogue" as the two men discussed their cooperation to control world oil prices with other OPEC countries and economic relations.

The big unknown in the run-up to the meetings has been the position of Russia.

The world's second-biggest producer, which since late 2016 has been part of the so-called OPEC+ grouping, admitted on Tuesday that it had missed its monthly target for cuts in November for the eighth time this year.

Iraq and Nigeria — Africa's biggest producer — have also regularly been exceeding their quotas.

 

'No climate 

change deniers' 

 

Ahead of Thursday's meeting, dozens of climate change activists gathered outside the OPEC headquarters in a silent protest, holding banners that read: "Burn injustice not oil" and "Fossil fuels have got to go".

OPEC Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo — who called climate change activists the "greatest threat" to the oil industry during the organisation's last meeting in July — received several of them, assuring that "there are no climate change deniers in OPEC".

"I'm happy that you are here and we will continue with our dialogue," he said. 

OPEC members may well be tempted to follow a cautious course by a forbidding global economic context.

The trade war with the US is acting as a drag on growth in China, normally an avid consumer of oil, while the European economy is also stagnating.

Moreover, the output of oil producers outside OPEC is breaking records: the US has been the world's biggest producer since 2018, Brazil and Canada have also increased output and others such as Norway are planning to do so.

According to the latest US estimates, the country's total domestic stocks now stand at an enormous 452 million barrels.

Analysts say that, taken together, these factors will leave OPEC little room for manoeuvre if it wants to fulfil its stated aim of securing "fair and stable prices for petroleum producers".

Prices have held relatively steady since the last OPEC meeting, with a barrel of Brent crude hovering around the $60 mark, apart from a spike in September sparked by attacks on Saudi oil installations.

While this is a comfortable price for the likes of Russia, whose 2019 budget is predicated on a price of around $42 a barrel, it is too low for countries such as Saudi Arabia.

On the eve of the summit, oil prices finished the day's trading on a high, with the European benchmark of Brent up by 3.6 per cent and its American equivalent WTI 4.2 per cent higher.

 

 Further cuts? 

 

Saudi Arabia has stayed within the quota it had been assigned under the current deal and in September urged its partners to do the same.

Meanwhile, the Aramco IPO has been delayed several times with the bidding period closing on Wednesday.

While investors have baulked at Aramco's valuation of around $1.7 trillion, this is still less than Saudi authorities were hoping for.

Aramco says IPO oversubscribed for individual investors

By - Nov 30,2019 - Last updated at Nov 30,2019

This photo taken on Wednesday shows women in Saudi Arabia's capital Riyadh checking on their mobile phones an announcement on Saudi Aramco's public offering on an investment services website (AFP photo)

RIYADH — Saudi Arabia’s oil giant Aramco said on Friday that applications from private investors for its planned stock market offering had been oversubscribed.

The much-delayed initial public offering (IPO), first announced in 2016, is a cornerstone of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman's ambitious plan to diversify the Gulf state's oil-reliant economy.

The IPO could exceed the world's biggest to date — the $25 billion float of Chinese retail giant Alibaba in 2014.

On November 17, Saudi Aramco said it would sell 1.5 per cent of the company in an initial public offering worth $24-25.6 billion.

"Retail subscriptions, which concluded last night, reached 47,411,624,960 Saudi riyals" ($12.6 billion, 11.5 billion euros), with almost five million subscribers for nearly 1.5 billion shares, Friday's statement said.

Aramco had said it would reserve a portion of the IPO's shares for institutional investors, including foreign companies, and individual investors, Saudi citizens and Gulf states.

A maximum of 0.5 per cent of the 200 billion shares will go to individual investors, the statement said.

It said subscriptions and bids during the first 12 days of the offer period totalled more than 166 billion riyals ($44.3 billion, 40.2 billion euros).

The statement quoted Rania Nashar, deputy chairman of Samba Capital, as saying the high turnout and subscription rates was "a source of pride, an indication of success and a signal of confidence".

Institutional bids received during the first 12 days of the book-building period, which continues until December 4, now stand at more than 118 billion riyals ($31.5 billion, 28.6 billion euros), Aramco said.

Saudi Arabia is pulling out all the stops to ensure the success of the IPO, a crucial part of Prince Mohammed's plan to wean the economy away from oil by pumping funds into megaprojects and non-energy industries.

The economic jewel of Saudi Arabia produces about 10 per cent of the world's oil and is considered the pillar of the kingdom's economic and social stability.

China factory activity expands in November after 6-month losing streak

By - Nov 30,2019 - Last updated at Nov 30,2019

This photo, taken on Wednesday, shows employees working on an assembly line at the third auto plant of Dongfeng Honda in Wuhan in China’s central Hubei province (AFP photo)

BEIJING — China’s November factory activity rebounded for the first time in seven months, data showed on Saturday, despite the looming threat of fresh US tariffs within weeks if Beijing and Washington fail to sign a partial trade deal.

The closely watched Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a key gauge of activity in the country’s factories, rose to 50.2 in November, up from 49.3 last month, the National Bureau of Statistics said.

The reading is slightly above the 50-point mark that separates growth and contraction every month.

A sub-index of new export orders climbed to a 7-month high at 48.8, but was still in contraction as demand wanes for China’s exports abroad.

Ting Lu, chief China economist at investment bank Nomura, says “the blip” of a rise in the official manufacturing PMI does not signify a recovery in the economy.

“The jump of manufacturing PMI from 49.2 in February to 50.5 in March this year made the whole market very excited about a strong recovery, but it turned out to be an illusion,” said Lu.

“This time is no different.”

The reading comes as Beijing and Washington edge towards a partial deal to a trade war that has dragged on for nearly 20 months.

Top US and Chinese negotiators held phone talks on Tuesday and agreed to keep in touch over “remaining issues” for a “phase one” trade deal between the two countries, Chinese state media said.

The two sides have slapped tariffs on nearly half-a-trillion dollars worth of goods in two way trade, and US President Donald Trump is threatening fresh tariffs in mid-December if there was no mini-deal.

Beijing has also implemented a number of measures to stimulate the economy, which expanded at its slowest pace in nearly three decades in the third quarter.

People’s Bank of China trimmed the interest rate it charges on funding to commercial lenders last week, to boost lending to credit-starved parts of the economy.

More pain for German car industry as Daimler axes 10,000 jobs

By - Nov 30,2019 - Last updated at Nov 30,2019

FRANKFURT AM MAIN — Luxury automaker Daimler said on Friday it would scrap at least 10,000 jobs worldwide, the latest in a wave of layoffs to hit the stuttering German car industry as it battles with a costly switch to electric.

The Mercedes-Benz maker said it wanted to save 1.4 billion euros ($1.5 billion) in staff costs by the end of 2022 as it joins rivals in investing huge sums in the greener, smarter cars of the future.

“The total number worldwide will be in the five-digits,” Daimler personnel chief Wilfried Porth said in a conference call about the job cull.

He declined to give a more detailed breakdown.

The group said in an earlier statement that “thousands” of jobs would be axed by the end of 2022, after clinching a deal with labour representatives.

The cull includes slashing management jobs “by 10 per cent”, Daimler said, reportedly amounting to some 1,100 positions around the world.

“The automotive industry is in the middle of the biggest transformation in its history,” Daimler said.

“The development towards CO2-neutral mobility requires large investments,” it added.

Along with other manufacturers, Daimler is scrambling to get ready for tough new EU emission rules taking effect next year, forcing it to accelerate the costly shift to zero-emissions electric cars and plug-in hybrids.

The group, which employs 304,000 people globally, said the job cuts would be achieved through natural turnover, early retirement schemes and severance packages.

 

Fewer parts needed 

 

Daimler’s announcement comes as the mighty German car industry is buffeted by trade tensions, weaker Chinese demand and a darkening economic outlook.

Other major car companies have in recent months already unveiled plans to cut some 30,000 jobs in the sector over the next years.

Germany’s Audi said it wants to axe 9,500 jobs, followed by more than 5,000 at Volkswagen, some 5,500 at car parts supplier Continental, while Bosch aims to cut more than 2,000 roles.

US car giant Ford plans to scrap some 5,000 jobs in Germany alone.

Electric engines require fewer parts and are less complicated to assemble than internal combustion engines, needing fewer hands.

But auto bosses have said thousands of new, hi-tech jobs will also be created in the electric era to make cars more autonomous and connected.

German automotive expert Ferdinand Dudenhoeffer has said he believes the German car sector — which currently employs 800,000 people — will shed 250,000 jobs over the next decade. 

A total of 125,000 new ones will be created, he predicted.

Daimler returned to profit in the third quarter and said it was expecting 2019 revenues to be “slightly above” last year’s, while operating profit would be “significantly below” the 11.1 billion euros in 2018.

Adding to Daimler’s woes this year were expensive recalls linked to faulty Takata airbags and to diesel cars allegedly fitted with software to dupe emissions tests.

While the company has staunchly denied cheating, it nevertheless agreed to pay an 870 million-euro fine in Germany for having sold vehicles that did not conform with legal emissions limits.

Canada’s economy slowed in third quarter

By - Nov 30,2019 - Last updated at Nov 30,2019

OTTAWA — Canada’s economy put on the brakes in the third quarter sending growth falling to 1.3 per cent or almost one-third of the previous three months’ gross domestic product (GDP), the government statistical agency said on Friday.

Statistics Canada blamed a drop in exports for the slowdown, noting that it was moderated by an uptick in consumer spending and business investment.

The agency also revised downward its second quarter GDP figure to 3.5 per cent from its initial estimate in August of 3.7 per cent. This expansion was the fastest among Group of Seven industrialised countries.

Canada’s GDP in the three months ending September 30 was in line with analysts’ forecasts.

With projections of a further slowing in activity toward the end of the year, most economists believe the Bank of Canada will leave its key lending rate unchanged at 1.75 per cent when it is announced next week.

“Canada’s third quarter was another so-so result,” commented CIBC analyst Avery Shenfeld, “with this quarter’s growth rate also in line with the average pace we’ve seen in the past year or more”.

Interest rates, he said, were likely “low enough to offset the drag from weak external markets”.

According to Statistics Canada, export volumes declined 0.4 per cent in the third quarter after rising 3.1 per cent in the previous three months, while recent import volumes were flat following a small drop in the second quarter.

Exports of non-metallic minerals and farm and fishing products were down, the agency said. These declines were partly offset by higher exports of metal ores and concentrates, and clothing and footwear products.

Increases in household spending, meanwhile, were largely driven by purchases of new trucks, vans and sport utility vehicles.

Housing investment rose at its fastest pace in seven years, driven by both new home construction and resales — notably in the hot real estate markets of British Columbia and Ontario provinces.

Business investments in engineering structures, machinery and equipment and intellectual property products were also up.

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