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Climate finance billions at stake at COP29

By - Nov 04,2024 - Last updated at Nov 04,2024

PARIS — Rich nations will be under pressure at this month's UN COP29 conference to substantially increase the amount of money they give to poorer countries for climate action.

But there is deep disagreement over how much is needed, who should pay and what should be covered, ensuring that "climate finance" will top the agenda at COP29 in Baku.

What is climate finance?

It is the buzzword in this year's negotiations, which run from November 11 to 22, but there is not one agreed definition of climate finance.

In general terms, it is money spent in a manner "consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate-resilient development", as per phrasing used in the Paris Agreement.

That includes government or private money for clean energy like solar and wind, technology like electric vehicles, or adaptation measures like dykes to hold back rising seas.

But could a subsidy for a new water-efficient hotel, for example, be counted? It is not something the COP summits have addressed directly.

At the annual UN negotiations, climate finance has come to refer to the difficulties the developing world faces getting the money it needs to prepare for global warming.

Who pays?

Under a 1992 UN accord, a handful of rich countries most responsible for global warming were obligated to provide finance.

In 2009, the United States, the European Union, Japan, Britain, Canada, Switzerland, Norway, Iceland, New Zealand and Australia agreed to pay $100 billion per year by 2020.

They only achieved this for the first time in 2022. The delay eroded trust and fuelled accusations that rich countries were shirking their responsibility.

At COP29, nearly 200 nations are expected to agree on a new finance goal beyond 2025.

India has called for $1 trillion a year and some other proposals go higher, but countries on the hook want other major economies to chip in.

They argue times have changed and the big industrialised nations of the early 1990s represent just 30 per cent of historic greenhouse gas emissions today.

In particular, there is a push for China — the world's largest polluter today — and the oil-rich Gulf countries to pay. They do not accept this proposal.

What's being negotiated?

Experts commissioned by the UN estimate that developing countries, excluding China, will need $2.4 trillion per year by 2030.

But the line between climate finance, foreign aid and private capital is often blurred and campaigners are pushing for clearer terms that specify where money comes from, and in what form.

In an October letter to governments, dozens of activist, environment and scientific groups called on rich nations to pay developing countries $1 trillion a year in three clear categories.

Some $300 billion would be government money for reducing planet-heating emissions, $300 billion for adaptation measures and $400 billion for disaster relief known as "loss and damage" funds.

The signatories said all the money should be grants, seeking to redress the provision of loans as climate finance that poorer countries say compounds their debt woes.

Developed countries do not want money for "loss and damage" included under any new climate finance pact reached at COP29.

Where will they find the money?

Today, most climate finance aid goes through development banks or funds co-managed with the countries concerned, such as the Green Climate Fund and the Global Environment Facility.

Campaigners are very critical of the $100 billion pledge because two-thirds of the money was given as loans, not grants.

Even revised upwards, it is likely any new pledge from governments will fall well short of what is needed.

But this commitment is viewed as highly symbolic nonetheless, and crucial to unlocking other sources of money, namely private capital.

Financial diplomacy also plays out at the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the G20, where this year's host Brazil wants to craft a global tax on billionaires.

The idea of new global taxes, for example on aviation or maritime transport, is also supported by France, Kenya and Barbados, with the backing of UN chief Antonio Guterres.

Redirecting fossil fuel subsidies towards clean energy or wiping the debt of poor countries in exchange for climate investments are also among the options.

COP29 host Azerbaijan, meanwhile, has asked fossil fuel producers to contribute to a new fund that would channel money to developing countries.

 

China to hash out stimulus plan with US elections in its sights

By - Nov 04,2024 - Last updated at Nov 04,2024

People walk in a quiet shopping mall in Beijing on November 3, 2024. (AFP file photo)

BEIJING — China's top lawmakers gather Monday to hash out a major stimulus package that analysts say could grow even bigger if former US president Donald Trump wins the White House this week.

Beijing has in recent months heeded calls to step up support for the economy after years of inaction, announcing a raft of measures including rate cuts and the easing of some home buying restrictions.

But they have refrained from unveiling a figure for the long-awaited stimulus, disappointing investors after a market rally fizzled when officials repeatedly failed to commit to a top line.

Analysts now hope this number could emerge from this week's meeting of the Standing Committee of National People's Congress, the top body of China's rubber stamp parliament and headed by number three official Zhao Leji.

The standing committee reviews and approves all legislation, including allocating funds out of China's budget.

"We are expecting more details on the proposals to be passed," said Heron Lim of Moody's Analytics, including "how this extra funding would be allocated to address the near-term economic issues".

Nomura economists expect lawmakers this week to approve around a trillion yuan ($140 billion) in extra budget — mostly for indebted local governments.

Analysts also expect Beijing to approve a one-off one trillion yuan for banks, aimed at writing off non-performing loans over the past four years.

"A lot of money will go to cover losses," added Natixis' Alicia Garcia Herrero.

"It's not really a growth push."

Concrete measures are expected to be announced when the meeting wraps up on Friday — in time for Beijing to take stock of results of presidential elections in the United States.

"We believe the US election results will have some impact on the size of Beijing's stimulus package," said Ting Lu, Nomura's Chief China Economist, in a research note.

Both candidates in the race have pledged to get tougher on Beijing, with Trump promising tariffs of 60 per cent on all Chinese goods coming into the country.

'Major challenges'

Nomura economists expect Beijing to adjust the size of its stimulus depending on the outcome.

"In our view, the size of China's fiscal stimulus package would be around 10 to 20 per cent bigger under a Trump win than under the scenario of a (Kamala) Harris win," Lu wrote.

But he said that "the major challenges for Beijing emanate from within rather than outside".

China is battling sluggish domestic consumption, a persistent crisis in the property sector and soaring government debt — all of which threaten Beijing's official growth target of five percent for this year.

The property sector was long a key driver of growth, but is now mired in a sea of debt.

Average prices of new residential property ticked up slightly last month, according to a survey of 100 cities by independent researcher China Index Academy.

But China's cities and provinces are still on the hook for a trove of unfinished and unsold housing units, and repurchasing them could cost Beijing up to 3.3 trillion yuan, according to Natixis estimates.

Prolonged housing woes continue to lead to weak consumer consumption, according to Lim of Moody's Analytics.

"The average Chinese consumer with existing mortgages does not feel their wealth is increasing," he said.

The issue of how local governments manage debt is also set to come under scrutiny at the NPC meeting this week.

Authorities at and above the county level will be required to report their debt situation to the NPC each year, Huang Haihua, spokesman for the NPC standing committee's legislative affairs commission, said at a briefing Friday.

But China's economic woes run deeper than local mismanagement and empty homes.

"The overall economy is losing productivity out of basically misallocated savings," said Garcia Herrero, referring to issues within China's industrial policy spending, including extensive subsidies.

"They need to really change all of that," she said.

Apple narrowly beats estimates, with boost from iPhone sales

By - Nov 03,2024 - Last updated at Nov 03,2024

The logo of US tech giant Apple can be seen on an Apple store in Munich, southern Germany (AFP file photo)

SAN FRANCISCO — Apple reported revenues last week that narrowly surpassed analyst expectations, sending shares lower in after-hours trading even as it enjoyed a boost from iPhone sales.

The company saw quarterly revenue of $94.9 billion in the three months ending September 28, up from the same period last year, in a closely watched report as investors seek to gauge demand for its latest iPhones.

Revenue in greater China, however, showed weakness — falling slightly from the same period a year earlier to $15 billion.

Apple's iPhone sales came in at $46.2 billion, compared with expectations of $45.2 billion for the company's key product.

"Today Apple is reporting a new September quarter revenue record," said CEO Tim Cook in a statement, adding that the quarter included the company's launch of a new iPhone 16 lineup.

Investors are eyeing demand for new iPhones with artificial intelligence features, and Apple launched its iPhone 16 in September.

The company has since rolled out its first set of AI features dubbed "Apple Intelligence," across its premium iPhone, iPad and Mac devices — marking its major push into generative AI.

Besides Apple, other tech giants like Google, Microsoft and Amazon are convinced that generative AI's powers are the next chapter of computing — boosting spending so as not to be left behind.

Housing Bank achieves net profit of JD118.9 million during first nine months of 2024

By - Nov 02,2024 - Last updated at Nov 02,2024

 

AMMAN — The Housing Bank for Trade and Finance (HBTF) Group announced its financial results for the first nine months of 2024, reporting net profits after provisions and taxes of JD118.9 million, representing an increase of 5.0% compared to the same period last year.

Commenting on these financial results, Abdel Elah Al-Khatib, Chairman of the Board of Directors, expressed his satisfaction with the positive performance, which reflects the strength of Housing Bank and its ability to achieve sustainable growth. He emphasized his pride in the Bank's performance and its success in maintaining the legacy of the Group, which has spanned over five decades of successes, achievements, and excellence.

Al-Khatib added that the Group’s ability to achieve these profits during the first nine months of the year underscores the Bank's efficiency in dealing with exceptional challenging circumstances and ongoing geopolitical developments, along with their effects and repercussions on many economic and service sectors.

From his side, Ammar Al-Safadi, Chief Executive Officer of HBTF Group, affirmed that the key financial indicators for the first nine months of 2024 reflect the Group's solid financial position and its efficient and flexible deployment of resources in line with its comprehensive strategy, which is characterized by flexibility, modernity, and development across its various operational sectors. This has led to the achievement of the targeted growth.

Al-Safadi expressed his pride in the continued positive performance of the Bank during the first nine months of the year and its ability to achieve sustainable growth derived from the key operational sectors, which have continued to meet the planned performance across various financial indicators.

Furthermore, Al-Safadi noted that, with this exceptional financial performance, the Housing Bank Group continued to apply its prudent approach to risk management, increasing provisions for expected credit losses as precautionary measures to hedge against any potential economic conditions or challenges.

Additionally, Al-Safadi noted that the return on equity to shareholders increased to 12.0%, while the return on average assets increased to 1.77% during the first nine months of the current year. This outstanding performance reflects the Bank’s operational efficiency and successful asset and liability management to deliver the greatest return to the shareholders.

Al-Safadi praised the diverse activities of the Bank that contribute to building long-term value for shareholders and clients, highlighting ongoing efforts in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) sustainability. Al-Safadi also pointed out collaborations with European financing entities and sovereign funds to support green financing and the development of an ESG risk management strategy aligned with best practices and the Central Bank of Jordan's guidelines in this field. 

During the first nine months of 2024, the Group’s net credit facilities increased by 5.2% to reach JD4.7 billion as at the end of September 2024. This growth positively impacted the total income, operating profit, and market share of the Bank.

Moreover, the Group continued to strengthen its sources of funds, as customer deposits increased by 6.1% to reach JD6.0 billion by the end of September 2024. The total equity amounted to JD1.4 billion, while the capital adequacy ratio reached 18.6%, which is higher than the minimum regulatory requirements of the Central Bank of Jordan and the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.

Al-Safadi affirmed that the Bank will continue its comprehensive strategy characterized by flexibility and modernity, keeping pace with the best digital applications and adhering to global banking best practices. This aims to provide the best banking services to clients and maintain their satisfaction, upholding the Housing Bank's position in the Jordanian banking sector.

Wall Street bounces while oil prices climb on Middle East worries

By - Nov 02,2024 - Last updated at Nov 02,2024

LONDON — Wall Street stocks rebounded Friday from tame tech earnings and investor jitters less than a week before a neck-and-neck US presidential election.

Oil prices gained following reports that Iran was planning a major retaliatory strike on Israel, reviving the market's geopolitical fears.

Big tech delivered a mixed bag of earnings this week, with concerns over AI spending overshadowing better-than-expected results from Microsoft and Facebook-parent Meta.

Wall Street closed sharply lower Thursday, with the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite index dropping nearly three per cent.

But they snapped higher on Friday, with the Nasdaq gaining more than one per cent in what Briefing.com analyst Patrick O'Hare called buy-the-dip action following Thursday's losses.

"The pertinent question is, will buy-the-dip interest win out (again) or will there be follow-through selling?"

Data showing US job growth slowed drastically in October — albeit affected by hurricanes and strikes — reassured investors that the US Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates.

The world's biggest economy added 12,000 jobs last month, far below expectations and down from a revised 223,000 in September, said the Department of Labor in its monthly non-farm payrolls report.

"The key takeaway from the report is that it has reinvigorated the market's view that the Fed will stay on a steady rate-cut path," O'Hare said.

Expectations of a major rate cut by the Fed, like the bumper 50 basis point cut in September, have receded after data showed strong economic growth in the United States and inflation just above the central bank's long-term two per cent target.

But the "lower-than-expected jobs creation could prompt the Fed to follow through with the widely anticipated 25 basis point cut following their next meeting later next week," said Mahmoud Alkudsi, senior market analyst at ADSS brokerage.

eToro US investment analyst Bret Kenwell said the October jobs numbers "should keep a December rate cut on the table, too".

Separate data showed that activity in the US manufacturing sector contracted for a seventh straight month in October.

The fresh economic data came ahead of next week's coin-toss US election between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump, with jobs and the cost of living being key issues for voters.

Major European markets closed the day higher.

London gained 0.8 per cent despite lingering fears of the consequences of the Labour government's high-tax, high-spending budget unveiled this week.

Britain's 10-year borrowing rate reached its highest level since November 2023 on Thursday, on fears of a resurgence in inflation.

"Worries continue to swirl about the UK Budget stoking inflation and adding to the debt burden," said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Asian markets closed mixed, with Tokyo down more than two per cent as tech shares on the Nikkei were dragged down following the drop on Wall Street.

Shanghai also ended lower despite a forecast-beating Chinese manufacturing report that boosted hopes for a recovery in the world's second-largest economy.

"Markets have already priced in some risks of a second Trump presidency as they await the US presidential election," Lloyd Chan, an analyst at MUFG Global Markets Research, said in a note.

He added that Trump's proposed economic policies, including tariffs, could hurt the outlook for Asian economies.

Arab Bank Group reports net profit of $748.6m for first nine months of 2024

By - Nov 02,2024 - Last updated at Nov 02,2024

Arab Bank Group continues to deliver strong financial performance, reporting net income after tax of $748.6 million in the first nine months of this year (Photo courtesy of Arab Bank)

AMMAN — Arab Bank Group continues to deliver strong financial performance, reporting net income after tax of $748.6 million in the first nine months of this year compared to $630.3 million for the same period last year, with an increase of 19 per cent. 

The Group’s assets grew by 6 percent reaching $70.5 billion. At constant currency loans grew by 8 per cent to reach $38.3 billion, while deposits grew by 7 per cent to reach $51.9 billion. The Group maintained its solid capital base with a total equity of $11.9 billion, according to a statement to The Jordan Times. 

Chairman of the Board of Directors Sabih Masri said in the statement that the results reflect the successful and consistent execution of the Group’s growth strategy and its prudent approach towards managing risks, liquidity and capital to ensure achieving growth objectives despite challenging market environment.

Chief Executive Officer Randa Sadik said that the Group continues to achieve growth milestones across different segments. Sadik highlighted that the bank’s net operating income grew by 12 per cent driven by diversified core banking activities, and improvement of operating efficiency.

Sadik added that the Group’s performance in the first nine months of this year reflect its business model resilience to challenging market conditions with loan-to-deposit ratio at 73.9 per cent, and credit provisions against non-performing loans above 100 per cent, and capital adequacy ratio of 17.7 per cent.

Sadik underlined the Group’s focus on digital transformation as a fundamental pillar of its innovation-based strategy; providing digital financial solutions across all channels to enrich customers’ experience.

Arab Bank was named “Best Bank in the Middle East 2024” by Global Finance for the ninth consecutive year.

Mideast conflicts to leave 'lasting scars' - IMF

By - Oct 31,2024 - Last updated at Oct 31,2024

A Palestinian man carries a bag of wheat flour distributed at an aid distribution centre of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip on August 3, 2015 (AFP photo)

DUBAI  — Gaza, Lebanon and Sudan will take decades to recover from the conflicts raging on their soil, the International Monetary Fund said on Thursday after downgrading the region's growth forecast.

 

Israel's military actions against Hamas in the Gaza Strip and Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Sudan's civil war would have enduring impacts, the IMF said.

 

"The damage caused by these conflicts will leave lasting scars at their epicentres for decades," the global lender said in a statement.

 

The IMF has lowered its predicted growth for the Middle East and Central Asia to 2.1 per cent for 2024, a drop of 0.6 percent due to the wars and lower oil production.

 

Depending on the conflicts, growth should rise to 4.0 percent next year, according to the IMF's Regional Economic Outlook which was compiled in September.

 

"This year has been challenging with conflicts causing devastating human suffering and lasting economic damage," Jihad Azour, the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia Department director, told reporters in Dubai.

 

"The recent escalation in Lebanon has greatly increased the uncertainty in the whole MENA region."

 

IMF forecasts for Lebanon, where conflict with Israel has sharply escalated this month, have been suspended. But "conservative" estimates show a 9.0-10 per cent contraction this year, Azour said.

 

"The impact [on Lebanon] will be severe and it will depend how long this conflict will last," said the former Lebanese finance minister.

 

Saudi-led oil cuts through the OPEC+ cartel, aimed at propping up prices, "are contributing to sluggish near-term growth in many economies", the IMF said.

 

For the region's oil exporters, "medium-term growth is projected to moderate, as economic diversification reforms will take time to yield results", it added.

 

Downside risks continue to dominate, the lender said, including fluctuating commodity prices, conflicts and climate shocks.

UBS smashes forecasts with $1.4b net profit

By - Oct 30,2024 - Last updated at Oct 30,2024

ZURICH — Swiss banking giant UBS said Wednesday it earned a net profit of $1.4 billion in the third quarter, beating analyst expectations.

The bank, which suffered a $715 million loss in the same period last year after the forced takeover of rival Credit Suisse, posted a five percent increase in revenue to $12.3 billion.

Analysts polled by Swiss agency AWP expected profit of $758 million on revenue of $11.5 billion.

UBS shares initially rose more than 2 per cent in morning trading, but then turned lower, dropping nearly three percent.

UBS said current conditions should continue in the fourth quarter "against the backdrop of anticipation of a soft landing for the US economy".

"The macroeconomic outlook, on the other hand, is looking gloomier in the rest of the world," the bank said, stressing that uncertainties related to geopolitical conflicts and the US election "could affect investor behaviour".

The bank saw revenues climb by four percent in its wealth management activities, and by 22 per cent in its investment bank.

During the quarter, it also achieved an additional $800 million in savings, saying it was "ahead of schedule for the financial and operational integration" of Credit Suisse.

"UBS appears to be one step ahead with its cost reduction plans and now expects cumulative gross cost reductions of $7.5 billion by the end of 2024 compared to $7 billion previously," said Zurcher Kantonalbank analyst Michael Klien in a note to clients.

The overall target of $13 billion in savings by the end of 2026 remains unchanged, he noted.

In 2023, the banking giant was forced to buy its former rival under pressure from Swiss authorities to avoid a bankruptcy of what was then the second largest bank in Switzerland.

In addition to cleaning up bad debts at Credit Suisse's investment bank, UBS faced huge challenges in integrating the bank.

It has been migrating client accounts on a country-by-country basis, with the transfer of the major retail Swiss operation set for next year.

"The migration of data of 1.3 million clients poses the next big challenge," said Vontobel analyst Andreas Venditti.

 

BASF reports income boost in Q3 but cautious on full-year outlook

By - Oct 30,2024 - Last updated at Oct 30,2024

FRANKFURT, Germany — German chemicals giant BASF announced net income of 287 million euros ($311 million) on Wednesday thanks to the transfer of its energy division, and said it expected earnings for 2024 at the "low end" of forecasts.

Analysts surveyed by financial data supplier FactSet had predicted net income of 412 million euros.

BASF said in a statement that its operating profit, a key performance indicator, stood at 1.3 billion euros, seven percent down on the same period last year.

It said that "special charges" linked to the closure of a factory in its agricultural division had weighed on income.

The world's largest chemicals group said it still expected 2024 operating profit to be between 8 and 8.6 billion euros but that it would be at "the low end" of this range.

It warned that for the fourth quarter of the year "there are risks from potential declines in prices and lower growth volume than expected".

Sales between July and September were at 15.7 billion euros, "on a level with the prior-year period".

Sales were buoyed by volume growth in all segments except surface technologies, hit by weak demand in the automotive market.

However, negative currency effects and lower prices, particularly for metals, "hindered sales performance".

The handover of its Wintershall Dea assets to Harbour Energy — a major part of its retreat from fossil-fuel energy — gave BASF special income of almost 400 million euros.

BASF announced a major overhaul in September to cut costs and strengthen its "core businesses": Chemicals, materials, industrial solutions and nutrition segments.

'Potash' reports net profit of JD153m in Q3 2024

By - Oct 30,2024 - Last updated at Oct 30,2024

Flags with the logo of German chemical giant BASF are pictured at its headquarters in Ludwigshafen, western Germany, on February 24, 2023 (AFP photo)

AMMAN — The Arab Potash Company announced on Wednesday that it achieved a net profit of JD153 million by the end of the third quarter of 2024, after accounting for income tax, provisions, and mining fees, reflecting the company’s strong performance amid increasing global economic challenges and political fluctuations.

Financial data showed that the net sales revenues achieved by "Potash" and its subsidiaries reached approximately JD509 million by the end of the third quarter, while pre-tax profits amounted to JD212 million, highlighting the company’s efficiency in maintaining its position in the global fertiliser market, the Jordan News Agency, Petra, reported. 

The company's investments in affiliated companies contributed to profit growth, with "Potash’s" share of earnings from these investments reaching about JD26 million by the end of the third quarter.

Company's Chairman of the Board Shihadeh Abu Hudaib emphasised that the company, through implementing a flexible strategy focused on expense control and enhancing operational efficiency, overcame challenges posed by geopolitical events and the Red Sea crisis affecting supply chains and global trade.

He noted that the company and its subsidiaries and affiliates contributed approximately $996 million to Jordan's foreign currency reserves during the first nine months of 2024, strengthening its position as a supportive partner for the national economy.

Abu Hudaib praised the government’s efforts in creating a favorable investment environment for the fertiliser and chemical sectors through the enforcement of laws regulating investment in the Kingdom.

He added that potash production reached a record level of approximately 2.2 million tons by the end of the third quarter, and the company succeeded in selling its entire production by the end of September. 

He pointed out that the company managed to reduce the production cost per ton by 5 per cent compared to the same period last year by implementing innovative strategies and improving production efficiency, which are part of the company’s efforts to boost its competitiveness in the global market.

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